I take door #2

Option number 1

Numero uno.
Curiosity killed the cat.

Ok seems like not many people interested in knowing the real truth

Back on the pokerzz, Saturday was not interesting, fired a huge session and didnt really manage to get anything going for a -80% roi day or similar.

This was the highlight of the day :

https://www.boomplayer.com/22692504_CDCF6D897D

not cause i was right(well yes that helps) but also cause he's a v good reg (prob top tier1) and that made me think he was either drunk or that i fold too much those spots if he goes that ballistics. I bet its not the former.


Had a rough sunday as well.

It all started very well with a small hyper 82 win for 3.7k$, i would like to show you guys some very interesting spots like "oh look shove that K4 off bvb and get there vs Ax" or "WIN THAT FLIP" or whatever, just an hyper.

Everytime i get deep in an hyper tho i start thinking wether i should keep playing them or remove from my schedule, its just a terrible game with so low of an expected but i guess as of now i just gamble em. I stopped playing them when they increased rake but then added them back when stars schedule started to wither down, basically i prefer firing a 109 hyper with 1-2-3% expected then a b22 with infinite expected just cause of the hourly. oooorrr cause im lazy as ****.

Didnt have that many runs overall compared to how much i fired, fired heaps on party (thanks paddy) and didnt really build stack , tbf i think i play a little too tight in those during sunday on peak with a lot of tables and that doesnt help for sure, but overall just ran very bad in them.

I had a very good run in Wina hr , wich is a tournament i really love, but busted in 15th opening/4bet shipping 38 blinds with 55 over a big 3bet while bb is sitting out.

At first i was really tilted at that hand, cause i didnt really paid that much attention to his sizing (and i was 5 tabling lol) wich was like 4x in position, so i went a little mad with myself. Altough not noticing that its very bad no excuse, i still like my move. First of all its big 3bet means there's like 30% of my stack in the middle , plus he prob tends to do that more with AQ-AK then lets say 77-88, so if he has a little more bluffs then normal i should be ok with 55 if he 3bets call 99-AQ+.
I overall played great in that tournament making a huge calldown and a huge bluff vs the same guy so im feeling good about it, sick i didnt close it.

I scrolled down all my booms for the day + saved HH and didnt find anything really interesting lol. Either played terribad or was just spot dead whole day, so this posts is a little less interesting then usual.


As usual when i finish a sunday session a little earlier i start railing some friends and looking at my HH just to check something interesting, and i happened to check my ev bb100 turbo vs normal. Now i use PT 4 wich is super annoying and counterintuitive so i didnt went into filtering too much, so this is all database since 2016 all blinds etc, but this realy leads me to thinking wether i should stop playing turbos(wich i think im good at) :

normal speed
https://gyazo.com/32a196203ee0a9e78d62319a7befe03d

turbos
https://gyazo.com/34aef18cdfcf6f4a566323a294d72af6

Also i went trough all sites and noticed my highest EVbb is on stars.com , and im sure its not cause "i play good vs better players" but just cause i dont give a **** about other easier sites, wich is definetely a big mistake i need to fix; like i got negative evb100 on winamax(altough smallish sample obv since its like 3-4 tournaments a day) wich is simply terrible. Maybe i should start ripping small pairs for 40 blinds

oh well, gonna play a smaller session today and then go skiing with family till sunday, february is going meh profit wise but considering im playing almost 200 abi (thanks again party/pads, we all love you) being +10/-10 is basically breakevening lol.

Cheers guys love u all

Who's the guy with 85?

told u on skype but u can try and guess till you log in

Why is the 85 hand that crazy? Can't assume he plays that combo like that with a 100% frequency

ofc not saying it is, but its just overbluffing heaps with no real reasons..besides thinking i overfold? i mean why in the hell would you do that vs someone competent enough ? he has so many better bluffs HE HAS to run why add a hand he shouldnt even be raising pre

Why he shouldn't raise this hand pre?

Don't think it's that out of line or bad either.

whats wrong with 85o? seems reasonable on every street at some freq, one of the better bluffs on the river

also how do you end up calling AT with no club given your assumptions specifically where u dont even expect him to have such hands to bluff the river with?

The fact that your stats are almost identical in turbos and normal speed should be very worrying

i play a lot different form last year so sample is not that relevant; TBF i tought about it a little and while your right on certain situation, i dont see the game to be THAT different?

