What do you think of selecting this hand for 3barrel bluff? Villain seemed decent, 32/24/15 folded 2/4 to 3bets. I think that eight of diamonds really hurts me, cos´ it removes possibility of V having two those combo draws 89dd and 8Tdd that he is calling everytime on turn.

Party, $20 Buy-in (800/1,600 blinds, 160 ante) No Limit Hold'em Tournament, 5 Players
Poker Tools Powered By Holdem Manager - The Ultimate Poker Software Suite.

SB: 43,013 (26.9 bb)
Hero (BB): 196,332 (122.7 bb)
MP: 38,202 (23.9 bb)
CO: 57,468 (35.9 bb)
BTN: 109,869 (68.7 bb)

Preflop: Hero is BB with 5 8
2 folds, BTN raises to 3,520, SB folds, Hero raises to 12,344, BTN calls 8,824

Flop: (26,288) J 7 A (2 players)
Hero bets 8,675, BTN calls 8,675

Turn: (43,638) 2 (2 players)
Hero bets 22,455, BTN calls 22,455

River: (88,548) 6 (2 players)
Hero bets 152,698 and is all-in,

Pre is whatever - think 85s is fine as a defend or 3-bet. Bigger on flop, at least 13-14K.

When villain calls flop/calls turn, I just wonder if we'll get heroed too often with Ax when the draws brick. If there's ICM or pay jump considerations I can see this being good.

3bet more polar pre. 85s is a fine defend considering positions and antes.

Post flop you want to bet/bet/jam hands without diamonds. Card removal ends up being unfavourable for you here. That being said, people's fold by street looks like 45/40/50, so most river bets end up being very profitable anyway given the populations tendency to over fold.

I don't like the fact we have 2 diamonds. With the hand we have once he calls the turn I'm done unless I improve. I'd like a hand like KQ or KT with no diamonds a lot better to do this with.

river spot is interesting to discuss
but its funny there`re disagreements b4 river.

3betting is perfectly fine. At this depth we should prefer playability and barreling BDGSs only simplifies opponent`s strategy.

hmm.. I wonder why (even 100bb deep)?
70bb deep its perfect sizing.

On the river you have 8-high and 8 diamond isn`t worst one.
First you should give-up your K-highs at least so I think its ok unless you`re biggest spewtard on the planet

Generally making it larger complicate things both for you and the opponent so you shouldn`t approach flop strat as template.

I think pre is fine, but I would 3b smaller, i think 3.1x is ok here

I would fire twice and give up on the river I think we getting looked up by Ax too often here, people generally dont fold top pair after def 3b in a btn to bb dynamic, they should usually fold pre if they going to fold post in 3b pot as its really exploitable

Flat pre and take the the 4/1, BTN calls nearly always and I don't like playing 58s OOP with an inflated pot.

I bet a little bigger on the flop and a little smaller on the turn and if give up on the river.

On boards that should be good for our range why wouldn't we want to bet somewhat larger, at least the size of our initial 3-bet? If I had a strong Ax hand or 2p+ I'd certainly want to be betting a size that gets value from worse Ax, Jx and draws. I think that 1/3 pot sizing is better on a drier board.

All that being said, I don't think a small bet is some big mistake, it's just not how I'd approach that board texture.

Because this case you can`t bet whole range or close to it, you would have to develop checking range etc etc

I myself like this approach but I think majority dont.

We have a FD and no SDV, we can put a lot of pressure on one pair hands and weak Ax.
And also, V still can have KT , QJ, T9 etc. that can´t call river obv.

OP...Otr, do you really overbet jamm AK,AQ for value?
A bet like 40K does the job done.
Pre i will always flat, nice hand to defend, unless V opens really wide and has high % fold to 3bet.

It´s actually not an overbet, because opponent has 66k behind OTR and the pot is 88K.

Yes, I am betting AI OTR with AK/AQ, if I don´t do that, I will be too bluff heavy here. Also, preflop I usually flat w/58s on btn vs BB, but mixing it up like 10-20% of the time by 3betting.


I made a quick calc summing up the hand combinations V will likely have on this river:

Hands that V is calling with: (I put AK 4betting half of the time):
AJ 9 AK 6 AQ 12 A7s 3 77 3 JJ 3 A2s 3 all: 39 combinations

Hands that V is folding with:
AT 12 A9s 3 9Ts 1 KQs 1 KTs 1 KJs 1 QTs 1 QJs 1 JTs 1 J9s 1 all: 23 combinations

Under this assumption Villain is calling 63% of the time and folding 37% of the time. V gets pot odds of 2,34:1 (=30%) on the river.

So I guess figuring out what V will do with eg. AT is critical, because if he calls everytime with that, my bluff is superbad. IMO, AT is not a good
bluffcatcher since it blocks so many of my broadway bluff combos. Also, that 8d in my hand is doing some card removal with negative effect on my bluff.