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Mid-High Stakes MTT Discussion and analysis of mid-high stakes MTT strategy

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Old 10-23-2018, 08:00 PM   #1
Buerki
stranger
 
Join Date: Nov 2015
Posts: 6
Just call with set on the river?

***** Hand History for Game 1111111111 ***** (Pacific)
Tourney Hand NL Texas Hold'em - Tuesday, October 23, 07:43:19 ET 2018
Table 129243837 table 5 (Real Money)
Seat 9 is the button
Seat 1: Player1 ( 49630 ) - VPIP: 16, PFR: 13, 3B: 3, AF: 3,0, Hands: 106
Seat 2: Player2 ( 49165 ) - VPIP: 21, PFR: 3, 3B: 0, AF: 1,6, Hands: 62
Seat 3: Player3 ( 48785 ) - VPIP: 33, PFR: 33, 3B: 0, AF: 0,0, Hands: 6
Seat 4: Player4 ( 49880 ) - VPIP: 18, PFR: 13, 3B: 0, AF: 1,0, Hands: 101
Seat 5: Player5 ( 50920 ) - VPIP: 22, PFR: 14, 3B: 8, AF: 2,1, Hands: 302
Seat 6: Hero ( 51998 ) - VPIP: 24, PFR: 18, 3B: 6, AF: 1,8, Hands: 277444
Seat 7: Player7 ( 46590 ) - VPIP: 25, PFR: 25, 3B: 33, AF: 0,0, Hands: 8
Seat 9: Player9 ( 49505 ) - VPIP: 18, PFR: 15, 3B: 7, AF: 4,7, Hands: 278
Player9 posts ante of [40].
Player1 posts ante of [40].
Hero posts ante of [40].
Player4 posts ante of [40].
Player2 posts ante of [40].
Player3 posts ante of [40].
Player7 posts ante of [40].
Player5 posts ante of [40].
Player1 posts small blind [150].
Player2 posts big blind [300].
** Dealing down cards **
Dealt to Hero [ 9c 9d ]
Player3 folds
Player4 folds
Player5 raises [600]
Hero raises [1913]
Player7 folds
Player9 folds
Player1 folds
Player2 folds
Player5 raises [4811]
Hero calls [3498]
** Dealing Flop ** [ 9s, 3s, Kh ]
Player5 checks
Hero checks
** Dealing Turn ** [ 5s ]
Player5 bets [6396]
Hero calls [6396]
** Dealing River ** [ Ah ]
Player5 bets [12192]
Hero raises [40151]
Player5 calls [26881]
Player5 shows [Kc, Kd ]
Hero shows [9c, 9d ]
Player5 wins 102530 from main pot
Hero wins 1078

$ 55 bi on 888, opponent is a regular, he tank-called the river:

I shoved the river to get value from AK. Now i think he would have bet the flop with AK for sure. He would have bet flushdraws too. So he is only calling me with AA and KK, so i have to just call his riverbet.
Right?
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Old 10-23-2018, 08:33 PM   #2
HawkesDave
adept
 
Join Date: Jul 2016
Posts: 1,167
Re: Just call with set on the river?

Pretty gross spot.

I think a river raise is just a bit too thin for me. Sure, he's got a few more combos of AK than he does AA/KK/AsKs but the way he played the hand feels more like KK/AA than AK. Even when he checks the flop with AK, it's most likely he would do so with AsKs which you're losing to as well.

I'm a bit surprised he checked the flop with KcKd but I could go either way on checking or betting if I'm him.
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Old 10-24-2018, 03:46 AM   #3
BiggAli
enthusiast
 
Join Date: Jan 2014
Posts: 73
Re: Just call with set on the river?

Agree with HawkesDave. River is a call. Best case scenario here I guess is he overplayed QQ or JJ and he won't call your raise.
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