I've been slacking a little with updates, been skiing with family since wednesday and having a lot of fun, also experiencing this 7 am alarm wich isnt exactly what im used to


regarding 85o, ofc lines itself isnt a disaster. But the fact that it isnt its because you taking for granted that raising it pre is ok, but its like a dog chaising its own tail, if you raise that pre then going ballistic on those boards is mandatory from times to times, but then again you have a so wide range there that ur burning heaps of money (cause you know, even if its ok to raise 85o sometimes, its still top 75%) by barreling it off. Lines itself, meh its ok, but its way better to bluff Jx i think or good clubs

I'll be back onto the grind sunday

Had a very stressful 3 days of grinding and that made me lazy about updating here. I'll skip results cause guess what they'r not funny lol and just talk a little about hands etc.

Also, skiing with family went amazingly! I used to ski a lot when i was 8-12 but then completely gave up, cause of course a teenager prefer to stay home and play videogames or hang out with friends (i put Magic above the letter but u got the point) instead of going skiing.
I basically never skied again for 15 years, then my son started taking classes and when he was good enough he was like "fatherrrr please" and ofc i was more then happy to start back i discovered im still pretty good at it (wasnt super good when young but surely decent) and can basically go anywhere so we had a lot of fun, altough i guess my kid is gonna become better then me after the next year of classes lol

Poker wise, results arent noteworthy, probably lost around 10k since i got back home sunday.

I had some nice spots to talk about

https://www.boomplayer.com/22798097_B2CF0785E4

guy was turning QK, now i dont love him shutting down if he wanna bluff turn; i just dont bet/fold that turn often and if people still think anyone is gonna randomly bet A turns then he's way off. Shoving river accomplish something but not much,i would probably fold hands he blocks or AT maybe (wich im not sure i would bet turn) so i would just probably call turn with his hand and reevaluate if i was in his shoes, also t60 warmup guys calm down

https://www.boomplayer.com/22798237_F1B199D318

this was funny kinda easy range wise tho

https://www.boomplayer.com/22799152_6FAF3524D3

people getting a little too aggro early on recently lol :P

https://www.boomplayer.com/22808085_D31979CBA6

this is the only run i had sunday, in a 109fo 20k in wich i finished second for about 4k. Now calling turn doesnt really make me happy but i dont think he should ever have a ripping range there given my sizing etc, i would expect him to call all flushes he didnt raise flop with, same with 2 pairs he flopped. I could see him ripping Ks on the turn but again its bad, i should make a exploitative fold here but i wasnt looking for it lol

https://www.boomplayer.com/22819717_FBEDB80EBC

this is probably a mistake, this reg has a vvvv low triple barrel % and expecially a very low turn bet itself, but probably still need to call since i have almost my top one pair of ace hand, idk, i would snap vs some regs here but was probably the first time the guy tripled on me ever and we have a lot of hands.

https://www.boomplayer.com/22835128_2F3283F621

last session i played i bubbled a Monaco package vs this guy; i was card dead a lot and as you can see, no way i could win without hitting

Same day of this i had a deep run in the 100k party hr, found myself cl with 15 left but sadly couldnt close it and finished 8th; i was card dead hard during final table bubble and had a very tough table, cant complain much.

I finally decided im not going to Panama, effectively skipping my first "EPT" stop since 3+ years; will go to the partypoker millions in Saint Vincent during the same dates wich is like a 2-3 hour drive and makes much more sense to me. Probably gonna do Macau tho and surely Monaco!
I think Stars is making tragic mistakes recently and while i still think they are the greatest place to play poker wether live or online, i also think they are one of the greatest threat to the game right now. I will be curious to see Panama turnout , PCA was a disaster. Im sure Macao and monaco will be great tho, best places to have stops so ill probably go either way.

R.

why was the pca a disaster?

Attendace for every single event was really low, expecially side events, and that was the nail in the coffin combined with 20%+ payouts structures

Turnouts for London were good, too good considering they had ridiculous waitlists to get back in. Busting an MTT and being able to re-enter easily is beyond frustrating.

Really excited to see what John Duthie does with 888 Live.

Im a little tilted as of now that my last 4 sessions had me butchering 3 heads up : 109fo 20k , Monaco satty and 320 six max. I tried to understand why i'v done what.
It looks to me that everytime i play vs someone whom i think its not better then me/ worse then me at hu i just start playing very passive trying to adopt a low variance style. Now this used to be good prolly 5 years ago when people where real bad, now even if a reg its a little worse then you at postflop if you play 0% 3bet or fold to each flop cbet you just gonna get run over.
One of my biggest leaks is that i have this one very clear in mind while off the grind but harder for me to realize in game

Oh well, time for a change

I guess you meant party poker live?

