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Started with a <img /nl challenge, now we're here. Started with a <img /nl challenge, now we're here.
View Poll Results: SO WHAT DO YOU THINK IS A REALISTIC ANNUAL EARNING OF AN "A" PLAYER GRINDING $1/$2NLHE?
LESS THAN $22K
392 12.65%
$22K TO $28K
453 14.61%
$28K TO $34K
504 16.26%
$34K TO $40K
528 17.03%
$40K TO $46K
295 9.52%
MORE THAN $46K
928 29.94%

08-13-2018 , 04:24 PM
I don't think many qualify to play from the tips.

https://www.golfdigest.com/story/usg...-playing-w/amp

Driver Distance & Recommended 18-Hole Yardages

PGA Tour Pros: 7,600-7,900 yds
300 yds: 7,150-7,400 yds
275 yds: 6,700-6,900 yds
250 yds: 6,200-6,400 yds
225 yds: 5,800-6,000 yds
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08-14-2018 , 10:10 AM
^yep. Ima fan of this...at least til I get better.

Btw, last year we took it down in the NFL pick em league. I said I wanted to wager next year to see if I really skilled.
We deposited on FanDeul and mission run it up is active.

After getting acclimated w site, the plan will be:
$270buy-ns (thinking hu only).
20 games seems like a gd start for a sample size.

Let's say we think we hv an slight edge vs our opponent and believe can average 11wins out 20 (1 game over .500).

Is it profitable?
Let's find out...
$270 buy-ns w 8% rake over 20 games.
= $5400 total buyns.
Total prize pool $10,800 - $800 (rake) = $10,000

U believe u can win 11 outta 20?

If think u a long term favorite & not a fish at these $Cap daily sports drafts; then cd profit $400 over course of every 20 games.
That just being a 55% winner head up.

Conclusion:
I feel my sports knowledge, draft value, is slightly better and than the avg daily sports fantasy guy. I'm gonna jump in and test the theory.

20 games and see what unfolds. Mayb we #runItUp and start playing higher (less rake),
OR
Maybe we lose $1k (worse scenario) over 20 games...and find out we the fish /quit.

Gonna find out. Always betting on me.
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08-14-2018 , 10:24 AM
Shd b getting 60k ish of what's owed to me 3-5 more weeks. Been making it and getting by for now.
Plan on being #fullytransparent on how this will b dispersed.
Poker, stocks, golf, dfs, etc.

I expect some fun times ahead...and hopefully profitable.
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08-14-2018 , 11:00 AM
I wish tourney poker rake was as good as FanDuel.
Poker Tourneys keep getting jacked up on rake to where it makes it tougher to b long term profitable from Ts.
Side note: saw where wsopc are now $1700 main and lowest entries are now $400 from $365.

Surprisingly not bad rakes from FanDuel on these hu buyns.



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08-14-2018 , 11:39 AM
Isn't 55% (11/20) of 10000 like 5500, thus you would be profiting 100$ instead of 400$?
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08-14-2018 , 12:05 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by uberkuber
Isn't 55% (11/20) of 10000 like 5500, thus you would be profiting 100$ instead of 400$?
U r correct. Trying to keep everyone on their toes. Lol
50 points for spotting.
I blame it on trying to run numbers on many difference scenarios at same time in head. They say left handers are gd at this multi tasking. Well, apparently not. Got my numbers twisted around n my crazy head.
Yes 11wins at $500 is 5,500. Minus total buyns, = Profit $100.

I think I can avg 11 outta 20.

Let's see. I'll document once we start this experience.

Last edited by ButterflySymmetry; 08-14-2018 at 12:15 PM.
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08-14-2018 , 01:51 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by ButterflySymmetry
They say left handers are gd at this multi tasking. Well, apparently not. Got my numbers twisted around n my crazy head.
We are good at being able to keep track of many things at the same time ...

more specifically, a right handed person is most likely to decipher things by looking at it as a whole and then breaking it down into pieces.

As left handers, we take the opposite approach; seeing all the pieces of the puzzle and putting them together to shape the bigger picture.

This is fairly well documented and really interesting to read about.
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08-14-2018 , 03:44 PM
You should enter the westgate football pick em. Pick any 4 nfl games each week with spread and person with best record at end wins. Entry is 1500$, last year paid $470,000 first place with a win percentage of 65%, I think they are guaranteed a million this year as pay out. If your out of state you need to use a proxy to make ur bets for you.
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08-14-2018 , 08:31 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by ButterflySymmetry
I got on here last night and after 50 minutes of typing jibberish, decided to delete everything. Sometimes u gotta know when to just say nothing.
Being quiet is usually the safest line. Something I need to practice more of.

