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05-24-2020 , 04:32 AM
Hi all would appreciate feedback on this hand I played yesterday, especially with regard to two questions below. All opinions very welcome.

It's day 1B of the Malta Poker Chamiponship Main Event on Pokio, €150 buy in. It is a re-entry in the sense that there are 4 day 1s and if I bust I can buy back the following days to Day 1C/1D. Structure is quite slow - 10k starting stack 15 minute blinds. Blinds currently 25/50 and this is my first hand as I regged ~45 minutes late.

Folds around to me on the button, I open to 150 with 43, BB calls. I started with 10k, he barely covers.

Flop comes K34 (pot 325), BB open shoves for 9850 effective, hero?

1) Am I overthinking what is a trivial call or could I consider folding here?

2) If this is a call, what is the absolute bottom of our calling range here?

Will post results later
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05-24-2020 , 05:06 AM
Its a rebuy type tourny the guy is probably aiming to have a huge chip stack to play on.

Really makes no sense for him to play KK 33 44 this way

Maybe K3 or K4 who knows.

I don't think there is a right or wrong answer to this hand. Fold and move on 150chips down

Or

Get it in and hope he drawing

Your hand v Ad As is 69% to win

your hand v 5s 6s is 46% to win

your hand v As 5s is 55% to win (or As 2s)


Your hand v Js Qs is 62.9% to win (same if he has AsQs etc)

If he has KK you're crushed


I would say this is a "depends" spot - i don't know how ICM works - i am sure its probably a fold using that.

I would fold simply because i have invested nearly nothing and i would value my 1st life more than a flip.


edit: i would actually call cos im a real calling station ha
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05-24-2020 , 01:36 PM
I agree that this looks very much like an attempt to build a giant stack -- the most likely candidate (by far, in my experience) is AsXs -- maybe AsKs, in which case it's basically a flip. If I'm ready to play either or both of the next two days, I'm getting it in.
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05-24-2020 , 03:43 PM
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Originally Posted by Bubblebust
I agree that this looks very much like an attempt to build a giant stack -- the most likely candidate (by far, in my experience) is AsXs -- maybe AsKs, in which case it's basically a flip. If I'm ready to play either or both of the next two days, I'm getting it in.

I'm definitely happy to play both of the next two days if necessary.

I think he can definitely have some AsXs - but I think he 3bets a lot of those at least some of the time. I actually thought in the moment that the shove was heavily weighted towards either KsXs (which I'm flipping with) or combo draws which I'm ahead of by a small margin.

How light do you call it off with here though?
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05-24-2020 , 03:45 PM
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Originally Posted by mesmerized
i don't know how ICM works - i am sure its probably a fold using that.
I'm not so sure. You might be right. I think it's very close
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05-24-2020 , 03:57 PM
I usually disregard icm this early, and only look at cEV as well as the chance to build monster stacks in re-entry type events.
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05-25-2020 , 03:37 PM
how did the hand play out
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05-26-2020 , 02:49 PM
What will you do with your time if you bust?
If it was a live event calling is fine because if you win you get a nice early double up and if you lose you can just go and get drunk/laid/robbed at one of the many Gentlemen’s Clubs.
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05-26-2020 , 03:53 PM
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Originally Posted by mesmerized
how did the hand play out

I tanked for a minute and called, he tabled KT, board runs out clean and I double up
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05-26-2020 , 05:11 PM
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Originally Posted by riverjordan13

How light do you call it off with here though?
Bottom two or combo draw is probably the bottom of my range.
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05-26-2020 , 05:11 PM
This is a trivial call IMO.

Which also makes AK a trivial call. I would think about KQ a bit and probably call. I think I fold KJ here - but maybe I call anyway because this looks so much like a double draw.

Only once have I ever had a guy shove on me this early with a set. And it was a raise over my cbet. I called because it seemed like such a huge overbet that it was unlikely to be for value.

And here he is so unlikely to have a set. I think K4s/K3s are possibilities but again don't understand why he doesn't c/r for value making it look like he has a draw. And the all-in part so early on makes no sense either.

Along these lines I once was playing in a small tourney (like this) and had a guy shoved all in from the SB first in with over 100 bb's. I had AA in the BB and called and he had ATo and I held. FTR I don't know what I would have done with KK/QQ/JJ/AK there. But I would lean towards a call I think...

It is just such a bad play to shove with so many chips because the gain is so small vs the potential catastrophic loss.
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05-27-2020 , 12:36 PM
Villains line makes no sense.

When the villains line makes absolutely zero sense, I think you are back to how strong is my hand on this board.

I think your relative strength on this board is pretty good.

Turn the King into the 6 or 7 of spades, I think we have to find the fold button.
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05-27-2020 , 01:07 PM
This is a snap call and this should've been snap moved to BBV. I'm calling all my KXss and KQ+
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05-27-2020 , 08:48 PM
Very trivial call even with a strong Kx, nobody really open jams like this with a 2p+ hand here, the ones that want to level you into calling off usually take a x/jam line imo... only Kx that I would fold are my weakest ones that also block his straight draws...
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05-28-2020 , 09:04 AM
why would anything that beats you shove there?I cant see this being a fold ever in any situation apart from maybe bubble situations and final table ICM scenarios.
Possibbly fold K9 or worst if you arent going to re-enter
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05-29-2020 , 05:04 AM
I'm slightly frustrated that all of the comments calling this a trivial call have come after I've posted the results. I'm not saying they are wrong (and indeed they probably are right) but I would have been able to give them so much more credit in my mind if they were made before results were posted. Particularly the ones saying they call with KQ+ (because I absolutely would have folded KQ, AK and AA here). I should have waited a few more days maybe.

Anyway thanks a lot for all the replies,will definitely take them on board.
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05-29-2020 , 06:23 AM
And I’m slightly frustrated to see a thread about a hand in a $150 live donkament (rebuy!) where some drooler open shoves for 30x pot and you’re thinking of folding 2 pair, but hey, that’s life.
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05-29-2020 , 02:20 PM
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Originally Posted by riverjordan13
I'm slightly frustrated that all of the comments calling this a trivial call have come after I've posted the results. I'm not saying they are wrong (and indeed they probably are right) but I would have been able to give them so much more credit in my mind if they were made before results were posted. Particularly the ones saying they call with KQ+ (because I absolutely would have folded KQ, AK and AA here). I should have waited a few more days maybe.

Anyway thanks a lot for all the replies,will definitely take them on board.
You only had basically 3 replies about the hand before you posted the results,you only waited 2 days FFS!! Sorry you expect the whole 2+2 community to be posting replies to you immediately about a donk shove into 2 pair
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05-29-2020 , 02:48 PM
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Originally Posted by auralex14
And I’m slightly frustrated to see a thread about a hand in a $150 live donkament (rebuy!) where some drooler open shoves for 30x pot and you’re thinking of folding 2 pair, but hey, that’s life.
If I came across like a dick I apologise. I genuinely meant that as a chastisement of myself, not everyone who was kind enough to comment. I can see how I came across though and I am sorry.
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05-29-2020 , 02:50 PM
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Originally Posted by BicycleRepairMan
You only had basically 3 replies about the hand before you posted the results,you only waited 2 days FFS!! Sorry you expect the whole 2+2 community to be posting replies to you immediately about a donk shove into 2 pair
Looking back - I came across like a complete ass in my comment and I apologise. I meant it as a "I was foolish to post results too quickly" comment but I can see that it came across as entitled and as if I was undermining all the replies I got. All I can say is sorry! And I genuinely am grateful for the advice.
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