Yeah, I was referring to online. May as well play higher and make more money even if you're bored.

It's definitely possible to lose 5 figures in sngs though at a $50 avg buy-in - at least if you find yourself in the bigger hypers

I haven't played much global recently, but I can't imagine the games getting any tougher than they have been in the past.

I have a hard time believing a 200BI downswing is possible in STTs. Yeah I haven’t noticed them getting tougher but I can’t imagine these goldmines staying around forever. Like being able to make 10%+ in hypers and 15+% at turbos is crazy. All it takes is a handful of new solid regs to really mess up winrates.

Well, $50 avg implies you will be playing higher games as well. Losing 100 buyins at $100s isnt very hard. Winrates go down as you move up.

While i guess it IS possible to lose 100 Buyins. It's def EXTREMELY rare at non-hyper STTs. At least with a somewhat reasonable ROI(~5%).

*courtesy of swongsim

very possible over big samples.

But see that's still pretty rare. 10% chance over 10,000 games and that's with a low ROI.

Curious to see what the chances are at 10% ROI. Also, why is it only showing placing 1st and 2nd. Is that 6-max?

Yeah, I set it up for 6-max --- I guess a 10% chance doesn't seem that rare to me because I play a lot of games

For a 10% ROI in 9man (using global's rake structure), over 10k games, it's a <1% chance.

Are you hodler on global?

yep

Nice. GL in 2020.

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Been on a little upswing in the few SNGs i've played lately. I'll take it.

Still unsure what direction i'll go with poker this year. But leaning towards Global SNGs still. They're just too easy to print money at. And also mixing in Live cash. I really want to keep track of my results live but in the past i had always consciously thought about my results while playing which i know effected some decisions. I guess i'll start off tracking them but the minute i start thinking about them while playing, abandon that.

2019 SNGs


2019 MTTs ($0-$60 since i only played ~10 or so $100+). SS also missed a 2nd in $55 5k ($999), 1st in $5 hyper ($500) and 9th in the $218 50k ($1,500ish).

Took 4th in the Global $5r last night for $671. About time i FTd that tournament. Was 1/10 but then went pretty card dead at the FT.

Shoutout to BTCtotheMoon. He made a loose questionable shove against me deep in a tournament a few months ago and i gave him the "Lucky **** Reg" tag. But he played really well, especially when he got the big stack. He's still lucky as **** though :P

Still upswinging in SNGs though very limited volume. Really just been playing a few games during the day while answering work emails.



Mainly running good in hypers. 5 wins and 1 2nd place in the last 8 games.

Took 15th in the $55 6k last night. Would have been nice to have back to back scores after the $5r the other night. Lost AQ<KK for top 3 stack.

My new conspiracy theory is how the hell do ‘JayBangs’ and ‘Seat1’ have such amazing stats? 245% and 300% respectively with pretty decent sample sizes (~2k games).

I know Global has a lot softer play than other sites but structures are a lot quicker so I just don’t see how those ROIs are attainable. GhoulPatrol what you got for me?

filter out the mtts with added $.

I feel like I've explained to you 4 or 5 times now that "average ROI" is a nonsense metric for MTTs. Seat1 has a 37.6% mtt ROI. Jay has a 75.9% ROI. You have a 79.5% ROI. So if they are unobtainable sitebots, you must be too, right?

How is it a non-sense metric? Can you explain the difference in both metrics using a simple example?

Say we’ve played two tournaments.
$10-cash for $20 (100% ROI)
$100-cash for $1,100 (1000% ROI)

Would average ROI be 550% and the metric you use 1,018%?

Because judging something based on two incidences is going to lead to something that is far far far away from the real result no matter what. When you judge something based on a more reasonable number of attempts (although honestly 2k mtts is still too small), the "average roi" is still going to be WAY off because of the wide gap in mtt buyins. Actual ROI is going to be more closer to the true result because it counts everything. Obviously there are still going to be inconsistencies, especially on a site like global where there are so few MTTs with decent buyins so one or two big wins can skew results, but it's absolutely way closer. I don't know anyone who gives any credence to "average ROI" for MTTs. There's no reason to use it.

Fired a $44 SNG since it was about to pop off last night. Got up to 6,000 chips at like
Bb100, then lost 5 all ins in a row and didn’t even place lol. What a tease.