No one shd look up to me because my biggest weakness is thinking I'm always right. It's not a gd look, but I don't seem to care. As u know, I can b confrontational, I can stir the pot, I can talk sht. All because I think I'm right.

Better stop here before I delete this too.
Confidence in yourself isn't a weakness. It's probably the single greatest predictor of success a person can have.
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08-14-2018 , 09:41 PM
U guys always been gd to me. Appreciate it.
One day we gonna bink something. So far the biggest has been an insane stock score, but now we need to work on a nice poker score.
I feel I never been closer to something big as I do now. We definitely going to go after it. Gamble is overdue
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08-15-2018 , 01:50 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by Lazebone
We are good at being able to keep track of many things at the same time ...

more specifically, a right handed person is most likely to decipher things by looking at it as a whole and then breaking it down into pieces.

As left handers, we take the opposite approach; seeing all the pieces of the puzzle and putting them together to shape the bigger picture.

This is fairly well documented and really interesting to read about.
What approach do the ambidextrous take?
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08-15-2018 , 08:30 PM
They take both approaches simultaneously to see which one will yield the best results.
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08-17-2018 , 12:28 PM
That wooden shelf along Cubbie wall need to be moved, so I can park my future car inside the garage. Right now Old Faithful parks in driveway and Sara's Enclave gets garage. Can't fit both.

Old Faithful sits at 253k miles and once it no longer runs, we get that #Tesla or #VW Buzz ID. Until then, we drive it til we can't. If we put work to our vision it will become reality. The work today is making room for 2, for when the that day comes.

Sorry no vlog on cutting to size and moving the shelves to fit back wall.



*no more 50k #MoneyWall since we will b getting some of our money owed... 60-70k soon. Although, am planning on using that $ to make 50k.
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08-17-2018 , 02:27 PM
We made room. Now let's go after it.

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08-17-2018 , 03:58 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by ButterflySymmetry
I wish tourney poker rake was as good as FanDuel.
Poker Tourneys keep getting jacked up on rake to where it makes it tougher to b long term profitable from Ts.
Side note: saw where wsopc are now $1700 main and lowest entries are now $400 from $365.

Surprisingly not bad rakes from FanDuel on these hu buyns.



Sent from my iPhone using Tapatalk
That rake is pretty horrible for a HU online game.

As a comparison, Bovada runs HU Sit&Gos at 5% rake across all levels.
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08-22-2018 , 09:40 PM
@WiiCane not sure how to compare poker rake to dfs. In the day of poker Ts increasing rake year after year, I was glad to see dfs not raping to bad.

Closing next Friday. I cd prob do without this, but think it's positive ev to make this move. Imho, this will get me to next level sooner...unless I get hit in the mouth.
Majority of $ will go towards stocks that will b traded along the way. Some stocks I will get out immediately on a 10% gain. Some we will hold. We can count on 89% of the money going on Robinhood.

Closing for $67k. After some of that adult awkward money talk, I will b paid 62K of 67k. Sara grabbing 5k to consolidate her total debt (outside house/daycare) she has. A couple years ago she needed 2k for car repair where at the time she didn't have the money. Ford financed her free 1st year, and now it's ridic ir, so she will pay that off. Also she has couple k here and there where she will pay off. Much smarter to pay the 2.9% getting through heloc than something much higher.

Here's what I'm thinking:
2k for golf membership
4,500 added to poker roll.
55k plus total margin on RH.
500 on FanDuel

The goal: make money on all of them (not golf membership). Turn $62k into $100k in 1 year. From the 100k pay off Sara's heloc and finance her again. Use whats left (40k) to continue to build off of. Need that new whip money.

We also need a hashtag on this mission. Any ideas?
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08-22-2018 , 09:53 PM
So what happens one year from now if you only have 30k (or God forbid 15k or 0k!)?
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08-22-2018 , 11:48 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by ButterflySymmetry
@WiiCane not sure how to compare poker rake to dfs. In the day of poker Ts increasing rake year after year, I was glad to see dfs not raping to bad.

Closing next Friday. I cd prob do without this, but think it's positive ev to make this move. Imho, this will get me to next level sooner...unless I get hit in the mouth.
Majority of $ will go towards stocks that will b traded along the way. Some stocks I will get out immediately on a 10% gain. Some we will hold. We can count on 89% of the money going on Robinhood.

