Recap #1: Unfortunately were down a bit on this first recap, the prevailing theme has been running well below statistical expectation on all-in equity and that has led to some much smaller winning sessions and inflated losing sessions. We had a big 2 session downswing that was the worst of it. The first of these 2 sessions I should have moved seats/tables because had a higher stakes player playing down with position on me and we had to check call 2 big 3 barrel bluff lines both of which he won on river when backing into a flush and a 2 pair off bottom pair, he also de-polarized on the 2 pair which threw me through a bit of a loop. I’m certain he bets all bricks same sizing so in that sense it was unavoidable, however I could have moved to a much easier spot/table. The second of the big losing sessions was just nightmare run bad losing set < quads, AA < 22, KK < AK, set < 4 card flush, and set < set flop so this one doesn’t even need too much review/correction. Other than that had a $2200+ pot all in on turn with nut double gutter filled straight at Flamingo 2-5 but dudes quads came in so that was a significant hit.
The encouraging thing is the games themselves have been rarely challenging as attested by the session win %, we are also getting in better than expected total hours volume. These 2 things should help us get back on the right track fast if we can even run mediocre on equity outcomes.
Running ‘ok’ and playing well in the plo and 5-10 but have been trying to do minimal plo hours, it just becomes necessary at times based on how much better the games have been during those sessions than the available 2-5nlh. Also played very little 5-10nlh thusfar, the first session of it I played was just sooo good that I haven’t seen it’s equal just yet but I’m actively looking and will jump in when I do.
This should be a big (30ish) hour weekend so should be able to get some good work done.
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