Not updated in a while due to being super busy with other stuff and just not getting around to it. So, bit of a big update. First, here's the hands I've been putting in and the results:
Hands:
14147
Profit/Loss:
$-192.38 (-5.44bb/100)
Bankroll:
$1512.23
Obviously, a frustrating 15k hands. I had 3 big losing days and only 1 strong profit day. Ive been studying more then before as well, which makes the results more annoying. I've consider the idea that maybe I'm executing what I'm learning properly, so will look back at what I've been reading/studying and see if I need to re-adjust. I think I've definitely fixed some of my issues with 3-betting spots, but I'm aware this still needs a lot more work and fine tuning.
I also took a shot at 50nl in this last week. No, I wasn't chasing losses, I just wanted to give it a shot. I played 2 sessions of 500 hands each, losing around $175 over the course of those 1000 hands. However, I did run KK into AA on a 72246 run out board, for about 60 dollars. I also got it in with a flopped set vs a villians flush draw, losing the hand for a full stack. So overall wasn't too taken aback by the losses nor did I feel like I got run over.
What I did find was there still seemed to be a good amount of casual players, and there was a couple of regs that I recognised. Overall, I finished my 1k hands at 50nl feeling like if I can beat 25nl, then 50nl isn't going to be much of a step up. As such, I'm looking forward to taking another shot at it. This also means my bankroll is actually lower then posted above, and when we add the rakeback I made last week in its currently sitting at $1372.90.
But that leads to the question, am I beating 25nl? Here's my stats since starting the thread:
Hands:
36032
Profit/Loss:
$-101.11 (-1.12bb/100)
Bankroll:
$1372.90
But if we look at my evbb, I'm actually sitting at
1.14evbb/100 for those 36k hands. Either way, it doesn't appear that I'm much more then a breakeven player, which is a tad disheartening. If we include the hands I showed at the start of this thread, then my stats are
58,424with a
2.6bb/100 winrate.
Here is the graph of my overall sample:
So, for a near 60k hands sample, I'm a 2.6bb/100 winner. This is slightly more re-assuring. I'm inclined to think these 35k of hands I've had have came with some poor luck and I've perhaps been in the midst of a slight downswing. As I see the crazy mistakes some of the casual players make and that some of the regs seem to have excessive amount of leaks, I feel confident I am capable of beating these stakes. Even if the recent run of hands has been poor. So my mindset isn't quite defeatist, but it certainly feels weakened.
Moving Forward
My plan now is to start with a chilled couple days. Maybe play 1/2k hands on sunday, or maybe take 3 days off completely. I'll spend at least a few hours studying to brush up on certain issues I've had, but will also be hitting the gym and socialising with some friends.
Then, next week, I aim to put in 15k hands over 5 or 6 days. At this point, I'll have a sample of 50k hands in mexico and around 75k total hands at 25nl. If the 15k hands go well - as in, a positive winrate of at least 5bb/100 - then I will take a shot at 50nl. If I breakeven or lose money, then I'll repeat the break and study time with the aim of trying again the following week.
So, time to get my head into the study grind and then crush the tables next week. Lets do this.