Just to clarify the propbet. Is it 4ev bb or 4.00 evbb?

Yes should be a fun one. Given the EV outline I really can't afford to play more than 9 tables so that will be my baseline. Estimating about 235-250 hours of play time.

Yeah, the odds are not in my favor but will be very motivated to give it my best.

Most volume I've ever had in a month is 80k... so agreed

Thank you boss

Not sure what you mean exactly, 4 EV bb/100

Due to utilizing only one significant digit in your original statement of, "4 ev bb/100" it's possible it may be interpreted as "equal to or greater than 3.50 ev bb/100"... So clarification prior to the start of the bet utilizing significant figures to the hundredths place would be advised.

Found the scientist

150k at 100nl+ is gonna be tough with NJ traffic but doable if you grind all 8 hours from 7pm-2AM. Good luck!

GL on the prop bet. I run so bad vs you btw . Thoughts on pure reason?

Yeah will be incorporating morning hours for the month. #twoadays

I still have no idea your sn, PM?

Won't go into too much detail with any player, but he's solid, does some things well and like everyone else has a few leaks as well.

I've had quite a bit of frustrating sessions since my stop in Borgata, culminating in a pretty biggish loss tonight at 1k. My shots have worked out horrendously at 1/2k that I decided to block the stakes after tonight. I wanted to ***** about it but I had coaching at 4 am (#wholovesitmore) and he's running way worse than me for way more money. Moral of the story is: 1.) There's no justice in poker and 2.) Someone always has it worse.

Anyway, feel a lot better about my game after coaching and just really going into depth about spots.

For the rest of the month I'm Going to just stick to the 200/500 mix with some 100 if not enough games are running. Despite getting hammered, I already think I can win at those stakes, not like I'm crushing them of course but think I'm +EV in a good amount of lineups. This change will also help get me ready for my October bet, where I'll be very transparent about my results.

Massive sample of my 1/2k shots




Hands:

1.) Oof, should size down on river got the classic nit roll.
'

888 Poker - $5 NL (6 max) - Holdem - 3 players
Hand converted by PokerTracker 4

Hero (SB): 120.75 BB
BB: 153.61 BB (VPIP: 31.05, PFR: 19.14, 3Bet Preflop: 5.16, Hands: 1,077)
BTN: 305.63 BB (VPIP: 28.32, PFR: 19.32, 3Bet Preflop: 6.04, Hands: 3,594)

Hero posts SB 0.5 BB, BB posts BB 1 BB

Pre Flop: (pot: 1.5 BB) Hero has 8 8

fold, Hero raises to 3 BB, BB calls 2 BB

Flop: (6 BB, 2 players) 4 3 6
Hero checks, BB bets 3 BB, Hero raises to 10.8 BB, BB calls 7.8 BB

Turn: (27.6 BB, 2 players) K
Hero bets 14 BB, BB calls 14 BB

River: (55.6 BB, 2 players) K
Hero bets 92.95 BB and is all-in, BB calls 92.95 BB

Hero shows 8 8 (Two Pair, Kings and Eights)
(Pre 71%, Flop 56%, Turn 5%)
BB shows 5 K (Three of a Kind, Kings)
(Pre 29%, Flop 44%, Turn 95%)
BB wins 241.2 BB


2.) Against weak reg

888 Poker - $10 NL (6 max) - Holdem - 6 players
Hand converted by PokerTracker 4

Hero (BTN): 162.71 BB
SB: 114.38 BB (VPIP: 27.89, PFR: 21.05, 3Bet Preflop: 10.88, Hands: 584)
BB: 173.82 BB (VPIP: 28.82, PFR: 20.30, 3Bet Preflop: 6.94, Hands: 871)
UTG: 210.33 BB (VPIP: 28.55, PFR: 16.40, 3Bet Preflop: 5.61, Hands: 697)
MP: 250.4 BB (VPIP: 22.55, PFR: 16.73, 3Bet Preflop: 6.29, Hands: 11,444)
CO: 100.63 BB (VPIP: 44.81, PFR: 31.17, 3Bet Preflop: 15.71, Hands: 161)

SB posts SB 0.5 BB, BB posts BB 1 BB

Pre Flop: (pot: 1.5 BB) Hero has 9 7

fold, fold, fold, Hero raises to 2 BB, SB raises to 8 BB, fold, Hero calls 6 BB

Flop: (17 BB, 2 players) T 2 8
SB bets 8.5 BB, Hero raises to 22.7 BB, SB raises to 106.38 BB and is all-in, Hero calls 83.68 BB

Turn: (229.75 BB, 2 players) K

River: (229.75 BB, 2 players) 8

Hero shows 9 7 (One Pair, Eights)
(Pre 20%, Flop 52%, Turn 30%)
SB shows K K (Full House, Kings full of Eights)
(Pre 80%, Flop 48%, Turn 70%)
SB wins 229.45 BB


3.) Reg having none of it...


