[converted_hand][hand_history]Poker Stars, $100 Buy-in (125/250 blinds, 30 ante) No Limit Hold'em Tournament, 8 Players
Poker Tools Powered By
Holdem Manager - The Ultimate
Poker Software Suite.
SB: 14,924 (59.7 bb)
BB: 2,737 (10.9 bb)
UTG+2: 15,198 (60.8 bb)
Hero (MP1): 13,844 (55.4 bb)
MP2: 13,534 (54.1 bb)
MP3: 6,283 (25.1 bb)
CO: 10,713 (42.9 bb)
BTN: 5,350 (21.4 bb)
Preflop: Hero is MP1 with A
A
UTG+2 raises to 500,
Hero raises to 1,250, 6 folds, UTG+2 calls 750
Flop: (3,115) T
8
K
(2 players)
UTG+2 checks,
Hero bets 1,258, UTG+2 calls 1,258
Turn: (5,631) 2
(2 players)
UTG+2 checks,
Hero bets 6,716
After villain called my 3bet preflop, I put his range on [99-QQ,AQo+,AQs,KQs], when the flop came, villain's range contain 19.4% of top pair,40% of pocket pairs below top,8.33% set, other was ace high(but with gutshot). As the pot odd I offered, I think villain will fold AQo(6 combo) and some 99(1combo). The turn 2c only improve AQs backdoor flush( so consider it as a blank), so I guess villain still retains his equity, villain has 33.3%by holding top pair or set(set has only 1 combo), and only has 3.33% of flush draw, after above analysis, I though if a flush( club or diamond) come, I might hard to get value from villain, so I made a big bet on the turn(over pot).
Should I bet over pot? Is there anyway to improve my analysis?