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€175 - live - Bubble decision

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10-18-2021 , 01:22 PM

White_Magic

stranger

Join Date: Oct 2021 Posts: 1

What's up guys, the hand below has been grinding my gears. Looking for some thoughts and insight, appreciate all input!

This is a €175 live MTT, 300k gtd.
This is on the stone cold bubble (2 before ITM). This tournament has a BB ante.

Hero: 40ish bb
Villain: 45ish bb
Average: 17bb

Hero is MP: Open As5s -> 2.1bb
Villain in BB: call

Flop Js8s9x

Villain x
Hero bet 2bb
Villain raise 7bb
Hero ?

Many thanks, look forward to the discussion

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10-19-2021 , 01:35 PM

Beachman42

Pooh-Bah

Join Date: Nov 2005 Posts: 4,365

If cashing is important to you, fold pre. If it isn't, then I like a call here on the flop. Checking behind on this particular flop isn't horrible, but BB has a bit of a range advantage and certainly a nut advantage here.

With 18 bigs in the middle when the turn hits, if I don't see a spade I'm likely done with the hand. Readless, can't see getting out of line here or on the turn making much sense.

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10-19-2021 , 10:01 PM

3for3poker

old hand

Join Date: Jun 2015 Posts: 1,504

On the bubble and being covered this seems like a good spot to check the flop. We aren't getting a lot of folds from hands that beat us, and building the pot with a draw on the bubble isn't really our goal.

As played, just call flop, we are getting a good enough price to see the turn, in position. There will either be turns Villain checks where we see both cards, or turns Villain bets when we make our flush. A Q,T,7 that aren't spades will often check through.

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10-20-2021 , 09:48 AM

ledn

MTTLivePro

Join Date: Feb 2017 Posts: 1,107

I am checking back flop as well. Range disadvantage vs a bb that covers us means we want to keep the pot small. Its also good to be able to check back and have the nut flush in a spot where the bb might try to rep it.

If the bb was a 20-30bb stack then I would be more inclined to bet the flop and play more aggressive.

And as played, call the flop raise and try to bink the turn. You are probably going to have to fold to a turn barrel.

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