This came up in an LO8 hand I posted from the recent $1500 WSOP 8-game. Hand history here:
https://forumserver.twoplustwo.com/4...tusow-1714532/
There I start the day around 110 to 115th out of 134, 481 started, 73 pay, mincash is 1.5x buyin. Sage advice from many on the LO8 forum is that I should play very carefully, basically just try to flop a hand, because of tournament life and ICM and so forth.
Are there ICM calculators/estimators that can help me get a more concrete grasp of ICM dynamics here? Obviously solving for precise numbers is intractable with 134! = 1.99e228 permutations of finishes, but simplifying assumptions about the chip distribution in the middle of the chip count standings would still demonstrate the point.