Around 30-40 remaining out or 4000 runners. 45BB deep effective at start of hand. Don't know much about villain, other that he's Brazilian, one of the big stacks and 30/20 over 46 hands.

think you gotta fold river.

The 7d is definitely a great card for OOP c/r flop range. But the c/r size was small, the turn was half pot, and the river bet only 30%ish pot.

I think it's a good call down hand with the Ad vs such a small sizing. He has almost a pot sized shove on the river right? This kind of sizing looks like someone who is afraid to bust by bluffing but knows they should continue to bluff here.

That all being said, population does under c/r bluff, and under bluff in general and the 7d could be the nut worse turn for you.

Hope that helps a bit.

Could go bigger on the flop. River is definitely a call, it looks like a block bet with a weak Q.

Bigger flop.
Weird line but can't see any other way to play it other than call down for that river size.
Prob has 65s or something, I say genius buddy VWP GG imo.

I think we want to 3bet the flop at some freq vs this lol c/r sizing?

Given that we have only 6-8 pure value combos (if we exclude top set which are the least appealing combos to 3bet):

55 (3)
66 (3)
65s (1*)

We want ~60/40 Value to Bruff ratio with the odds we'd be laying on a 3bet shove.

*Since it's not clear that we are/should be opening 65s, we can discount to 1 combo, for 7 value combos total.

The obvious bruff combos are:

87dd
87cc
98dd
KJdd
JTdd

If we add more bruffs, then we need to add more value combos. If we open and want to 3bet almost erry NFD combo, say 8 of the 10, then we would need to add all 12 overpair combos to remain balanced.

As played not folding any TP/overpairs w a diamond or set to a 27% river bet.

Pretty easy flop 3b

My experience what few times Ive been deep in MTT esp small stakes is people get scared/underplay their value so while its an lol flop min clickback, not sure if I like 3bet esp blocking AQ.

i would discount the 2 pair and set combos a bit because of his small sizing, on the flop at least.

i dont really see it that often that people dont wanna protect here with value. but then i dont know 100% what players who get top 40 in a 4k field do so :P

smaller bets could be in line with diamonds.

also somewhat strange to me when he sees we are calling and goes small on the river. its sort of suck bet but most poker players are quite greedy, so either somewhat savvy player or he went raise on flop with Qx and now doesnt wanna check / blockbets rivers.

this is where your image can come into play a little as well, if youve been showing up with 15% range from utg (or a lot of stealing from the small stacks who play shove or fold), this line with Qx could be 'induced' by that or he feels hes good vs you enough of the times to merit this.

at least those are some of my thoughts.

him betting small on the river gives you space to go all in and him calling you. on the river, you have to say what hand you beat and what hands you lose v.

if you call and loss the pot you are left with 25bb and if you fold you have 34bb.

fold river

I also think you have to call but it's like a hero call. as bb knows that you are calling because you called last 3 streets. yes, it is a small bet and bb knows that people these days don't fold to a river small bet and bb is making most out of his hand. well, bb can make more out of hand but would not give you space to go all in or might scare you if bb does bet bigger. so i think bb done a good bet on the river with a straight or a set. I dont put him on a flush draw as you got a blocker.

So what happened?

1. What about check-back the flop and try a delayed C-bet?... I think checking the flop can induce Villian to bluff in many turns and even "get value" with a Q if turn is a brick. You have position and I like keeping the pot small, betting or calling turn and river without too much risk...

2. Why not betting 3x preflop...you are UTG 8-handed. I know nowdays (especially online) those 2x- 2.5x open raises in early position are common... but I don't really like it... You give the BB implied pot odds to call always... But maybe I'm just too oldschool...

sigh calling river - otr: V sizing screams blocking bet - not folding to those weird sizings (otf and otr) though - he might have rivered two pairs w/ Q10 but hey that's 12 combos. We re blocking FD and are at the top of our range. Furthemore, he might be in a value cut spot, owning himself.

Was thinking the same very weird line.... 3bet flop.....