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08-24-2016 , 04:32 AM
Poker: €310

Sports: $69

Betfair: €5


Pokerwise I had a very bad day due to variance. Now I did make some very bad plays/calls, however I still ran about -20bb/100 worse than I was supposed to. Basically Tight players who never raise were basically raising all of my TPTK hands. It wasn't the same players doing it over and over, it just seemed like Nits were just hitting the flops well. Then I probably got KK about 10 times last night. 5 of those times I got the walk and 3 of the other times an A hit the board. At one point I was down 5BI's, but I grinded for about 8 hours yesterday so I was able to get it back to -2BI's. I'm definitely feeling a lot more comfortable at 20NL at the moment and I don't see why I wouldn't be able to beat the stake. At the moment I have a 3.3bb/100 winrate over 5.5k hands. As well, I should be receiving a €150 bonus at the end of the month which equates to around 30% RB (it will be released in installments). Anyway I'll have to do a review of all of my 20NL hands and calculate how much money I lost due to bad play. I've been checking out the 50NL tables and man do they look juicy! Hopefully I'll be taking some shots at 50NL at the beginning of next month. I know my BR isn't there yet, but I really don't mind depositing some extra cash to get me there. Now I'll only be doing this if I feel confident in my game at 20NL and I can show a good winrate. I will also table select like a little b*tch and especially play during the best hours. In my coaching for profits program the rule is you must have 50BI's at your current stake before you can move up and shot take the next stake. Lol I'm only giving myself 25BI's and can you imagine if I'm not even let in to the intermediate group due to not having enough hands even though I'm a winning player at 50NL. That would be a joke.

Betfair gave me a free €5 bet which I won last night, so I'm going to be betting the whole amount until I reach a pretty high number or go busto.

Mariners -111 vs Yankees

Tigers +100 vs Twins
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08-25-2016 , 01:06 PM
Tigers -114

Marlins -108
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08-27-2016 , 01:08 PM
I'll post a writeup later for everything, but for now here are my picks for the day

NFL Chiefs -2.5

MLB Twins +1.5
Yankees -120
Rockies +1 +113
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08-27-2016 , 04:27 PM
Cubs -137 In Play
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08-28-2016 , 10:21 AM
Poker: €335

Sports: $95


I've been sick for the past 5 days so I haven't played too much. I wasn't able to get back home so I'll have to fly back another time. Anyway, from what I have played I'm starting to feel really confident at 20NL and I am a regular where I play now. I've just got to grind out more hours so I can increase my bankroll for a shot at 50NL. Over 8k hands I have a 5bb/100 winrate which is sick and I'm still a little under EV. Now at the € tables I'm running at 12bb/100 (EV 10bb/100) and it has been wayyyy more profitable than the £ tables. I think this is due to the fact that the £ tables take in way more rake and I also think they might be a little harder? Anyway I'm trying to avoid them if I can't find enough € tables. Therefore if I avoid those £ tables I should be able to crush these tables. I honestly think I can make €1,000 next month. This is considering my winrate + RB (although RB comes in the form of a bonus I need to clear) which should put me around €1,500 to start taking shots at 100NL. Now even though my BR could possibly be 100NL ready by the end of September, there's no way my poker game is. So for that reason I really need to be put into this intermediate program or else I'll end up bleeding money. I don't even know if I'm ready for 50NL, although I assume I am. I need about 30k more hands at 10NL or higher before I can join the program. I'll definitely hit that in the next few weeks as long as I grind hard.

Now sports betting wise I've been pretty disappointing. To be fair I'm more of a spot bettor and I'm not the greatest MLB handicapper. All the major sports will be beginning soon and we can finally get started. Anybody have any opinions on Week 1 of the NFL?

