Quote:
Originally Posted by OutPlayU27
OP...Otr, do you really overbet jamm AK,AQ for value?
A bet like 40K does the job done.
Pre i will always flat, nice hand to defend, unless V opens really wide and has high % fold to 3bet.
Itīs actually not an overbet, because opponent has 66k behind OTR and the pot is 88K.
Yes, I am betting AI OTR with AK/AQ, if I donīt do that, I will be too bluff heavy here. Also, preflop I usually flat w/58s on btn vs BB, but mixing it up like 10-20% of the time by 3betting.
I made a quick calc summing up the hand combinations V will likely have on this river:
Hands that V is calling with: (I put AK 4betting half of the time):
AJ
9 AK
6 AQ
12 A7s
3 77
3 JJ
3 A2s
3 all:
39 combinations
Hands that V is folding with:
AT
12 A9s
3 9Ts
1 KQs
1 KTs
1 KJs
1 QTs
1 QJs
1 JTs
1 J9s
1 all:
23 combinations
Under this assumption Villain is calling
63% of the time and folding
37% of the time. V gets pot odds of 2,34:1 (=30%) on the river.
So I guess figuring out what V will do with eg. AT is critical, because if he calls everytime with that, my bluff is superbad. IMO, AT is not a good
bluffcatcher since it blocks so many of my broadway bluff combos. Also, that 8d in my hand is doing some card removal with negative effect on my bluff.