Poker Stars $20+$2 No Limit Hold'em Tournament - t25/t50 Blinds - 9 players
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UTG+2: t5820 116.40 BBs
Hero (MP1): t5605 112.10 BBs
MP2: t7829 156.58 BBs
CO: t5924 118.48 BBs
BTN: t3150 63 BBs
SB: t9189 183.78 BBs
BB: t6200 124 BBs
UTG: t5820 116.40 BBs
UTG+1: t6193 123.86 BBs

Pre Flop: (t75) Hero is MP1 with A A
3 folds, Hero raises to t150, 1 fold, CO calls t150, 3 folds

Flop: (t375) 7 9 9 (2 players)
Hero bets t275, CO calls t275

Turn: (t925) 4 (2 players)
Hero checks, CO bets t470, Hero calls t470

River: (t1865) 5 (2 players)
Hero checks, CO bets t1030, Hero ??????

pretty early spot and i have no reads here. Im mostly wondering about what to do on this turn... he doesnt have to have the flush every time and could be floating along with some kind of straight draw or small pp. Seems too weak to just fold AA here.

But if i lead out here and get reraised, then what? just shove and hope he has 88 or something? seems like he would only reraise with a 9, flush, and maybe a few times with a PP that i beat. Probably folding most stuff I beat, and never calling.

when i check I feel like he could be putting me on AK now and decide to make a move with a wider range of weak PPs, draws, so I decided to call/reevaluate river, but wasnt necessarily convinced that i was ahead if it blanked...

So would it be better to lead out on the turn and find out where I am at the cost of chasing away any further action, or do we try to get to a cheap showdown here or what? And do we call any time the river is a blank, or give him credit for flush/9 if he fires big here?

Just b/f the turn and b/f river.

I wouldn't say we're firing out to see where we are, we're betting for value against the part of his range that is currently behind to AA.

+1

gotta bet turn. there are so many parts of his range we can get value from, 7x, TT-JJ type hands, also for value/protection against t8 and single heart draws.

Agree w/ the above, can't check turn, giving up way too much value. You played the hand so passively that he can't think your as strong as you are here.

^
So he has to call river then? I agree with the analysis about b/f turn and river, way you played it you have to click call and see if he took you to valuetown.

pretty much

yepppp

b/f turn for value
river either b/f or c/f

Which would also imply that as played call river? That's what I was thinking anyway.

I should add that c/c when the scare card hits is bad. And yes I'm aware of losing less when we're beat etc....