888 Poker - $10 NL (6 max) - Holdem - 3 players
Hand converted by PokerTracker 4

Hero (BTN): 100 BB
SB: 113.69 BB (VPIP: 24.19, PFR: 9.23, 3Bet Preflop: 3.85, Hands: 405)
BB: 138.57 BB (VPIP: 58.33, PFR: 41.67, 3Bet Preflop: 20.00, Hands: 26)

SB posts SB 0.5 BB, BB posts BB 1 BB

Pre Flop: (pot: 1.5 BB) Hero has 3 5

Hero raises to 2 BB, SB calls 1.5 BB, BB calls 1 BB

Flop: (6 BB, 3 players) 6 4 8
SB checks, BB bets 2 BB, Hero raises to 7.9 BB, fold, BB calls 5.9 BB

Turn: (21.8 BB, 2 players) K
BB checks, Hero bets 14.7 BB, BB calls 14.7 BB

River: (51.2 BB, 2 players) T
BB checks, Hero bets 75.4 BB and is all-in, BB calls 75.4 BB

Hero shows 3 5 (High Card, King)
(Pre 21%, Flop 54%, Turn 34%)
BB shows 9 9 (One Pair, Nines)
(Pre 79%, Flop 46%, Turn 66%)
BB wins 201.8 BB


4.) A flush does not beat a full house

888 Poker - $2 NL (6 max) - Holdem - 5 players
Hand converted by PokerTracker 4

UTG: 127.15 BB (VPIP: 19.52, PFR: 15.20, 3Bet Preflop: 4.19, Hands: 2,294)
Hero (CO): 151.74 BB
BTN: 122.93 BB (VPIP: 32.77, PFR: 21.88, 3Bet Preflop: 5.20, Hands: 2,920)
SB: 104.17 BB (VPIP: 68.89, PFR: 35.56, 3Bet Preflop: 12.50, Hands: 93)
BB: 190.93 BB (VPIP: 22.93, PFR: 17.48, 3Bet Preflop: 7.43, Hands: 12,233)

SB posts SB 0.5 BB, BB posts BB 1 BB

Pre Flop: (pot: 1.5 BB) Hero has J T

UTG raises to 3 BB, Hero raises to 9 BB, fold, fold, fold, UTG calls 6 BB

Flop: (19.5 BB, 2 players) 3 5 3
UTG checks, Hero bets 6 BB, UTG calls 6 BB

Turn: (31.5 BB, 2 players) 8
UTG checks, Hero bets 22 BB, UTG calls 22 BB

River: (75.5 BB, 2 players) K
UTG checks, Hero bets 114.74 BB and is all-in, UTG calls 90.15 BB and is all-in

UTG shows 8 8 (Full House, Eights full of Threes)
(Pre 50%, Flop 72%, Turn 100%)
Hero shows J T (Flush, King High)
(Pre 50%, Flop 28%, Turn 0%)
UTG wins 254.29 BB


5.) Getting it through

partypoker - $2 NL (6 max) - Holdem - 6 players
Hand converted by PokerTracker 4

CO: 100 BB (VPIP: 24.87, PFR: 18.29, 3Bet Preflop: 6.39, Hands: 1,001)
BTN: 243.71 BB (VPIP: 26.89, PFR: 19.12, 3Bet Preflop: 7.69, Hands: 23,170)
SB: 100 BB (VPIP: 26.08, PFR: 19.05, 3Bet Preflop: 10.23, Hands: 4,729)
BB: 116.74 BB (VPIP: 18.65, PFR: 13.23, 3Bet Preflop: 4.94, Hands: 9,480)
Hero (UTG): 234.78 BB
MP: 102.75 BB (VPIP: 39.38, PFR: 10.86, 3Bet Preflop: 3.08, Hands: 459)

SB posts SB 0.5 BB, BB posts BB 1 BB

Pre Flop: (pot: 1.5 BB) Hero has 9 A

Hero raises to 3 BB, fold, fold, BTN calls 3 BB, fold, fold

Flop: (7.5 BB, 2 players) J T 7
Hero checks, BTN bets 5.31 BB, Hero calls 5.31 BB

