Quote:
Originally Posted by jpgiro
I think leading flop isn't terrible as we can easily have all of the A8/K8/88 combos and lots of draws. With A8 specifically we block AA which is the most likely trap combo. There are plenty of worse pairs and draws that will peel at least once, and we can get value from those before the board changes in ways they don't like.
As played I don't mind jamming river if we think our opponent (who cover us) has any hero tendencies at all. Villain may have one combo of AA, one combo of 88 but lots of worse two pairs and Ax. I really discount KK and AK as most players who have limping strategies tend not to limp those hands.
This is one of the best hands in our range (maybe we have 5s4s or 5d4d, maybe 88 some % of the time) and the fact we could play our busted flush draws this way leads me to think we can get called by worse two pair or even naked Ax quite a bit.
If we do bet smaller on the river, we 100% have to be prepared to call off if we get jammed on.
What do you expect to get called by / how often do you actually think you get called when we use a 1.5x pot river jam. To be fair when you bet a size on the turn such as 5k I expect villian to be somewhat committed to this pot unless he has a flush draw. Something to note as well is how deep everyone is. Yes we have a the top of our range here as played but that doesn’t mean we are getting a full double up here. I would strictly target the limpers weak range here and try to bet sizes on the turn or river that are going to get called more often. Fwiw as well I would never use flush draws to bluff as those are the hands we want villian to have by the river that will fold. And like I said when you use a size on the turn that is likely committing villian I would strongly advise not to unload the clip. Also while we are at it the low flush draws should not be leads or even check raises simply because when you get there you will run into better flushes a % of the time and I like to control the size of the pot with these.
Last edited by Makeup; 03-15-2019 at 06:29 PM.