[converted_hand][hand_history]Poker Stars, $100 Buy-in (125/250 blinds, 30 ante) No Limit Hold'em Tournament, 8 Players
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SB: 14,924 (59.7 bb)
BB: 2,737 (10.9 bb)
UTG+2: 15,198 (60.8 bb)
Hero (MP1): 13,844 (55.4 bb)
MP2: 13,534 (54.1 bb)
MP3: 6,283 (25.1 bb)
CO: 10,713 (42.9 bb)
BTN: 5,350 (21.4 bb)

Preflop: Hero is MP1 with A A
UTG+2 raises to 500, Hero raises to 1,250, 6 folds, UTG+2 calls 750

Flop: (3,115) T 8 K (2 players)
UTG+2 checks, Hero bets 1,258, UTG+2 calls 1,258

Turn: (5,631) 2 (2 players)
UTG+2 checks, Hero bets 6,716

After villain called my 3bet preflop, I put his range on [99-QQ,AQo+,AQs,KQs], when the flop came, villain's range contain 19.4% of top pair,40% of pocket pairs below top,8.33% set, other was ace high(but with gutshot). As the pot odd I offered, I think villain will fold AQo(6 combo) and some 99(1combo). The turn 2c only improve AQs backdoor flush( so consider it as a blank), so I guess villain still retains his equity, villain has 33.3%by holding top pair or set(set has only 1 combo), and only has 3.33% of flush draw, after above analysis, I though if a flush( club or diamond) come, I might hard to get value from villain, so I made a big bet on the turn(over pot).
Should I bet over pot? Is there anyway to improve my analysis?

I would check and call/raise river depending on the sizing. If he checks river i bet small or overbet shove.

Btw villain probably call wider pre because the small 3b sizing

Id say his range when he calls your pf bet is wider, when the stacks are deep like this he could also have 77,88,KJs/o,AKs/o,AJs/o.

I dont mind the bigger sizing ott really if we can set up a nice pot size jam otr

So after your 3-bet, the pot size is 240+750+1000 = 1990. Your 750 raise offers nearly 3-1, which means villain should call with 100% of his opening hands, which may include things as low as JTs.

As played, check behind and call nearly all rivers seems to be the right move.

overbetting pot is one of many options. as a creative play i like it. once he calls flop, i'd have him on Tx to Kx, including QJ. turn is an obvious brick, but has the benefit of V now seeing cc combos in your range.

10/10 for thinking on these lines.

jam any brick river and be called a high % by heroes with Kx even Tx. it's a rly clever play. be a little careful on any d or T+ river tho.

I think your thinking is spot on here. He can't give up his top-pairs and combo-draws as he will find a way to believe you have two clubs on turn and want to the end the hand there.

Doesn't achieve much esp w/ this spr and your blockers.

Flop sizing is not so hot
Turn looks fine

Please ignore folks in this thread recommending checking turn