Quote:
Originally Posted by sabloid
Thanks. As for 3, I put him on AQ+, TT+. Against that AJss has 31%.
Right, so why do you think this is a call? I think you might be confused how to interpret equity.
If I'm doing the math right, we have to call 182K to win a pot that we be worth 421K in total (assuming 9-handed). Assuming no ICM, that means we need 43% equity to breakeven, and calling with <43% equity means we are making a -EV play.
If you really think his range is AQ+/TT+, we really can only call AK/QQ+.
But I think that's too tight. If we take him down to AJ+/88+, we can call AQ+/TT+
And if assume that he gets tricky by either 3bettting small or flatting with KK+, we can call AJs. But even that's super borderline and is a fold when you factor in ICM.
So I feel good about drawing the line at AQ+/TT+