Quote:
Originally Posted by CheckRIP
Just found this thread and really enjoy it. Your results so far this year definitely seem like some negative variance judging by what I just read from you in this tread. Do you have a graph or bb/100 over all of your 50nl play - not only this year? Mabye you posted somewhere but I did not find it.
I play the same stake and am always curious about the results of the better regs. Do you think a true winrate of 10-12bb/100 is possible despite paying 6-7bb/100 in rake? I figure any player with that winrate would move up more or less immediatly so I dont expect to find them in the pool, but considering all the fish I feel it should be attainable for someone who doesnt lose anything vs regs (which most regs obviously do because of the high rake)
Gl with your play and I look forward to reading more!
2,7evbb/100
Thanks for your post! Getting good at poker is a long process, and I have leaks like everyone else. Being humble and always curious where you might be making mistakes is very important. During heaters it's very common to think you are suddenly playing much better. You will get 100k+ hand stretches where you run good with bluffs and value, and you will have 100k+ hand stretches where nothing works out for you and you are barely making money or even losing money. Just make sure to review your play with better players or whatever to see if you're actually playing well.
In the 50 zoom games I think it's incredibly rare to find those winrates over a reasonable sample. Bumhunting with a good mix of theoretical and exploitative play can definitely generate you those winrates, but still very rare IMO.
As for me I have no idea what my true winrate in the 50z games is right now. I'm improving all the time but I'm pretty confident I don't have a true winrate of a high single-digit number in the 50z pool, but I might as well have that if I reg table select properly or play on a softer site or apps.
In 2+2 PGC's where you will mostly see bigger samples of 50z-200z players with winrates ranging from 2-7bb/100. I think Seta-Beni is the only PS zoom reg I've seen have ~8evbb/100 or something over a significant sample of ~1mil hands (
https://www.runitonce.com/chatter/on...comment-304241). I remember that I've seen a couple 10bb/100+ graphs in zoom but usually it's under 200k hand samples, which definitely is indicative of a good winrate but likely not nearly as high in reality. But yeah, people that really crush the games move up the stakes fast and will never play samples big enough to reveal anything close to a true winrate at any stake. But there are plenty of 100z or 200z pros that play closer to 1mil hands a year that you can look at to get an idea.
Glad you like the thread and GL to you aswell :-)