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Mini Sunday Mil - Interesting Hand.

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08-27-2018 , 02:48 PM

Percyeus86

grinder

Join Date: Jan 2013 Posts: 623

Line check / thoughts?
Villain had been pretty aggro so far.

Poker Stars, $20 Buy-in (200/400 blinds, 40 ante) No Limit Hold'em Tournament, 9 Players
Poker Tools Powered By Holdem Manager - The Ultimate Poker Software Suite. View Hand #37936255

MP1: 19,518 (48.8 bb)
MP2: 6,547 (16.4 bb)
Hero (MP3): 30,322 (75.8 bb)
CO: 7,119 (17.8 bb)
BTN: 12,397 (31 bb)
SB: 10,155 (25.4 bb)
BB: 13,765 (34.4 bb)
UTG+1: 30,923 (77.3 bb)
UTG+2: 19,278 (48.2 bb)

Preflop: Hero is MP3 with 3

4 folds, Hero raises to 900, CO folds, BTN calls 900, SB folds, BB calls 500

Flop: (3,260) 3

(3 players)
BB checks, Hero checks, BTN bets 1,076, BB folds, Hero calls 1,076

Turn: (5,412) 9

(2 players)
Hero checks, BTN bets 2,706, Hero calls 2,706

River: (10,824) 9

(2 players)
Hero checks, BTN bets 7,675 and is all-in, Hero calls 7,675

Get the Flash Player to use the Hold'em Manager Replayer.

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08-27-2018 , 04:33 PM

poloplaya1414

old hand

Join Date: Jun 2009 Posts: 1,972

Totally fine line if villain is that aggro. I probably still bet flop though. If he is that aggro, he might bluff raise or float.

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08-28-2018 , 05:00 AM

Percyeus86

grinder

Join Date: Jan 2013 Posts: 623

Quote:

Originally Posted by poloplaya1414

Totally fine line if villain is that aggro. I probably still bet flop though. If he is that aggro, he might bluff raise or float.

Yeah, I did consider betting flop. Thought I'd just let him hang himself, although in this case, he showed up with T9s...

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08-28-2018 , 05:41 AM

Madsaac

grinder

Join Date: Mar 2010 Posts: 669

Unlucky but its more than likely he has a five or nine on the river

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08-28-2018 , 06:18 AM

Percyeus86

grinder

Join Date: Jan 2013 Posts: 623

Quote:

Originally Posted by Madsaac

Unlucky but its more than likely he has a five or nine on the river

Really? I'd say it was actually less than likely.

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08-28-2018 , 10:56 AM

poloplaya1414

old hand

Join Date: Jun 2009 Posts: 1,972

Even if it is "more than likely", we only need to be good 30% of the time here. If he has a lot of 9s here, it means that he can stab flop with any 2 cards which means he could easily show up with air, particularly a hand like 76s or something.

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08-28-2018 , 01:04 PM

jpgiro

old hand

Join Date: Feb 2016 Posts: 1,428

I think we want to bet small with pretty much our whole range on that flop. As played it's somewhat close, villain's range should be super polar by river when they go bet/bet/jam and we effectively have a bluff catcher. This entirely depends on how often we think villain in a $20 buy in tournament is bluffing with air on a double paired board.

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08-29-2018 , 03:26 AM

Madsaac

grinder

Join Date: Mar 2010 Posts: 669

Quote:

Originally Posted by Percyeus86

Really? I'd say it was actually less than likely.

Yeah you're right, just had a closer look on Flopzilla and it ends up being 30% - 40% for having a 5 or 9

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