Expecting the worst
It seems like one of those streaks that will go on for a while. You know they happen. When you are running hot, and it seems like nothing can go wrong you tell yourself you’re ready for it to end, that you know things will turn sour at some point. You’ve been through it before and you know it will happen again. You tell yourself you’re ready for it. But you’re never really ready for it.
And so it’s here. The multi hundred hour breakeven period/downswing. You know it’s really nothing because you’ve really only played 5000 hands or so in that time frame. You recall the days when you played online and would play 5000 hands in a day or two. You never cared about breakeven stretches of 5000 hands because it was so short in real time.
Fast forward to live poker. 5000 hand samples are still nothing, but they feel like forever. You’re one tabling, and you’re playing for 10-20x the stakes. 5000 hands is forever. The hands mean so much more.
—
In our first interesting hand after the 5/T opens up we see an open to 35 from UTG +1. We look down at K
K
UTG +2 and bump it up to 130. Only the original raiser calls. We go to a flop of J
J
4
. And he checks it over to us. We check back and see the 7
on the turn. Our opponent bets 90 and we call. The river is the 4
and our opponent fires for 425. We snap it off and have our opponent announce ‘board’. Great, that’s a start we can get behind.
Shortly after we see a MP1 open to 40, and we look down at 5
5
in the CO and make the call. The SB comes along and we see a flop of T
9
5
SB and raiser check to us and we bet 65. SB folds and raiser pops it to 200. We call and go to a Q
on the turn. He doesn’t stop now, and wagers 400. We call again, and then see the A
on the river. Villain wagers 800 and we tank fold. That seems more like it.
Next up, there’s an open from MP to 35, and one of the biggest donators alive calls in the CO. We call in the BB with K
9
. The flop comes K
5
5
and we check. Raiser bets 80, and whale folds. We call and go to a 2
on the turn. We check, he wagers 190, and we call. The river is the T
and we check again. He doesn’t stop, and wagers 1,010. We lay it down.
We pick up Q
Q
OTB and see an open to 35, and two calls. We make it 205 to go. The raiser folds, and the donator backraises all in for 450. It folds to us and we call. The board runs out 4 diamonds, but we lose to KQhh on AKT65 with 4 diamonds. Not sure we’d beat any hand on that board.
Lastly we pick up T
9
OTB and see an open from CO. We call, and the BB, the big whale calls. The flop comes T
9
3
and the whale leads 75. Original raiser calls, and we bump it to 250. Whale folds and raiser calls. The turn is the 8
and he checks it over to us. We wager 375. He thinks for a bit, and makes it 980. We make the fold and he flashes the J. We don’t need to see the other card because we know his game.
Just one of those days(or weeks, months)
gl all
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