Quote:
Originally Posted by Mr Rick
I'm pretty much done after the flop bet. That board is so dry that villain has a K a good % of the time. Which he is never folding. If villain has a 7 or a PP its not clear that the turn bet will dislodge him anyway because the 4 changes nothing. Similarly with a 9 on the river.
I find that I rarely bet 3 streets for value on a board like this because mostly I won't get paid off on more than 2 streets when I'm ahead and it looks like a bluff (or at best a polarizing bet on the river) when I do bet all 3 streets. So, I get called down a decent % of the time when I 3 bet bluff...
I agree with Polo about bet sizing. To get a small PP to fold on the flop make it look like its going to cost a bit more.
I actually do like the second barrel here assuming villain is a thinking player. We're cbetting 100% of our range on this flop, which includes a lot of air if we're capable of 3betting light. So if I'm villain I'm peeling pretty wide. Im calling pretty much any medium pocket pair, any 7, AJ/AT because I'm ahead of most of hero's range.
So even though the 4 is just a blank and doesn't change the board at all, there are still a lot of hands in villain's range I can get to fold with a second barrel, and even if I get called again, I usually still have 6 live outs.
Also, if you're getting called down too often when you 3 barrel bluff here, it means you should be betting for 3 streets of value more, not less.