Cubs -1 -123 vs Dodgers

Lester is a stud pitching against a guy with only 3 stars who has an ERA of 11. Now yes he only gave up 1 run last game, but keep in mind he only played 3 innings and still gave up 4 walks. Also, congratulations to the conniving sportsbooks for offering us a golden line on the Cubs yesterday when they knew the whole time Hammels was going to be pulled after the 3rd inning.

Rangers +102 vs Indians

Holland only gave up 1 run after returning of the DL. Salazar seems to have something wrong with him. The Rangers are hot at the moment while the Indians are not. I think this line is off because Salazar is supposed to be the better pitcher.
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08-28-2016 , 10:26 AM
i'm sorry but i don't see how this is going to end well too much variance in sports and poker to combine them with such a small roll gl thou
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08-31-2016 , 03:33 AM
Poker: €316

Sports: $102


So a bit of a downswing in poker and it was mainly due to me trying to 6 table without concentrating on my play. The skill level at 20NL is just too good for me to try and play without much analyzing. I was also getting 3bet a lot and when I tried to 4bet light they seemed to always have a good hand by shoving all in. So a bit of unluckiness, but I also need to be more patient and understand that I'll stack them when I do have a good hand in that spot. I don't like being pushed around at the tables, but then again I'm not experienced enough to play 3bet pots with anything other than beginner concepts. The good news is that I will be receiving €150 in RB tomorrow, although it comes in the form of a bonus that I have to clear. I did the math and I will need about 25 hours of playing to clear it; so a week at most. That will bring me to about €450 and I may even deposit a couple of hundred in my account so that I can shot take 50NL. After doing some Math, if I 4 table 50NL (which I won't do right away) I should be able to rake a little over €1,000 for the month assuming 160 hours. Also if I had a 5bb/100 winrate then I would make over €2,000 for the month of September. Now I won't be 4 tabling 50NL right away, and the 50NL shot might even fail. But even at 20NL, I expect to make €1,000 next month. Some exciting stuff to look forward to in September.

Sports wise we've got some college football starting this week and I'll start handicapping that today. I placed a Mets ML bet yesterday and that hit. There is also the NFL starting soon and I've got my eye on a few games. I just hope I'll be placing $20 wages on those games. I also did a Fantasy Draft this morning with the #1 pick and this is my team so far:

QB: Carson Palmer
WR: Antonio Brown
WR: Alshon Jeffrey
RB: Doug Martin
RB: Thomas Rawles
TE: Julius Thomas
Flex: Latavius Murray
D: Arizona
K: Robbie Gould

B: John Brown
B: Derek Henry
B: Justin Forsett
B:Matt Ryan
B: Torrey Smith
B: Duke Johnson Jr.

For my third pick I didn't realize RB Freeman was still on the board and I should have taken him. Otherwise I think this team is pretty solid. John Brown should be a stud when he comes back healthy and who knows maybe Derek Henry will go off in Tennessee.

Mets -112 vs Marlins

Colon has pitched pretty well all season and is going up against a pitcher who has been alright, but hasn't gone deep into games. The Mets are hotter than the Marlins right now.


Tigers -121 vs White Sox

Verlander has been a stud recently and the Tigers have been hot while the Sox have been Ice Cold.


Mariners -112 vs Rangers

King Felix vs a shaky Perez. I'll take the King.
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09-01-2016 , 04:27 AM
August Review

Profit: €121

Hours: 100


Not the greatest month as you can see. Actually pretty disappointing. With the RB I'm getting it should amount to €150 extra, but I need to clear it as a bonus. By right we really made ~€300. I began shot taking 20NL and so far it has gone successfully. My game seems to be getting better, but I still need to put in a lot more work and finally learn the math of poker. School, Work, Soccer start back up now in September so I need to start managing my time more wisely.

September Goals


-10 minutes studying poker math a day
-5 minutes of poker math quizzes each day
-Review biggest loses each session
-Post Problem hands after each session
-Watch 1 video lesson each day
-Comment other poker hands each day
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09-02-2016 , 08:34 PM
Ive been really busy today, but I'll update later.

