$530 buy-in progressive bounty
There's under an hour of late reg left and starting stack is 25bb.
I have literally just moved to this table so have no info on anyone here
Blinds 500 / 1k
UTG opens to 2k (30k)
HERO A
K
MP1 calls 2k (47.6k) [bounty $312.50]
SB Calls 2k (47.7K) [$187.50]
BB Calls 2k
My thinking was that by flatting I might induce a squeeze from behind and, if not, I still had position on the original UTG open. I didn't want to potentially go to war pre vs UTG range with 36bb, but, unfortunately there's no squeeze and both blinds complete.
FLOP (9K) 7
5
K
Checks round to hero in position BET 3.2K
SB raises to 9K
others both fold
HERO calls 5.8K
I think I play this quite well; my hand is massively under-repped and I can get value from worse Kx, as well as some 88-QQ (although most of that is UTG range). Multi-way I'm mostly checking back top pair but when I have top top and my hand is under-repped I think I can bet and keep my range balanced.
Villain's raise is small, 5.8K to win 27k is an easy call, or at least I'm obviously never folding. But it sets up a weird SPR on turn after I call - POT is 27K, both me and villain have 36K left. I don't think raising is too clever as I doubt worse Kx raises here and then calls a 3! - plus at least some portion of his KQ / KJ squeezes pre. If he has a draw I want to let him keep firing so calling feels the best way to continue.
TURN (27K) J
Villain tanks and shoves all in 36k
HERO ????
What is this line? Does he ever play his sets like this? I doubt it, but some KQ squeezes pre, we now lose to KJ, KT/K9/K8 probably doesn't raise flop and then take this line on the turn, I guess he has all the 2 pairs; I only have KJ as a 2 pair holding here but on the J he shoves, I doubt he turns 88 - QQ into an overpot shove on turn unless he has specifically JJ and turned trips.
So beyond 75 / K7 / K5 / 55 / 77 / JJ - some of which we block - I can't see much value here that plays the turn this way when a smaller bet would set up a river shove that is hard for me to get away from.
He can have plenty of 86 / 64 / maybe some 89 / maybe some KQ / KT that just flatted pre and chose to be aggressive on the flop (but unless this guy is a maniac or drastically overvalues top pair muti-way, I think that's highly unlikely).
Any thoughts on how I played flop (my initial sizing or whether a 3! is as bad a play as I think?) And obviously your thoughts on the turn would be greatly appreciated