Turn: (18.12 BB, 2 players) 4
Hero checks, BTN bets 12.84 BB, Hero calls 12.84 BB

River: (43.79 BB, 2 players) Q
Hero checks, BTN bets 24 BB, Hero raises to 114.29 BB, fold

Hero wins 180.58 BB



Going to finish this month strong and prep for a big October

Hate the river jam with 88. Flop and turn I think are good. Can easilu convince me riv bet is fine too but not a fan of jam

I don't understand how a regular doesn't sqz 100% with 99 after btn open and sb call? H3

Yeah I said size wasn't great although it's probably ok against very good players, river is good i think too probs go about 75%

Yeah he played the hand very poorly pre and flop, he's normally aggressive not sure why he played it that way

I'm assuming he's got SB's flatting range as very tight and making a safer flat. If you look at SB 3bet, it's only 3.8%. Def a deviation from optimal strategy but I can see the merits given 3 player dynamics.

Weak tight fish? I'd still prefer 3b

Stats doesn't look fishy except 3betting kinda low. Might be a nitty reg that traps a ton here and reshoves a lot.

There are a few more scenarios where its better to flat here.

SB was the spot at the table and is a weak tight rec/reg. He wasn't donking it off but definitely a player that's easily exploited.

Yeah should always be a 3b

In that scenario there's more of a merit to flatting although IMO 3betting is more EV. SB had a very small 4bet as well. I'm opening wider than usual because SB isn't 3betting at an optimal frequency and 99 needs to protect it's equity.

If you 3b and everyone folds it's good as you pick up an uncontested pot as a good portion of the time I'll fold, when I call it's ok because you still have a strong hand against a weaker button defending range.

But best case scenario, villain squeezes I fold, SB calls and suddenly he's headsup in a big pot against the spot in position.


----------------------------

I played so bad today had a much deserved shellacking after having a relatively breezy month. I actually had a hand I bluffcatched I'm too shamed to post (but if I was right would have absolutely spammed it )

Been a lot of coolers I've luckily been on the right side of them!


1.) Right side of this one


888 Poker - $5 NL (6 max) - Holdem - 6 players
Hand converted by PokerTracker 4

SB: 146.25 BB (VPIP: 22.52, PFR: 16.68, 3Bet Preflop: 6.25, Hands: 11,722)
BB: 93.75 BB (VPIP: 46.78, PFR: 32.55, 3Bet Preflop: 12.87, Hands: 529)
UTG: 108.9 BB (VPIP: 23.45, PFR: 16.12, 3Bet Preflop: 8.23, Hands: 6,544)
MP: 38.5 BB (VPIP: 17.06, PFR: 10.31, 3Bet Preflop: 9.29, Hands: 1,331)
CO: 221.39 BB (VPIP: 30.14, PFR: 22.64, 3Bet Preflop: 9.96, Hands: 5,085)
Hero (BTN): 117.61 BB

SB posts SB 0.5 BB, BB posts BB 1 BB

Pre Flop: (pot: 1.5 BB) Hero has A A

UTG raises to 2.87 BB, fold, CO calls 2.87 BB, Hero raises to 12.6 BB, fold, fold, UTG raises to 28.33 BB, CO raises to 221.39 BB and is all-in, Hero calls 105.01 BB and is all-in, fold

Flop: (265.04 BB, 2 players) 3 J 3

Turn: (265.04 BB, 2 players) T

River: (265.04 BB, 2 players) 5

CO shows K A (One Pair, Threes)
(Pre 7%, Flop 2%, Turn 9%)
Hero shows A A (Two Pair, Aces and Threes)
(Pre 93%, Flop 98%, Turn 91%)
Hero wins 264.44 BB


2.) Not on this one

888 Poker - $5 NL (6 max) - Holdem - 4 players
Hand converted by PokerTracker 4

SB: 134.33 BB (VPIP: 23.52, PFR: 16.18, 3Bet Preflop: 8.28, Hands: 6,473)
Hero (BB): 116.15 BB
CO: 177.03 BB (VPIP: 29.96, PFR: 22.52, 3Bet Preflop: 9.85, Hands: 5,014)
BTN: 107.73 BB (VPIP: 44.62, PFR: 9.19, 3Bet Preflop: 1.90, Hands: 848)

SB posts SB 0.5 BB, Hero posts BB 1 BB

Pre Flop: (pot: 1.5 BB) Hero has 7 7

fold, BTN calls 1 BB, fold, Hero raises to 4.4 BB, BTN calls 3.4 BB

Flop: (9.3 BB, 2 players) 3 K 7
Hero bets 3 BB, BTN calls 3 BB

Turn: (15.3 BB, 2 players) 2
Hero checks, BTN bets 7.5 BB, Hero raises to 26.2 BB, BTN calls 18.7 BB

