Quote:
Originally Posted by deuceblocker
Not a 6-5 favorite, a 65% favorite, almost a 2-1 favorite. It doesn't matter if the opponent has a random hand, a top 20% hand or a top 10% hand.That is because AA plays well against pocket pairs.
It varies by types of aces. The best aces are like 70% an quad aces are like 52%. However, these are slightly better than average aces.
The ICM issues here are huge, but a would still go with it.
Your 65% is incorrect.
https://www.pokernews.com/strategy/c...maha-29959.htm
Aces and Other Big Pairs
Now it's time to talk about the famous aces. These {A-}{A-}{x-}{x-} hands are always good preflop and you will play them.
You must keep in mind, however, that PLO is primarily a postflop game. That means in those cases when you aren't able to squeeze it preflop, there are other factors besides the two aces in your hand — namely your position, your stack size, and the other two cards in your hand — that might cause you to have to play the hand carefully.
For example, if you have {A-Clubs}{A-Hearts}{9-Diamonds}{4-Spades} and your opponent has {J-Spades}{10-Spades}{8-Hearts}{5-Hearts}, you're only about 52.3 percent to have the best hand by the river. In other words, these "bad aces" are basically flipping in this example.
[com] Ios Silver Lion 728x90 June 5th
If we were playing hold'em, {A-Clubs}{A-Hearts} would be about a 79.2 percent against {J-Hearts}{10-Hearts}, and a 79.5 percent favorite against {8-Spades}{5-Spades}.
As you can see, aces that aren't working with your other two cards aren't that strong of a hand, and depending on the situation it is even more profitable to just limp with them.
Finally, let's say you are dealt {Q-Diamonds}{Q-Spades}{7-Hearts}{2-Clubs}. At this point, you are probably already imagining what I am going to say — that's right, it is a bad hand.
Notice again how the four cards aren't interacting with each other. Even if you flop a set of queens, you never will have redraws or backdoors.
Against this hand, someone with {A-Spades}{9-Hearts}{6-Hearts}{4-Spades} is about a 52.2 percent favorite against you. Meanwhile in hold'em pocket queens would be a little better than a 72 percent favorite over {A-Spades}{9-Hearts}. All of which means you shouldn't be willing to invest too much money with this type of hand.