Royals -128 tonight

BC +3

Texas A&M -3

Texas +3
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09-03-2016 , 12:56 PM
Rangers -108

Braves +110

Angels/Mariners Over 8 -110

Indians -125

North Carolina +3 +105

Houston +10.5 live


I'll update later
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09-03-2016 , 04:23 PM
At which bookie do you place your bets?
At the moment I'm thinking about making my own thread. Sportsbetting exclusively...
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09-03-2016 , 04:30 PM
Good luck to You Sir
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09-03-2016 , 08:00 PM
Auburn +8.5

USC +13.5
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09-04-2016 , 12:33 PM
Rich- I use 5dimes currently. Yea definitely create your thread, it helps to stay motivated and it's entertaining I think. Who do you use and what sports do you bet?

Kev- Thanks man, do you play poker or sports bet?

Poker: €305

Sports: $140



Alright so I've been resting for the past few days. I decided to take a slight break from Poker for the first few days of the month as I've been busy and I had not taken a break from poker since starting this whole challenge. No playing, no studying, only some viewing of twitch streams. So for the upcoming month I've got a few things I need to accomplish. 1) I need to clear this bonus in my account, 2) I need to start 50NL. Once I clear the bonus I'll have €455 in my account before profits. So I'll need €200 more whether that be from profits or possibly adding some money to my account. Now I do have some extra funds lying around if I wish to indeed boost my roll. The main goal is to make €1,000 this month thru poker, with the secondary goal of playing 50NL as my regular game.

Sports wise we had a very good Saturday. Profiting $50. I hope to keep that going. I still have the Texas +3 play pending tonight against ND. I just find the first away game and first true road test for a visiting team to be a huge disadvantage. Now I do have a very tough decision to make. ****** are giving me a 200% bonus up to $500 (100% for sportsbook and 100% for casino) up until September 30th. So my goal is to run up my bankroll this month and then deposit into ****** to take advantage of the deal. With the NFL coming up this week there should be a lot more games to play. I read before that if you like a favorite to win, then it's more beneficial to take the handicap whereas if you like a dog to cover the spread, it's more beneficial to take them on the moneyline. I'll have to look into that this week.

Mets -125 vs Nationals

Better pitcher IMO, and they are in a race to make the playoffs.

Panthers -3 -125 vs Broncos

Huge revenge game for the Panthers here. The Broncos lost both their QB's and will be playing an inexperienced QB. The Broncos are still racing to sign Sanders and they are trying to ship Talib. I'll take Superman Cam in this matchup. Especially after they made fun of him during his post game conference for the Superbowl.
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09-05-2016 , 09:34 AM
Poker: €207

Sports: $150



Well guys, what can I say. I lost around 7BI's last night. I was just getting stacked after stacked and the fishes kept hitting the top of their ranges. I'm talking I hit a flush and the fish has 2 pair and he spikes a boat on the river, or Trips vs Straight, 2 pair vs trips. Also I'm talking about these fish hitting these boats with and 2 pairs with hands like Q6o or 82s. Hands I would not expect to be in their range. Just a very unlucky night, mixed in with maybe 3.5 BI's of spew. It was tough to get much going, but it was definitely a very long 4 hours session. Anyway, I did clear €30 of the bonus which helps a lot. I think I'm going to stick with 20NL for the meantime even though my BR doesn't really allow it. I'm trying to be very aggressive here so that I can quit my part time jobs in the next couple of months and worst case I might have to deposit more into it.

I think I'm going to start keeping track of the amount the mistakes I made costs me this month. Now these are mistakes that I know are wrong based on my current poker knowledge.

Mistakes this month= €71.87

Sports went well last night as we hit both plays. I haven't really looked at tonight's game, but I'll give it a look later on.