River: (67.7 BB, 2 players) 3
Hero bets 82.55 BB and is all-in, BTN calls 74.13 BB and is all-in

Hero shows 7 7 (Full House, Sevens full of Threes)
(Pre 81%, Flop 91%, Turn 98%)
BTN shows 3 3 (Four of a Kind, Threes)
(Pre 19%, Flop 9%, Turn 2%)
BTN wins 215.67 BB


3.) A little spicy

888 Poker - $5 NL (6 max) - Holdem - 4 players
Hand converted by PokerTracker 4

SB: 117.87 BB (VPIP: 29.70, PFR: 19.80, 3Bet Preflop: 8.70, Hands: 101)
Hero (BB): 100 BB
CO: 116.15 BB (VPIP: 28.65, PFR: 21.68, 3Bet Preflop: 9.72, Hands: 788)
BTN: 134.45 BB (VPIP: 31.47, PFR: 19.88, 3Bet Preflop: 4.99, Hands: 1,180)

SB posts SB 0.5 BB, Hero posts BB 1 BB

Pre Flop: (pot: 1.5 BB) Hero has 3 A

fold, BTN raises to 2.25 BB, fold, Hero calls 1.25 BB

Flop: (5 BB, 2 players) 5 5 4
Hero checks, BTN checks

Turn: (5 BB, 2 players) 3
Hero bets 2.2 BB, BTN calls 2.2 BB

River: (9.4 BB, 2 players) A
Hero bets 5.2 BB, BTN raises to 19.05 BB, Hero raises to 95.55 BB and is all-in, fold

Hero wins 47.2 BB



4.) Nuts

888 Poker - $2 NL (6 max) - Holdem - 2 players
Hand converted by PokerTracker 4

Hero (BB): 242.56 BB
SB: 143.84 BB (VPIP: 32.20, PFR: 25.20, 3Bet Preflop: 9.87, Hands: 7,061)

SB posts SB 0.5 BB, Hero posts BB 1 BB

Pre Flop: (pot: 1.5 BB) Hero has A 2

SB raises to 2.5 BB, Hero raises to 9.5 BB, SB calls 7 BB

Flop: (19 BB, 2 players) 3 3 6
Hero bets 6 BB, SB calls 6 BB

Turn: (31 BB, 2 players) 8
Hero checks, SB bets 15.5 BB, Hero calls 15.5 BB

River: (62 BB, 2 players) 9
Hero checks, SB bets 43.5 BB, Hero raises to 192.5 BB, SB calls 69.34 BB and is all-in

Hero shows A 2 (Flush, Ace High)
(Pre 34%, Flop 41%, Turn 0%)
SB shows 8 8 (Full House, Eights full of Threes)
(Pre 66%, Flop 59%, Turn 100%)
SB wins 287.42 BB

September




Volume was pretty meh, but I missed half the month being in South Dakota so not bad all things considered. Did a good deal of studying, feeling much more comfortable in a lot of spots than I was previously. Feel like a much stronger player than even two months ago which is good too.

Failed both but probably unrealistic to begin with, I'll try to do better on this

October Goals

1.) Play 150,000 and win at 4.00 or greater EVbb (For you Brokenstars ) while playing at least 15,000 hands of 500NL+.


Prop Bet time

As shown above, if I complete my goal I win the prop bet I placed with a friend where I'm risking $1,800 at 4-1. Money has been escrowed so ready to go.

Spent a good time planning how I'm going to do this and will be full speed ahead...Will be planning to play 8-10 hours a day and only have 4 planned days off for the month.

Starting at 12AM tonight I'll be roaring to go, so good luck me

Nice month dude are you going to update your progress in the prob bet along the way or only at the end of it?

gl bb

GL

Yes, I'm going to do my best to update every SINGLE day, some days will be missed im sure do to volume but the plan is to be transparent and consistent with the posting

TY for the luck guys I'll need it!

When people do these month long bets do you put in a rule about what happens if you fall horribly ill? That would be one of my biggest worries, although I guess you could just build that risk into the odds of the bet.

Gl on your prop bet

Glgl will be following

This was addressed, we agreed that the time frame would not be changed/delayed under any possible circumstances, ie: if i get sick or hurt myself I'm SOL

Thanks boss


After the midnight session, only 148k hands to go!

Strong month mate. Good luck of the prop, it's gunna be a tough one!