Bovada SMPO3 $11 Cubed 5K GTD. Starting stack 6k if rebuy and add-on taken. 9 handed. Blinds 250/500/50.
UTG folds
Hero UTG+1 (8200 chips) makes it 1000 with J
J
MP1 (9200 chips) folds
LJ (33467 chips) folds
HJ (8450 chips) calls
CO (10678 chips) folds
Button (2915 chips) folds
SB (3952 chips) folds
BB (7406 chips) folds
Flop 7
Q
5
(Pot 3200) effective stacks 7200
Hero bets 1420
HJ raises to 2840
Hero ??
I included everyone's chip stack because I thought it was important to our decision to open preflop instead of jam preflop. Lot's of reshove sized stacks out there.
On the flop, I don't think we can do anything but bet, and something between 1200-1500 should be enough I would think. If we're assuming villian doesn't do this as a bluff as a baseline to start from, his range is something like (77,55,KQs,QJs,AhJh,KhJh,AhTh,JhTh,KQo). I included 55 and 77 because opponents at this level will definitely setmine in poor spots. We're terrible against this range (14%). But, if we add like bluffs from 66,88,and non-heart KJs, we're 43.4%. Is it a stretch to think villian does this with enough bluff combos knowing it puts our AK, AJs, 99-JJ in a tough spot? If we're opening 99+, AQo+, AJs+, this is about half of our hand combos.