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Line check - Nut FD 50bb eff. Line check - Nut FD 50bb eff.

02-25-2019 , 09:53 AM
Pretty nasty spot facing the 4x raise.
His range of raise/call off is probably just JJ/88/66, maybe some 9Ts (prob just 9Th, and 9Ts) and very few worse Flush Draws. We can't bet/fold, bet/calling is pretty nasty with SPR of 1 on the turn.
Thoughts?

PokerStars - 40/80 Ante 10 NL - Holdem - 8 players
Hand converted by PokerTracker 4

MP+1: 2,379 (VPIP: 15.87, PFR: 12.28, 3Bet Preflop: 0.00, Hands: 65)
CO: 2,649 (VPIP: 12.50, PFR: 12.50, 3Bet Preflop: 0.00, Hands: 8)
BTN: 4,042 (VPIP: 30.34, PFR: 19.32, 3Bet Preflop: 8.57, Hands: 90)
SB: 2,586 (VPIP: 21.57, PFR: 14.29, 3Bet Preflop: 5.00, Hands: 52)
BB: 2,846 (VPIP: 29.37, PFR: 18.55, 3Bet Preflop: 5.88, Hands: 127)
Hero (UTG): 3,913
UTG+1: 2,872 (VPIP: 0.00, PFR: 0.00, 3Bet Preflop: -, Hands: 1)
MP: 5,532 (VPIP: 21.43, PFR: 7.14, 3Bet Preflop: 14.29, Hands: 14)

8 players post ante of 10, SB posts SB 40, BB posts BB 80

Pre Flop: (pot: 200) Hero has A Q

Hero raises to 200, fold, MP calls 200, fold, fold, fold, fold, fold

Flop: (600, 2 players) 6 8 J
Hero bets 247, MP raises to 1,024, Hero raises to 3,703 and is all-in, MP calls 2,679

Turn: (8,006, 2 players) 8

River: (8,006, 2 players) T

Spoiler:
Hero shows A Q (One Pair, Eights)
(Pre 75%, Flop 47%, Turn 27%)
MP shows J A (Two Pair, Jacks and Eights)
(Pre 25%, Flop 53%, Turn 73%)
MP wins 8,006
Line check - Nut FD 50bb eff. Quote
02-26-2019 , 05:50 AM
Very standard, he will raise worst draws and we're doing fine vs his value range. We can b/c flop and c-c 100% of turns if we think he has way too many bluffs, to keep the weakest draws in his range, we don't mind him shoving turn with Q9/45 but protecting our hand is good and getting max value vs worst FD, maybe let him level himself to r/f some sort of pair if he's really bad.
Line check - Nut FD 50bb eff. Quote
02-26-2019 , 06:54 AM
Quote:
Originally Posted by xamlop
Very standard, he will raise worst draws and we're doing fine vs his value range. We can b/c flop and c-c 100% of turns if we think he has way too many bluffs, to keep the weakest draws in his range, we don't mind him shoving turn with Q9/45 but protecting our hand is good and getting max value vs worst FD, maybe let him level himself to r/f some sort of pair if he's really bad.
Not many worse draws that raise/stack off though?
Flushes are only 9hTh and KhTh - 2 combos
Line check - Nut FD 50bb eff. Quote
02-26-2019 , 07:18 AM
He could potentially raise any gutshot/FD and that's many combos. He's not stacking of with all of that (that's why I said b/c flop to c-c any turn makes some sens) but bluff-raising marginal draws is a thing and Q9cc for exemple has 20% equity vs our hand so getting him to fold is not so bad.
Line check - Nut FD 50bb eff. Quote
02-26-2019 , 10:50 AM
Don’t see how you’d play it any other way
Line check - Nut FD 50bb eff. Quote
02-26-2019 , 12:05 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by oldsilver
Don’t see how you’d play it any other way
Wht abt flatting the 3b otf? Leaving us >20bb ott
Line check - Nut FD 50bb eff. Quote
02-26-2019 , 06:47 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by swissodds
Wht abt flatting the 3b otf? Leaving us >20bb ott
What are your plans for the turn?

Imo ppl still c/r/f second pairs and other mid strength with enough freq to make calling flop and folding turn an EV disaster. I’m happy to rip this in while it’s mathematical
Line check - Nut FD 50bb eff. Quote

      
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