This is really early in the tournament and I really wanted to fold. I would only put on him on pocket 66 pre flop and don't know if folding here is always correct given the line.
obviously any ace is high enough up in your distribution that folding them all is imbalanced, and not having a diamond makes this the best possible Ax hand. if I was going to put my foot down and make an exploitative fold i'd want to at least have one and preferably two diamonds to make the bluffs that much less likely.
This is really early in the tournament and I really wanted to fold. I would only put on him on pocket 66 pre flop and don't know if folding here is always correct given the line.
River:(50.92 BB, 2 players) T Hero checks, CO bets 50.92 BB,
Hero?
Spoiler:
Hero calls 50.92 BB
CO shows T 6 (Straight, Six High)
(Pre 33%, Flop 36%, Turn 97%) Hero mucks K A (Straight, Five High)
(Pre 67%, Flop 64%, Turn 3%) CO wins 152.76 BB
Yeah that’s a nasty turn I would def put him on A6 or 10-6 with the small pre flop raise I would have raised more preflop especially earlier in the MTT also usually in these positions it’s very polarized on the river when Villian jams on a 4 to a wheel almost all the time..
Honestly with no spades on the flop and no reads, it's fine to just fold on flop--you could be drawing basically dead. By the river, our hand is pretty face up which means we should not be calling off 50bb here
Def check flop - you're never folding better hands, you lose bluffs from worse hands, and really we don't have much to worry about in terms of protecting our equity.
Yeah that’s a nasty turn I would def put him on A6 or 10-6 with the small pre flop raise I would have raised more preflop especially earlier in the MTT also usually in these positions it’s very polarized on the river when Villian jams on a 4 to a wheel almost all the time..
how are you putting him exactly on T6 here without reading spoilers? i call bullsh**
Flop bet is meh. It’s fine (ish) but without the Backdoor fd your hand kinda sucks rn
Peeling the x/r is probably losing too
Anyway I’d fold otr pretty quickly you aren’t really beating anything and he’s probably not bluffing even close to enough for me to worry about this call
range him on the flop. i'd say he has tons of suited connectors / broadways that have 20% equity and will call the 1/3rd pot with worse ace highs, and i expect 2s through 5s to be very sparsely represented (except as sets). it's somewhat debatable as to what his range is pre and you'd have to scan through large data sets to have even a vague idea of what a randoms range is for limp/calling the CO at these stakes but this isn't play chips and the fact that he had T6s this time shouldn't change your read much at all.
river i think you're right that it's rarely a bluff but i do think it's a chop more than it should be because you'll get a lot of bad players bombing it in with an ace and there're a lot of ways for him to have an ace. aces are way worse in that you only win 0.5x pot instead of 2x pot but there're people who will show up with ax here a lot, and someone who limp/calls from the co probably does a lot of things that we'd consider unorthodox.
how often do you think this is an ace and how often a bluff?
not sure i'm leading 1/3 pot with any part of Hero range here. i guess you're retaining the initiative against some random 89-KQ connectors, but you'll get 'free card' checkbacks from this part of V range a fair % and can also cc small stabs.
i'd probably decide how to size JJ against this opponent then add some AdKx AKcc type bdfd hands to balance that mid-strong overpair range. keep hands with 0 bd potential in the check range - keeping the strongest (like AKss) as cc and cf the rest.
as played, fold everywhere after V flop c/r including on the flop. never cc multi streets to a chop when your hand is face up and V's isn't.