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k GTD WSOP Bluff River Spot k GTD WSOP Bluff River Spot

07-31-2020 , 09:08 AM
Top 75 cash 188 remaining both are top 30 stacks.

1600/800(200) - 45bb effective - QT
UTG(75bb) opens we defend BB(Effective Stack)
Effective Stack - 43.7bb
Flop Size - 5.5bb
Flop - 8, 5, 3
He bets 33% i xr 3.3x
Turn - 2
I bet 61% he calls
River - 5 - I shove all in for 64.4%

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As anticipated i will be raising here a fair amount as the BB pushing close to 20%

[IMG][/IMG]

Thought process in game is that though a blank this is a fairly decent card for my XR range we keep it neutral vs range that we have disadvantage against and we improve both back door straight and back door club bluffs. +EV to bet QTo with spade or club. I know in game that PIO typically prefers the higher kicker in EV on the draw. I think betting is fine as its +EV and we can't expect to play perfect in every spot.

[IMG][/IMG]

I felt river was a clear bluff. More merrit in checking some of our Axo overs with a club if we were to shut down some bluffs vs range that could hero wider. Surprisingly PIO actually has him defending wide as optimal anyway down to 98s but imo best bluffs will be missed OESD, Straigh blocker like 74s and broadway non A offsuit hands with a club. Imo stack preservation not an issue ICM not a factor.

Wanted to get opinions on line for in game and out of game analysis and see if anyone can contribute to thought process. Thanks.

Last edited by Mateo94; 07-31-2020 at 09:33 AM.
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