Quote:
Originally Posted by rockville9
Hand 1 - looks like vil has given up. Player depending, I'd bet if I was quite certain vil has no bluff raises. Looks like AK betting 2 streets and finally conceding. Betting in this situation is good because u don't show your hand and can therefore have a few bluffs on missed draws when this player double barrels then checks and u also missed. Checking doesn't give u that.
Hand 2 - stacks would be nice, but without much more, I think this is an easy call. Looks like u could b chopping anyway, and if I was the vil with AT I'd blast this river also, since it looks like u also have a weak ace and this is the only way to take the whole pot. He could have flopped 2pr but that is really all u are losing to. KK prob not in his range. QQ? Yeikes that would b bad luck. Need to know how deep u are tho to make better judgment. 5k if u have 50k behind is different than 5k with 12k behind.
These are my opinions, and I'm not a world champ. I learn as much from criticism of my own replies as I hope others do from mine.
hand 1:
I think that I am split between checking back and value betting, I think that should be around 50%, however, if a value bet is made; it should be around 30-35% to get called by a weaker hand.
hand 2:
The problem with calling with a hand like A7 here, is that a situation like this can unfold. On the flop it is a standard call, we flopped a pair, he has range advantage but we can easily call. On the turn, especially when the A comes, it decreases his Aces and makes us call again. However, and a big HOWEVER is, people will hardly ever bluff a second ace. this is really true, think about it from their perspective:
if he is bluffing he is representing the ace, if another rolls off, it decreases the number of aces he can have, on that ace turn, you are never ever folding a king/queen so not alot of fold equity for him. but a call is fine..
on the river however, I can't really find an excuse to call on the river, his betsizes increases on all Streets and his story makes sense. I think that he hardly ever has a hand weaker than AQ here, especially from an UTG starting position. I think its a standard sigh-fold.
thoughts?