@soncy we all have those days. Must stay discliplined and even keel. Cant ever get too high, or too low. best of luck @liveaction the shades r for a future final table only. It will collect dust until then. Over/Under 2mm of dust before ft. Thanks for all the kind words…Much too kind.
While I was on my jog today, I came up w a formula that may answer my poll question attached to this thread…“What is a realistic annual earning of a SOLID player playing 1/2nhle?” The Projected Annual Income Formula (PAIF) I came up w is based on average hrs logged/wk. I feel after 7 months straight of playing 1/2nlhe I now have a better idea of what is a realistic annual earning at 1/2 than ever before. This question has been intriguing to me for such a long time that it became a big reason of why I started this challenge at the beginning of the year. Now 7 months into this challenge and playing A LOT of 1/2nlhe, this is the formula I came up w to answer my poll question. IMO, I believe this is a gd estimate of a PAI of a SOLID grinder.
Here it is: Average Hours/ Week = H 1,000(H) + .33(H x 1,000) = Projected Annual Income (PAI)
I.E. I’m averaging 26hrs/wk, so H=26 $1,000(26) + .33(26 x $1,000) = $26,000 + $8,580 = $34,580 PAI.
On the flip flop…Here is a hand from today that got my poker brain thinking.
LB 7
10
(Larry Legend) $300: When bets he has the gds. When he raises he def has 1st,2nd,3rd nuts. Seldom bluffs.
MPJ
9
$300: Solid player, mixes it up well.
4 way limp preflop. Im otb w 8
8
w a $600 stack.
The flop is 6
8
9
. LB flops the joint and checks, MP leads out $10 w flush draw, I call otb w set of 8s, LB then ch/raises to $35. MP calls, I call. The turn is 3
. LB bets $50 w nut straight, and MP calls. At this point I know 100% Larry Legend has a straight, and pretty sure MP has a flush draw. I call $50 only because if I hit the 10 outer, I know “the Legend” will call a big bet on river w his straight (if nondiamond). If I full up w a diamond river card, then I think I cd get called in both spots w a vb, or by MP only w a big bet. So based on these assumptions alone I call. Pot is now $250ish going to the river. The river is a 2
. LB checks, MP checks his flush, and I check. Flush wins.
If I wd hv hit the 10 outer on river w
nondiamond I feel “Legend” calls no more than $120 w straight, if I full up w a
diamond river- I may just put in a big bet of $190 and get called by flush only, instead of vb $75 and get called in both spots. Even though Im behind, I can’t ever fold to a $50 turn bet. I have bout a 22% chance to complete after turn, so in order to call the $50 turn bet, I hv to get a 5:1 price. The price was right, but it got me thinking about this hand w these 2 other players involved. #knowurplayer. I think I may have still called even if I wasn’t getting the right price. The reason being is solely based on implied odds if I hit the 10 outer. The implied odds math I came up w says I can call up to $100 turn from LB if and only if MP calls as well. Thus, putting the total pot going to river at $400. Therefore, I wd have to get a call of $100 on river if I hit the 10 outer for it to b +ev. (100x5=$500) Which in this case, I think I wd have EASILY gotten a $100 call if I hit. In this hypothetical of $100 turn bet instead of $50, I bet same $120 if non diamond hits, and “Legend” pays me off. W diamond full up, if MP still checks his flush- I bet MP remaining stack of $160 and he 90% calls. If he bets his flush (lets say $100 river bet), I raise, and he def calls off his remaining stack ($60).
The reason I posted this hand is because it digs a little deeper into “Know your Player”, what exactly is the right price(?), and implied odds. In this hand, I knew I was beat from the jump, but the value was too good to pass up if I hit river. After this hand, I dug deeper trying to determine how much I can call on turn for it to b +ev. Smtimes I can call when not getting the right price on the draw, but w implied odds factored in makes it the right price. If that makes any sense at all. oK my brain hurts, im done. I wish I wd hv hit that 10 outer, but still a gd day. +$217 on 4.5hrs.