Tigers +101

Rangers -112
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09-05-2016 , 05:06 PM
Ole Miss +6

I just think Kelly is one of the best QB's in the country and Ole Miss played some amazing games on the road last year. This game is being played in Florida and most people are taking Florida State with an inexperienced QB. I feel like 6 points is way too much to give a ranked team at a "neutral" site.
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09-06-2016 , 04:15 AM
Poker: €207

Sports: $147


No poker last night, as I was busy with work. I'll play a long session today. What do you guys think of Phil Galfond opening up a new poker site? I think it's going to be sick, although probably reg infested. Should be interesting.

So I didn't watch the Ole Miss vs Florida St. game last night, but I did see the box score. Was I unlucky to lose that bet? It seemed as if Ole Miss decided not to play the 2nd half and they lost the turnover battle by 4. Anyway, the NFL is approaching and I will begin analyzing some games. I think I'll individually handicap each game and give each game it's own post. Anyway, I went back and analyzed the first four weeks of last years NFL schedule. What I found is that the favs won + covered vs favs won + didn't cover was 28-6. Dogs that won + covered vs lost + covered went 25-6. This shows that if you like a favorite to win a game, take them ATS no matter what the number, and if you like a dog to win then take them on the ML no matter what the number. I know the sample size is small, but this is a theory I've been hearing for the past couple of years. So for this upcoming season I will try and stick with this format, although I will also be taking the dogs ATS and ML most of the time as long as my BR allows.

Rays -129

Tigers -108

Panthers -3 -116
*adding an extra unit
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09-07-2016 , 03:17 AM
Poker: €176

Sports: $124


So yesterday I started out extremely hot and when up 2 BI's in an hour. I went to play a session later and I lost 3.5 BI's. About half of that lose was due to me monkey tilting and not trusting the fish. I did get unlucky though. KK < AA twice, and then one time we go 3 ways to the flop, the board is AAT and I have TT. The flop checks and then fold to my turn bet. WTF. Another time I flop the same exact boat except with an 8 on the board and I'm holding 88 and they fold to my C bet. Anyway, I think I'll play 1 or 2 tables of 20NL instead of my usual 4 and if I have another bad session I may just drop down to 10NL. I'm about 1 hour away from clearing another €30 bonus which will help out the BR, and then I'll have €90 of bonus money to clear. So as long as I play BE poker, I'll be decently rolled for 20NL by the end of the bonus clearing. I think I just need to play a little nittier especially against Fish.

Total Mistakes this month= €106

Steelers -3 -120
* 2 units
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09-07-2016 , 04:01 AM
Panthers -3 (-120) vs Broncos (2 units)

Man oh man this is a juicy game. If there is one thing I've learned over my 4 years of sports betting it is that Revenge is the #1 reason to base a bet. The books can account for all of the statistics and what not, but as a capper I like to dissect the emotions and intangibles of the teams I handicap. So the Panthers reach the Superbowl and are a favorite in the game against noodle arm Manning. Noodle arm actually looked like he was going to die in that game. The Panthers straight up lost to the the Denver's Defense. They couldn't get anything going after they had dominated all season long. Then Newton gets disrespected in his post interview and walks out. So these guys have had a whole season to think about what happened and prepare for this game. Do you think they want to lose this game and have people saying "oh I guess they really are worse than the Broncos". Every professional dreams of winning a Superbowl and had that precious moment taken away by the Broncos. Not to mention I believe that the Superbowl was rigged for the Broncos in some way to send Manning out on a high.

Some other issues. The Broncos have stalled on signing players and have sent some players away from their Defense. They are now starting a very inexperienced QB who will be going up against the Panther's Defense for his first start I believe. Newton is going to be playing with a Chip on his shoulder and I just cannot see the Panther's losing this game.
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09-08-2016 , 06:37 PM
Not much of an update here. I'll start grinding some poker tonight, but I will only be playing maybe 2 tables at a time so I can focus better. I have 2 units on the Panthers -3 as I see a big revenge game here. I'm also doing a big parlay to kickoff the NFL season. BOL tonight guys, who do you have?

