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How to find consistency How to find consistency

05-08-2020 , 08:26 PM
Tldr version for anyone that wants to jump in this somewhat lighthearted thread;

OP - some days I’m not feelin it
Various - feel should be irrelevant
Oldsilver - if you’re not feelin it then take a break
Various - don’t take a break, get better through PIO
Oldsilver - PIO wont help you in-game / real-time
Various - if you don’t know equilibrium then no amount of feel will help
Oldsilver - true, but once a good feel / exploit player knows equilibrium they will crush soulless gto grinders when field is mid stakes and full of errors to exploit
Oldsilver - as example, we can exploit based on stereotype
Various - bored now, you may be racist
New various - sklansky goes to QuikEMart, says it’s ok

Last edited by oldsilver; 05-08-2020 at 08:31 PM.
How to find consistency Quote
05-09-2020 , 02:04 AM
Quote:
Originally Posted by oldsilver
Tldr version for anyone that wants to jump in this somewhat lighthearted thread;

OP - some days I’m not feelin it
Various - feel should be irrelevant
Oldsilver - if you’re not feelin it then take a break
Various - don’t take a break, get better through PIO
Oldsilver - PIO wont help you in-game / real-time
Various - if you don’t know equilibrium then no amount of feel will help
Oldsilver - true, but once a good feel / exploit player knows equilibrium they will crush soulless gto grinders when field is mid stakes and full of errors to exploit
This is where I had to get out, because in my mind there is no distinction between GTO and exploitative play, ie if you're studying Pio to purely mimick Pio then you're just doing it wrong (although as mentioned that is the baseline). We can also study how our opponents deviate from equilibrium and thereby how to optimally exploit them (which is when we should deviate from equilibrium), gathering heuristics on population exploits. This is a natural and obvious process for a thinking player - not just some GTO theory.

However, your statement about a good exploit player crushing a player that's plays pure GTO is obviously nonsensical with GTO being by its very nature unexploitable. Yes a very good exploit player with a GTO baseline will make more money than a player trying play pure GTO without exploiting, but that is irrelevant since what we're doing by studying Pio is trying to become that very good exploit player with a GTO baseline.

We can see from this forum let alone our games how bad we all are (how much we all deviate from equilibrium and therefore how exploitable we all are) and therefore the natural first step is learning equilibrium heuristics.
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05-09-2020 , 03:25 AM
Quote:
Originally Posted by wynner88888
However, your statement about a good exploit player crushing a player that's plays pure GTO is obviously nonsensical with GTO being by its very nature unexploitable. Yes a very good exploit player with a GTO baseline will make more money than a player trying play pure GTO without exploiting, but that is irrelevant since what we're doing by studying Pio is trying to become that very good exploit player with a GTO baseline.
I did not say that an exploit player would have an advantage heads up against a perfect GTO player.

I said that if exploit player and GTO player played the same tournament against an exploitable field, then the exploit player would have a higher expected return.

I think you covered that in the second part.

We're kinda circling the point I'm trying to make though.

You're saying:

that we can use PIO to distil both equilibrium and optimal exploit heuristics from a large sample of hands and get something approximating perfect exploit play that will cover such a wide range of potential hands / situations that we will rarely have to resort to human soft calculation or 'feel'

I'm saying:

that we can use PIO to distil both equilibrium and optimal exploit heuristics from a large sample of hands and get something approximating perfect exploit play that will cover such a small subset of the full range of potential hands / situations that we will frequently have to resort to human soft calculation or 'feel'

I certainly take your point that the greater the amount of work you do on modelling optimal exploit lines in PIO, the better your understand of optimal exploits overall and the better the chance that your human guesswork in unfamiliar spots will get it right.

Just don't expect PIO to give you all the answers. Life's too short to do all the calculations, and our brains are too feeble to remember and apply the heuristic rules even if you could.

tldr;

'Feel' will imho forever be an important element in mhsmtt poker, no matter how good you are.

Last edited by oldsilver; 05-09-2020 at 03:33 AM.
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05-09-2020 , 04:05 AM
Quote:
Originally Posted by lolposting2016
What? So based off your racial backround you should play a diff way wtf is this thread turning into
I'd like to see it turn into a discussion of what demographics should and shouldn't jam in this spot. Or, against what demographics should the 4bettor call a shove with a wider range than against other demographics.
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05-09-2020 , 04:34 AM
Quote:
Originally Posted by oldsilver
I did not say that an exploit player would have an advantage heads up against a perfect GTO player.

I said that if exploit player and GTO player played the same tournament against an exploitable field, then the exploit player would have a higher expected return.

I think you covered that in the second part.

We're kinda circling the point I'm trying to make though.

You're saying:

that we can use PIO to distil both equilibrium and optimal exploit heuristics from a large sample of hands and get something approximating perfect exploit play that will cover such a wide range of potential hands / situations that we will rarely have to resort to human soft calculation or 'feel'

I'm saying:

that we can use PIO to distil both equilibrium and optimal exploit heuristics from a large sample of hands and get something approximating perfect exploit play that will cover such a small subset of the full range of potential hands / situations that we will frequently have to resort to human soft calculation or 'feel'

I certainly take your point that the greater the amount of work you do on modelling optimal exploit lines in PIO, the better your understand of optimal exploits overall and the better the chance that your human guesswork in unfamiliar spots will get it right.

