Quote:
Originally Posted by leviathan74
Let's ask the first question. What part of villain's value range do we beat? Answer. Not one hand. Villain's value range consists of KJ, KT, some discounted K9, i think, let's give him only the suited ones, JJ, TT and AQ. That's by my count 25 hands.
There are also some KQ and QJ and QT we split the pot with
So that value range of 25 combos.. 12 of them are aq, and i don’t think aq is using this sizing on the turn very often, if at all. There are about 25 chop combos that are very real that could use this sizing, and yeah the like 12 boat combos that most likely use this sizing. As far as bluffs, I agree since we should have a straight like always here when villain unblocks it, it’s a poor spot to pick, but to discount bluffs completely is probably a mistake.
We have to anticipate that villain knows it’s hard for us to have a boat/ flops nutsconsidering we didn’t raise flop with two pair and were jamming pre with TT, JJ, aq pre. I just think this is one of the spots where we have to defend against exploits and click call.