Banned myself for 24 hours as I want a night of no playing and sometimes I struggle with not playing when im bored. I haven’t really set any goals this year but I think one I want to set is to really play when I play. What I mean is don’t just play 4 SNGs at night. Dedicate a couple of hours when I do want to play and actually put in some decent volume. Keep ~8 tables going. That way I’m making the most of my time behind the computer.

Haven’t played any poker in the last few days and it’s been great. And though I’ve been trying to avoid MTTs at all cost, some are just to juicy to pass. So I’m firing the $1.1k 1M GTD at the HardRock tomorrow. Hopefully I can make a deep run but am not expecting much. One thing I used to be really good at and trying to get better at lately is not caring how I fair in a live MTT. It’s ONE tournament! Stop letting the bad player winning every pot bother you. Anyone can win a tournament it’s all luck. You know what you’re signing up for so just be prepared and play your best. Will update with Day1 results tomorrow.

Played golf this morning and then late regged the $1k at bb500. Quickly got up to about 40k from 30k and dwindled to 22k before dinner break. 2nd hand back re-ship KK with 23bb vs utg. BB cold calls and we lose KK<AK on the turn. Don’t want to complain, played well, didn’t have many spots just can’t seem to run even decent in liVe MTT last 50 or so.

Had a terrible session yesterday at 2/5, if you can even call it a "session". I was in and out of there in 45 minutes, down $1,100.

Third hand of the day i get dealt red QQ. MP opens to $35. I 3b $125 from SB he flats. ($500 effective stacks). Flop J66r. I bet $85 he calls. Turn 8o. I rip $300 into $420 he calls has 88. Siiiigh.

Reload $500 lose a few pots, top off $100. Get JTo EP opens $15. Same guy from 88 hand flats MP. I call in BB. Flop J34ss. Checks to fish in MP, he makes it $55. Even though it's an overbet i think this guys just spewing. Turn 6o. Checks he makes it $150. Again at this point i think he can be overplaying a lot of worse hands and bombing his FDs. River 5o. I check he bets $200. I couldn't decide what to do here, he shouldn't be betting much besides straights (or 33/44) but he shouldn't have many of them. I call he has J7o.

Final hand. Im at about $300. Same fish opens $20. Reg 3b utg1 $55. I have red AA, didn't want to 4b and push fish out so just flat. Fish calls. Flop QKTcc. Checks to me i bet $85. Fish rips, reg calls, i reluctantly call off my last $175 or so and reg has QQ. Fish had TJ.

So pretty brutal hour or so. One of those times where you walk out wondering why you ever even play this game. Why you spend so much of your time studying, learning, playing a dumb freaking game that leaves you feeling empty inside so often. Time for a few days off to lick my wounds and forget about it. But until then taking a nice long break.

Haven't been playing much but did go play live today and won $300 in a couple of hours. Have probably played ~2k hands on ignition between 50-100NL, up about 6 buyins. Will post a graph once i get a somewhat meaningful sample. Though i just got my PT4 and card catcher working so essentially have 0 hands in the database.

Been frustrated with having to wait to download hands with the Ignition hand converter, so bought the card catcher which now allows me to use a HUD as well which is nice. Unfortunately, it saves the hands under a new alias so my database has essentially started from scratch. Here is the first 2k hands. Prob 90% 50NL and 10% 100NL. Nice to start on a heater.

Thought it had been long enough since playing some Iggy and ACR tournaments, boy was i wrong and quickly reminded why i don't play those anymore lol. Also, bubbled the $33 satty on global to the $218. Lost Q9 to 79 which was pretty frustrating.

I've been doing a lot of thinking of what i want to be doing this year regarding poker. I'm sure i will change my mind 10x throughout the year as usual but what i'm thinking is playing cash (online and live) during the day, when work permits, since volume on global is almost non-existent during the day. And then at night play SNGs and MTTs on global. It's foolish to not play such soft/variance free games while they exist and is likely where my hourly is highest.

Again, as any of you following my thread (and past ones for that matter) know, i change my mind pretty frequently, but for now that's the path i am going to take.

Was 1-tabling the $30 20k on ACR for the last few hours. Open AA utg w/14bb. BT 3b. BB rips, we lose to AK on the river. 30 ppl left $4.5k up top.

Do you guys ever feel like you're in a simulation where you're just doomed in poker? Like idk maybe the universe is trying to tell you that it has other plans for you than poker?