Just don't expect PIO to give you all the answers. Life's too short to do all the calculations, and our brains are too feeble to remember and apply the heuristic rules even if you could.

tldr;

'Feel' will imho forever be an important element in mhsmtt poker, no matter how good you are.
Okay. But is it possible to develop 'feel' in the sense you're talking about? Because if it isn't then it's rather a mute point, because what we CAN do to develop our game is study our databases/HH's/Pio and whatever natural feel ability we have is going to express itself in game regardless to supplement that.

Disclaimer (and you know this): I'm relatively new to Pio but this is how I've come to understand things after a moderate amount of recent work. What I'm saying is likely very basic, but the more I study game theory/get experience with Pio, the more this will develop
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05-12-2020 , 10:53 PM
I hear ya on the tournament part. Focusing on tournaments for long periods of time is tough. Doing anything for a long period, and the brain will get bored imop. My health isn't the greatest not sure if that makes it worse. But I just think its normal, if you try do anything for 6 hours straight, your gonna lose focus and get bored.
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05-14-2020 , 12:06 AM
lol Feel players
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05-18-2020 , 12:11 AM
Quote:
Originally Posted by Bubblebust
My game is pretty inconsistent. Sometimes I'm playing exceptionally, and sometimes I'm playing like total crap. The thing is, when I'm playing exceptionally, I can feel it -- early on. In these cases, I often make very deep runs, many final tables and top 3s -- I just know this early on. When I'm playing poorly, I don't necessarily feel it - I just know I don't have that locked in feel -- and rarely make deep runs, but sometimes do cash. I've been thinking about what I do differently in when I'm on and off, and three things definitely come to mind:

1. Maintaining high concentration the whole tournament. When I'm not doing this, I have no idea how to turn it on. Does anyone have any tips?

2. Situational awareness. When I'm playing well, I get away from marginal situations and methodically build my stack by leveraging situations I'm way ahead and exploiting my reads. When I'm playing poorly, I find myself in coin flips (or worse) or high variance situations for a signifcant portion of my stack, if not all of it -- because I'm having trouble making basic reads to begin with. Usually, by the time I catch myself doing this, my stack is playing significant catch up, or I've busted out.

3. Frustration. When I'm playing poorly it compounds itself and I make foolish plays out of frustration -- sometimes bluffing when the relative range advantages aren't in my favor, sometimes tightening into a supernit and seeing my stack blinded away.

I know every player is inconsistent to some degree -- but I think I'm much more inconsistent than your average reg -- swingly wildly from an excellent player to not good at all. And I'm convinced this is more than just normal poker variance looking at results. Does anyone have suggestions or a regimen/routine that could help me play my best game more consistently?

As always, all suggestions welcome.
Sounds to me you need to work more on your mental game. Reason being because I can relate to this so much and I found the mental game of poker by Jared Tendler 1&2 improved my game in this sort of area immensely it’s worth checking out and if you already did go back and check it again trust me I read it twice and have it on audible so I can listen to it a hour before I go to bed it’s short and really amazing input that maximized my results. I’m still in the process mind you but thanks for the post I hope I could have helped as much as yours helped me !
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05-18-2020 , 12:13 AM
Quote:
Originally Posted by oldsilver
Take a break OP.

If you're not feeling it, then you are by definition a feel player.

Your A+ game is limited to those circumstances when life, cards and energy all run your way. (But at least you're unbeatable when they do.)
I agree ☝️
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05-18-2020 , 12:18 AM
Quote:
Originally Posted by oldsilver
Yeah but VPIP charts are only going to get you to the first corner correctly. Then you have to start steering. And PIO can't steer fast enough. You'll hit the wall before you locked the first node

By all means build a lab and analyse typical post flop scenarios. But unless you can distil every meaningful post flop variation into a small library of heuristic (memorable and applicable) rules, then 'feel' or soft focus / calculation is a major factor.

I do agree (ofc) that working on your game in a structured and meaningful way is essential. I'm 50yo and even I've spent ~$10K on coaching in the past two years alone. Gotta do the work.

Also, as you move up to higher levels and more equilibrium play, then for sure the charts and solves become essential. It's mathematical. Feel / exploit becomes less important in comparison.

But at low-mid live mtt levels exploit strat is the difference. The best 'feel' players can be unbeatable. And by 'feel' I refer to players that start with correct equilibrium play then make more profitable exploit adjustments than their opponents.

As for online low-mid mtts, you guys will know better than me where current play sits on the GTO->exploit spectrum. But if COVID lockdown is any indication, I'd suggest that at least in the short term, you'll have an uptick in rec population.
I know this isn’t my thread and sorry if I hijacked it a little but I have to say Well said, I’ve been investing more in online coaching websites and doing the work like I’m back in school lol And it’s only a tear drop in the lake but I’m starting to think differently. I believe the mental game is my issue right now I do well in small-mid stakes cash games but now being in NYC a covid nightmare for the first time in 6 years I’m playing online and I’m sure you could imagine the difference now that I’m playing on a phone/computer with so many more hands per hour it is very stressful but your advice is golden thank you!
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