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Late stages in BB16.5 Late stages in BB16.5

02-17-2018 , 03:53 AM
***** Hand History for Game 1111111111 ***** (Poker Stars)
Tourney Hand NL Texas Hold'em - Sunday, February 11, 10:04:54 ET 2018
Level 1600/3200

Seat 7 is the button
Seat 1: Player1 ( 144667 ) - VPIP: 21, PFR: 13, 3B: 11, AF: 0.0, Hands: 61
Seat 2: Player2 ( 94304 ) - VPIP: 21, PFR: 15, 3B: 4, AF: 3.0, Hands: 61
Seat 3: Player3 ( 101392 ) - VPIP: 20, PFR: 16, 3B: 11, AF: 2.0, Hands: 61
Seat 4: Player4 ( 48612 ) - VPIP: 0, PFR: 0, 3B: 0, AF: 0.0, Hands: 14
Seat 5: Player5 ( 155660 ) - VPIP: 19, PFR: 11, 3B: 4, AF: 1.4, Hands: 57
Seat 6: Player6 ( 26274 ) - VPIP: 13, PFR: 11, 3B: 0, AF: 0.0, Hands: 56
Seat 7: Player7 ( 58116 ) - VPIP: 32, PFR: 26, 3B: 0, AF: 0.3, Hands: 34
Seat 8: Hero ( 94133 ) -
Seat 9: Player9 ( 78506 ) - VPIP: 18, PFR: 12, 3B: 0, AF: 1.0, Hands: 17

.
Hero posts small blind [1600].
Player9 posts big blind [3200].
** Dealing down cards **
Dealt to Hero [ 4c 4h ]
Player1 folds
Player2 folds
Player3 folds
Player4 folds
Player5 folds
Player6 folds
Player7 raises [57796]
Hero folds
Player9 folds
Player7 wins 54596
Player7 wins 10880 from main pot


Hello I know I need improvement when it comes to spots like that here the BTN open shoves 18 bb I look down at 44 with 29 big blinds villain is on the loose side I have marked him as recreational player is this standard call ?
Late stages in BB16.5 Quote
02-17-2018 , 08:45 AM
I think is fold.

1) It's EV+ to call (or reshove) if we give him a 23,7% shoving range:

https://imgur.com/a/QLSoo

2) But, if we lower it just a little, up to 22%, it would be fold:

https://imgur.com/a/t6sac

3) The previous assumptions are made in ChipEV, do not consider icm considerations. Therefore we have to be more cautious with a hypothetical call (or reshove).

That's why, if we do not have the certainty that BTN can be shoving here above 35-40%, we should fold.
Late stages in BB16.5 Quote
02-17-2018 , 10:20 AM
Quote:
Originally Posted by rsk46
I think is fold.

1) It's EV+ to call (or reshove) if we give him a 23,7% shoving range:

https://imgur.com/a/QLSoo

2) But, if we lower it just a little, up to 22%, it would be fold:

https://imgur.com/a/t6sac

3) The previous assumptions are made in ChipEV, do not consider icm considerations. Therefore we have to be more cautious with a hypothetical call (or reshove).

That's why, if we do not have the certainty that BTN can be shoving here above 35-40%, we should fold.


Appreciate your detailed reply , thanks
Late stages in BB16.5 Quote

      
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