Didnt post much lately and i feel sorry (with myself) for that, but man what a rough february it was.

Up 15-20k mid month , but really run bad last week and probably didnt really play my best, closed the month with a 12k loss, nothing crazy, sharkscope graph is way off i dont really know why



Year is +22k or similar, not very nice considering the milly shot for 95k but good with the 50k downswing at the start and terrible tcoop/powerfests



roi is 11% , not the best but i'll take it, i dont my exp could be really ever be over 20 with the schedule i play and if i archieve that at the end of the year it would be amazing.

Some spotssss, sadly stars-only..boom is nice to keep track

https://www.boomplayer.com/22881063_9130FAC3F0

pre prob is meh, guy is a reg with low 3bet so i was like "WTF HE SHOULDNT BE 3BETTING AT ALL HE'S SURELY UNBALANCED" so i called knowing it was terrible hoping to get a board i could smash; hey, it was early saturday and i was bored

https://www.boomplayer.com/22893009_4F5ECA6BAD

i think this is all pretty standard altough in a "low" buyin it may backfires a little bit

https://www.boomplayer.com/22897036_149134210A

guy is a massive whale and while i hate taking marginal spots in the sunday milly, he just flats atc pre so i have to bet flop and i dont think i can ever fold turn

https://www.boomplayer.com/22910126_6E26F9E33D

i dont this too often cause i think randoms always assume im never checking this river with value, but also, this looks like my best hand to craisebluff with this line (altough hands with a T maybe are better) , as i think i bluff that river a lot and dont have that many hands that checks and can win to shodown (like 78 or T7 are prob good to checkraise but i probably prefer them as a river lead)

https://www.boomplayer.com/22911986_0B4EDEE6BE

this is funny only because of something that happened on the flop: before calling the guy (german) said something i obv didnt understand related to AK , wich i guess was something like "lol u flatted AK" . On the turn i was like "oh **** diamond", then realized a fish isnt gonna take time to write something in the chat with a fd about AK, i think he would just not give a **** and try and hit a diamond, so i checked back turn to let him spew. I wasnt so sure about my read(in fact he had a "drawing" hand) but i was pretty sure if i was beat it wasnt diamonds

https://www.boomplayer.com/22923349_75E48A93AA

both guys are randoms. guess i should just sick much river, i talked myself into calling cause i block kings, but meh, prob never good

https://www.boomplayer.com/22925259_59555C18FC

OR is crazy, yet i wasnt so happy about the turn and was close to folding, tbf i called telling to myself "well i block QK i can bluff some 9-A river" wich is probably lol, but i guess its WP vs someone as crazy as this guy

One funny thing to close this post, referring to KK hand, i was talking out loud on the turn about what do etc, and i go about the bluffing part, call, and he checks river . My gf is around and i go like "ok well im good likely never here or he would just bluff it" and she answer "you just overthing too much you always good there" and i felt pretty embarassed at shodown lol

Will grind hard as always this month, skipping Panama 100% and going to Macau, so i basically have the whole month to go hard online/gym wise.

LFG!

i dont my exp could be really ever be over 20 with the schedule i play

Meh, that doesn't seem very exciting, given how big the swings can get. You never consider moving down a bit and making some more variance free money?

Well yea, i tought about it for a long time; basically playing 1500 games at a lower abi every month would have a higher expected, but you gotta take into consideration traveling for the live stops wich take a lot of the time away from the grind, so i took the option with higher variance but being able to make a lot of spendings in terms of buyins anyway. Also when i say 20% roi im very ... negative, someone more optimistic would say 30%+

Surprised this PG&C isn't that popular, I'm enjoying reading it!

The graphs you posted would make me fear playing HSMTTs on stars/party LoL.

I tink j7 hand you are blufing with the best hand, he is probably betting all Jx/ overpairs on turn so imo he is full of **** or 9x

KJs i think leading turn jaming rivers vs randoms is better, because u can make them fold KQ on river and also you are picking up your EQ with leading dont letingbtgem to check behind, as played vs randoms is really ugly and probably never good because u have so many 3x as played in your perceived range in random eyes, so pretty much when he shove he aways has 3x beat and you blocking some flush combos is very likely for random to have ATcc/88/QQ u are basicly hoping for him yo have T9cc or turning Ac3 into bluf which is very unlikely considering how hand was played on previous streets and your river sizeing

Gl at the tables

i'm the one leading turn in J7 so you probably misread HH, regarding KJ i dont see merits in turning it into a bluff as you said straight from the turn since we do have so much value, i would think about that with a way worse K, if you bluff KJs there you are overbluffing way too much