Closing for $67k. After some of that adult awkward money talk, I will b paid 62K of 67k. Sara grabbing 5k to consolidate her total debt (outside house/daycare) she has. A couple years ago she needed 2k for car repair where at the time she didn't have the money. Ford financed her free 1st year, and now it's ridic ir, so she will pay that off. Also she has couple k here and there where she will pay off. Much smarter to pay the 2.9% getting through heloc than something much higher.

Here's what I'm thinking:
2k for golf membership
4,500 added to poker roll.
55k plus total margin on RH.
500 on FanDuel

The goal: make money on all of them (not golf membership). Turn $62k into $100k in 1 year. From the 100k pay off Sara's heloc and finance her again. Use whats left (40k) to continue to build off of. Need that new whip money.

We also need a hashtag on this mission. Any ideas?
Your ceiling on tournies is so much higher, on a tourny you can make 50, 100, 500x your buyin. In a head up 7-9% is terrible when your max win is 2x.
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08-23-2018 , 07:17 AM
Quote:
Originally Posted by KatoKrazy
So what happens one year from now if you only have 30k (or God forbid 15k or 0k!)?
It's possible that cd happen, but not likely. Remember that this money is ours and NOT borrowed. ADDITIONALLY, we still have another 50k owed to me on top of the 60k. If we burn through 60k from our gambles, then we will hv to fig something out. For now, I wanna remain positive and think positively.
#Believe #BetOnMe
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08-23-2018 , 07:55 AM
Why not put say 10k in the poker roll so you can play bigger for a higher hourly?

If you are looking at DFS I think you need to look at the Guaranteed prize pool tournaments. I think those are EV not so sure about the head to heads. I think it is hard for the player pool to make enough errors for you to beat the rake long term


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08-23-2018 , 09:34 AM
THIs is why I like this 2+2 thread. Great counsel and people putting me in check.
U all got me second guessing a bit. Maybe I shd tweak some things.

On the DFS, I am new and interested.
On the poker, I will b playing higher as much as possible. Wd like to even play wsopc main at HSI next month. We will see. My anxiety keeps me away from Ts. I just never know when it will hit and nothing worse than being stuck n a T. Cash, I can come and go or even leave.

Fam, I love u
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08-23-2018 , 10:03 AM
Make sure to checkout rotogrinders for dfs stuff... its kind of the 2+2 of dfs. Not easy to jump into a lot to learn and keep in mind when playing. I personally thinknyhe single entry gpps are thr most +ev at least on draftkings
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08-23-2018 , 01:42 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by ButterflySymmetry
On the poker, I will b playing higher as much as possible.
I like you saying this alot, i know you're kinda limited at the closest room to you but traveling some when your life allowes it on days where your "local" game isn't playing bigger with the MS to play higher will be a good thing and having no anxiety about your roll will do wonders for your mindset. The occasional tourney shot is nice also. I know you're pretty much opposed to playing online these days but throwing a few hundo on bonition and working on your MTT game if your gonna play em wouldn't hurt at all cuz im guessing you haven't played a decent amount of em in your lifetime and theres alot in donkaments you can improve at and learn at a much faster rate and at much lower buyins online as opposed to live. Learning and improving at some of these things and getting more experience especially late in tournies can make all the difference between min/smaller cashes and final tables/big scores. Anxious to see you return to the felt, GL with everything on and off it!
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08-23-2018 , 04:17 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by ALLNITSGOBROKE
I like you saying this alot, i know you're kinda limited at the closest room to you but traveling some when your life allowes it on days where your "local" game isn't playing bigger with the MS to play higher will be a good thing and having no anxiety about your roll will do wonders for your mindset. The occasional tourney shot is nice also. I know you're pretty much opposed to playing online these days but throwing a few hundo on bonition and working on your MTT game if your gonna play em wouldn't hurt at all cuz im guessing you haven't played a decent amount of em in your lifetime and theres alot in donkaments you can improve at and learn at a much faster rate and at much lower buyins online as opposed to live. Learning and improving at some of these things and getting more experience especially late in tournies can make all the difference between min/smaller cashes and final tables/big scores. Anxious to see you return to the felt, GL with everything on and off it!
Nition is full of ******s especially at low stakes, wouldn't learn much there. ACR has some of the toughest fields out there, better for knowledge.
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08-23-2018 , 05:07 PM
Why not? Looks like we doing sm online poker too now.
Don't trust AcR, but what about this other I speak of. Ignition is the best site for American players? No headaches on the deposits and withdrawals? Player pool?
Any info appreciated
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