Rangers +106

Yankees -131


Parlay
9/8/2016 8:30 PM NFL Football 451 Carolina Panthers* -3 -105 vs Denver Broncos
9/11/2016 1:00 PM NFL Football 453 Tampa Bay Buccaneers* +115 vs Atlanta Falcons
9/11/2016 1:00 PM NFL Football 460 New York Jets* +120 vs Cincinnati Bengals
9/11/2016 1:00 PM NFL Football 464 Kansas City Chiefs* -7 +115 vs San Diego Chargers
9/11/2016 4:25 PM NFL Football 474 Dallas Cowboys* -1 -110 vs New York Giants
9/12/2016 7:10 PM NFL Football 479 Pittsburgh Steelers* -3 -110 vs Washington Redskins
9/12/2016 10:20 PM NFL Football 482 San Francisco 49ers* +120 vs Los Angeles Rams
Risking $10.00 To Win $1,581.99
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09-08-2016 , 07:23 PM
Best of luck with this. Would advise punching some numbers into this to recognise what variance is standard, hopefully it limits the tilt a little:

http://pokerdope.com/poker-variance-calculator/
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09-11-2016 , 01:00 PM
Cowboys ML
Jets ML
Chiefs -7
Seahawks -10
Yankees ML
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09-13-2016 , 04:26 AM
Sin- Damn Sin you really never seize to amaze. Now when you say BR is that your poker BR or a combined Poker/Sports BR? 27% is pretty good, much better than stars.

Poker: €143

Sports: $46.70 (+$100)



Damn guys so I know I didn't post too much over the past few days, I just didn't feel like it since I've been on a massive downswing. Basically Poker is still not going well. I think I logged 10-15 hours over the past few days, but I'm still down. I even went and played 10 hours at 5NL to try to get things going again, however, I still ran horribly. My ev is in the green, but my profits in the red. For example, I get AA all in versus QQ and 77 preflop, but I lose to a set of 777. It's a joke. I got sucked out on quite a bit as well. So I started thinking about what's been going on and I've come to the conclusion that 1) I'm not rolled enough for the limits I play and 2) I have such a low sample that anything can really happen. If I was rolled properly a downswing wouldn't really bother me as much and I can't complain about a downswing if I haven't played at least 50k hands. I'm not too sure entirely what I will be doing because I do want to be very aggressive with my BR in the lower limits, but as I move up I'll have to allow myself a few more Buy Ins per stake. Anyway I've got this huge plan for getting my Poker BR at €800 and my Sports BR at $3,750, therefore I will need to set some goals on a per week basis.

This weekend went alright, ATS we performed very well in NCAAF, but not too hot in NFL. Last night I probably had around $20 from 5dimes on the Steelers and about $50 in betpoints on them as well. Luckily they hit and now I can cash out $100 in sportsbook cash. I'm not too sure where I will use this though. I might just keep it in 5dimes for now.

Goal for this Sunday

-Make $50 from Poker

Goal for end of December

-10k combined BR for Sports/Poker ($1,500 put in myself)

If I can get myself to that number by the end of this year. I'll be looking very good for next year.
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09-14-2016 , 03:34 AM
10k Plan

So I know this whole 10k plan sounds crazy as it's been a little over a month since I started this challenge and I'm not even past the $500 mark with my BR. I need to write this plan out for myself, so I thought I'd share it with you guys and see what you think and who knows it could help some of you as well.

This month I've got around €300 to use for poker. So I've put in around €220 of my own cash in my BR. At the moment I'm in the process of clearing a very easy RB bonus so at the latest I'll probably get an additional €90. I'll probably just start out at 10NL to get things going again until I hit 25 BI's for 20NL or I see some very juicy games. So due to history at this stake I expect to probably make 5bb/100 at 10NL and if I can play 50 more hours this month with at least 300 hands per hour I expect to make just under €100. Worst case let's say we're at €450 by the end of the month. At the moment I'm a few hands short of getting another €150 RB bonus which I would expect to clear within the first week of the next month, assuming i can play 25 hours and not run bad. At this point I'll have a BR of €600 around the 7th of October. So I expect to hit a BR of €600 in 3 weeks time.

