$22 12.5k.. do I 3b turn or call river? - MTT Poker Strategy

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$22 12.5k.. do I 3b turn or call river?

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01-18-2018 , 10:24 PM

Knittle

adept

Join Date: Dec 2015 Posts: 828

http://www.pokerhandreplays.com/view.php/id/8700856

Thought process:
Flop: ok good flop
turn: ok better turn.. wtf 3b? Ok his range contains a lot of combination of 7's who are flatting my open from SB and the only hand that is bluffing this turn is combinations that have a 7.
River: Easy fold?

Not sure.. I mean I think 3/4 bet on flop and turn showed a ton of strength from us.. I just can't see him ever jamming that river without a 7 or.. 3rd set? Idk. Really confused me a bit.. almost called but yeah.

Appreciate insight.. I'm a learning student so bare with me

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01-19-2018 , 01:06 AM

wowsooooted

Pooh-Bah

Join Date: Jan 2013 Posts: 5,077

what hand do you have?

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01-19-2018 , 01:03 PM

Knittle

adept

Join Date: Dec 2015 Posts: 828

Sorry, I'm "Knittle"

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01-19-2018 , 08:52 PM

wowsooooted

Pooh-Bah

Join Date: Jan 2013 Posts: 5,077

it still doesn't say what hand you have

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01-22-2018 , 09:11 AM

nomalice

old hand

Join Date: Oct 2014 Posts: 1,651

Quote:

Originally Posted by wowsooooted

it still doesn't say what hand you have

true

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01-22-2018 , 02:23 PM

Knittle

adept

Join Date: Dec 2015 Posts: 828

Idk why.. had A9

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01-22-2018 , 03:15 PM

HawkesDave

adept

Join Date: Jul 2016 Posts: 1,173

V is unlikely to have floated with the BD flush draw since the A hit the turn, which removes some his bluffs and makes this a harder decision. Probably call but feel gross doing so. Definitely a lot more hands he can have here besides a 7.

I think you played the rest of the hand very well.

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01-22-2018 , 03:26 PM

Soepgroente

Pooh-Bah

Join Date: Sep 2008 Posts: 4,083

I don't think the river changes too much, he really shouldn't have a 7 unless he was bluffing with T7 or floated the flop with just a gutter and over or turned 97 into a bluff, and all of these seem fairly unlikely. You shouldn't have 7x either so this river is safe enough for him to jam everything he raised for value on the turn. In practice this is probably a good fold, in theory you should probably call down because it's hard to make top 2 blind vs blind.

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01-22-2018 , 08:06 PM

wowsooooted

Pooh-Bah

Join Date: Jan 2013 Posts: 5,077

flop I can get behind raising sometimes limping sometimes depending on the bb. By limping some strong hands we can protect our limping range a bit.

AP the hand seems fine. I dont think we can punt 43bb on the river now when he shows up with sets and flopped straight sometimes. Also we block worse 2p's and I think hes often checking back worse on a scary river.

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01-23-2018 , 08:06 PM

#10

Knittle

adept

Join Date: Dec 2015 Posts: 828

Thanks for the insight guys, highly appreciated!

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