$600 Live event - 9BB spot
Join Date: Feb 2015
Posts: 128
Early in Day 2, 54 left out of 560. We've only played approximately 2 orbits, so not a ton of info on villains.
9-handed with blinds of 2000-4000-500 ante
UTG: 150K
UTG+2: 120K
Hero: 39K (9BB)
CO: 360K
Button: 50K
SB: 110K
BB: 90K
UTG opens to 11K, UTG+2 3bets to 29K, folds to Hero in HJ....who looks down at AQcc.
My thoughts are that I have zero FE now, and that one or more of my outs are dirty with 2 players acting before me.
My initial range for UTG is 22+, A2s+, AJo+, K9s+, KT+, Q9s+, QTo+, J9S+, JTo+, T9s+
UTG+2 range estimate: 99+, AJo+, AJs+
Hero?
Join Date: Sep 2004
Posts: 3,933
Gotta stuff it.
Assuming UTG folds and UTG+2 calls.
35K to win 95.5K. You need 36% which you most surely do have.
If UTG Shoves then 35K to win 113.5K. If UTG shoves and has AK or KK you are still getting the odds. You only need 31%.
Join Date: Nov 2005
Posts: 4,365
Assume you are already ITM, correct?
With 9BBs your shoving range is much wider than top 3% even with the action. Gotta have some rungood to get back in the game!