Now at this point I will be withdrawing my BR and depositing at Coral Poker in which I receive around 60 or 70% RPV (Real Player Value). Basically this means the real RB is around 40%, and then the amount of extra rakeback you can receive depends on how much money you lose. If you are a winning player then you will really only receive the 40% RB. Now on top of this there is a First Deposit Bonus which clears at 30% RB, therefore making the entire RB I will receive around 70%. This is all great, expect that because of these deals many good poker players end up playing on this site where the rake can be pretty high. However, Coral Poker just banned all Russian Players this past month and I can't pass up 70% RB, which would be even higher if I'm a losing player there. After doing some calculations the lowest estimated amount when I compared mutiple rakeback calculating sites estimated I should make €1,500 at 20NL after RB. Which would put my BR at around €2,000. Now the second I clear my deposit bonus I'm off this site because the players are very nitty and good (18/15/6). I have until the 11th of November to clear this bonus.

Now at this point I will then transfer my BR over to the microgaming poker network which is believed to be the softest poker network available. RB is 30% flat with a deposit/reload bonus of 20% making it around 50% RB in total. After a month of playing 50NL I can expect at least €2,500 from RB alone. Over November and December I would then get €5,000 + previous €2,000 leaving me with a €7,000 poker bankroll by December.


Now this is all calculated considering I play 160 hours each month, with at least 400 hands per hour. I would prefer to increase the amount of hands I see hourly, but I'll have to do some trial and error to see if it affects my game. All of this also is without consideration to possible rake race rewards I could receive.


Now the plan for sports is to gather $500 for this month and deposit that into ****** and then I will do that two more times for next month. If I use the SBR store first deposit 50% extra promotion I will have a total of $3,250 in my sports account with $1,500 being mine personally. I will basically be able to bet $100 flat which would be 3% of my BR.


So in total €7,000 + $3,250 = ~€10,000.


Now I know all of this is going to extremely difficult. When I created my poker goal amount I didn't really include any profits I could make, although I know I could definitely hit a downswing as well I definitely could be a huge fish at 50NL when I play there. However, if I can profit at these stakes I can surpass my year end goal of 10k.

A few issues that come into play is that I currently am starting school this upcoming week. I also work two part time jobs which equate to around 20 hours per week, and I also play soccer competitively. I will be quitting at least one job soon enough. I also cannot forget the amount of time a GF requires . This is also the issue that I am required to pay half of my profits up to my first 3k to my coaching program. Anyway, I'm pretty hard working so I think I'll figure out a way to get this goal accomplished. I don't think anything in my plan is outrageous, I think the hardest part is going to be playing the 160+ hours monthly, plus additional study time.
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09-14-2016 , 04:24 AM
I'm pretty bored at work at the moment so I'll post some of my leans for this upcoming week. I've decided to no longer make baseball plays unless I feel very good about the game, because I've lost probably at least 10 units over the past month.

Current NCAAF ATS Record: 6-3

Current NFL ATS Record: 1-3

Leans:

NCAAF

Louisville +2- FSU I thought should have lost to Ole Miss. Louisville on the other hand have a heisman QB candidate and it's not easy to play a top ranked team as a first true road test game.

Ole Miss +10.5- I think there is definitely an overreaction to the Alabama in. USC has been overrated every year. Ole Miss has one of the best QB's in college and a stingy defense. They beat Alabama last year and I expect them to cover this year.

Nebraska -3- I find Oregon overrated.

Auburn +3.5- They held strong to cover against Clemson and they really aren't that bad of a team. They have a good defense.

Notre Dame -7- If Kizer plays every snap it's game over for Mich. St.

