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Mid-High Stakes MTT Discussion and analysis of mid-high stakes MTT strategy

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Old 05-10-2017, 01:06 AM   #1
erc007
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ACR 150k KQs Flop and Turn Spots

Winning Poker Network (Yatahay) - 7,500/15,000 NL - Holdem - 7 players
Hand converted by PokerTracker 4

One significant read (not available at time of the hand)...vill defended Q6o in a subsequent hand vs me BB v HJ. Main question is whether its > to bet an amount ott that makes his FDs indifferent and/or makes him have to call some 2pr?

I'm effectively shoving for 1.2x pot ott.

MP: 240,600 (VPIP: 28.17, PFR: 14.29, 3Bet Preflop: 13.79, Hands: 71)
Hero (CO): 951,582
BTN: 790,768 (VPIP: 17.65, PFR: 13.06, 3Bet Preflop: 5.96, Hands: 344)
SB: 825,538 (VPIP: 40.00, PFR: 22.22, 3Bet Preflop: 0.00, Hands: 10)
BB: 635,505 (VPIP: 0.00, PFR: 0.00, 3Bet Preflop: -, Hands: 3)
UTG: 279,747 (VPIP: 21.13, PFR: 10.00, 3Bet Preflop: 3.13, Hands: 71)
UTG+1: 203,886 (VPIP: 13.79, PFR: 10.71, 3Bet Preflop: 8.33, Hands: 58)

7 players post ante of 1,500, SB posts SB 7,500, BB posts BB 15,000

Pre Flop: (pot: 33,000) Hero has Q K

fold, fold, fold, Hero raises to 31,225, fold, fold, BB calls 16,225

Flop: (80,450, 2 players) K T 9
BB checks, Hero bets 46,545, BB raises to 150,000, Hero calls 103,455

Turn: (380,450, 2 players) J
BB checks, Hero bets 768,857 and is all-in, fold
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Old 05-10-2017, 01:10 AM   #2
lolposting2016
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Re: ACR 150k KQs Flop and Turn Spots

Think choosing this sizing is pretty meh. What are your bluffs? You're choosing a size that is designed to let you bluff more in a spot where you can't rly have enough bluffs to balance w this size. What other hands are you realistically overbet jamming
This turn spot looks much better for like 3/4 imo

Last edited by lolposting2016; 05-10-2017 at 01:11 AM. Reason: But what the f do I know I busted at 2/400 in this tourny
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Old 05-10-2017, 01:18 AM   #3
erc007
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Re: ACR 150k KQs Flop and Turn Spots

Quote:
Originally Posted by lolposting2016 View Post
Think choosing this sizing is pretty meh. What are your bluffs? You're choosing a size that is designed to let you bluff more in a spot where you can't rly have enough bluffs to balance w this size. What other hands are you realistically overbet jamming
This turn spot looks much better for like 3/4 imo
So you're 3bet jamming all ur NFD combos otf? Most of them have little to no SDV vs the range he's repping w a c/r. We don't need that many bluffs when we rep such a narrow range for value.

(awaiting sim results tho...so u very well may be correct sir )
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Old 05-10-2017, 03:28 AM   #4
cicakman
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Re: ACR 150k KQs Flop and Turn Spots

I like it
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Old 05-10-2017, 05:15 AM   #5
Minatorr
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Re: ACR 150k KQs Flop and Turn Spots

Seems fine
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Old 05-11-2017, 12:28 PM   #6
betgo
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Re: ACR 150k KQs Flop and Turn Spots

29 out of 46 river cards put a possible flush or boat on the board or give any ace a higher straight. You are not going to be happy if villain calls and shoves first to act on any of those 29 cards.

However, I am not sure what you could be shoving the turn with other than a queen. Also, it is hard for villain to call without a queen. I guess you could have a combo draw, but it would be risky over betting with that being in bad shape if called by a straight or set. It is an interesting spot and the push may be best.
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Old 05-11-2017, 01:23 PM   #7
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Re: ACR 150k KQs Flop and Turn Spots

Who cares if we only have Qs tho?
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