Oklahoma -2- They got upset against the Cougars and they are too good not to be taking at home against the Buckeyes in their first true road game.


Bills PK- Rex Ryan playing his old team at home, last year the Bills went in and beat the jets away. Right now Rex really needs this win more than anything so save his season/career and he definitely hates these jets. Rex is a players coach and will get them fired up for a divisional rival this Thursday. Do you think the Jets want to go and play a physical, fired up Bills team in Buffalo on a Thursday night? I don't think so. The line opened at -3 and is now around pk. Majority of bets are currently on Jets which is expected. If you're a bookie, would you not have opened this game at Jets -2.5? Although the Jets are the better team, Rex really needs this game and the Bills will be fired up. The Bills were also ranked 1 spot ahead of the Jets in the preseason power rankings and after one game they are now ranked 8 spots behind? Overreaction. I think the Bills were looking ahead for this Thursday's game and that's why they came out looking so lethargic.

Texans -1- The texans didn't play too well against my Bears, but neither did the Chiefs in their game. I'm really just fading the Chiefs here because of their huge comeback late in the 4th. They also looked terrible in their opener and the Texans are better than the Chargers.

Dolphins +7- Can we talk about an overreaction overload? Jimmy G is apparently the NFL MVP at the moment. The Patriots literally pulled out everything they had for Jimmy and he kept throwing to wide open receivers. It was comical how bad the Cardinals were playing. I'm sure Jimmy is good, but come on. The Dolphins just went into Seattle and got so unlucky they didn't win that game (it would have helped me out so much in my survivor pool). Jimmy is going to be in the spotlight all week long with his newfound fame while the Dolphins are preparing hard for their divisional rivalry matchup knowing they can beat a Brady-less Patriot team. This line suggest the Dolphins would be -1 at home against the Pats. What's that line telling us here?

Browns +7- I wouldn't touch this game if RGIII was playing, but McCown is a beast. He's done very well against the Ravens and if there's one way to beat the Ravens it's in the passing game. Divisional rivalry getting 7 points at home with a QB who has very good history against the opponent.

Steelers -3- The Bengals got sooo lucky to win that game against the Jets. The Jets were constantly moving the ball against this Bengals team. The Steelers dominated and I won my fantasy matchup by .4 points all because my boy Brown got 26 for me. The Bengals are the Steelers little brother. From what I see most are taking the Bengals at the moment?

Redskins -2.5- Dan played against a terrible Giants secondary and couldn't even throw a TD. I think he's going to have trouble here in his first road game. The Redskins got embarrassed Monday Night and I think they redeem themselves here.

Saints/Giants over 52.5- No Defense + Very good offense = high scoring

49ers +14- I know it's tough to take a bad 49ers team on the road against one of the top teams who just lost their first match, but Chip Kelly has these boys playing. I also think Gabbert is the best QB in San Fran and they should have some confidence after their huge win. 14 points is really alot. That's San Francisco +8 at home.

Cardinals -7- I think people are really going to overreact to the Cardinals loss and the Bucs win. The Cardinals are probably the most talented team in the league and they didn't even show up. I don't think the coaches will let them have to have too much fun this week.

Broncos -7- If Luck was having trouble against the Lions I don't know what he's going to do against this Defense. Also, Denver's QB played pretty well against a very tough defense and the Colts are lacking everywhere. Good luck Andrew.

Jaguars -3- The Chargers just lost after a throwing the game away. I would usually consider taking the Chargers here, but I don't know what they are going to do without WR Allen. He's a huuge lose for them. The Jaguars are supposed to have a very good defensive team in this league and idk I would lean their way.

Vikings -1- The Vikings won in a very ugly game. AP couldn't get going and I expect him to in this one. The Defense played very well and so did Shaun Hill as a backup. This is a tough one to predict.

Eagles +3- I always have to fade my Bears, they just aren't very good and the Eagles defense front 7 is.
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