gotta be fearless against the whales

I play both. Which one is better just depends on the day and what tables you get tbh

must be a fr nit

slowly climbing out of a 30bi downswing at 500nl. still not playing as much volume as I should, what's new though. Busted 10th in the sunday 150k a couple days ago.

no idea what he's trying to get me to fold here

iPoker - $5 NL (6 max) - Holdem - 2 players
Hand converted by PokerTracker 4

BB: 102.79 BB
Hero (SB): 292.36 BB

Hero posts SB 0.5 BB, BB posts BB 1 BB

Pre Flop: (pot: 1.5 BB) Hero has A K

Hero raises to 2.4 BB, BB raises to 11 BB, Hero raises to 25.6 BB, BB calls 14.6 BB

Flop: (51.2 BB, 2 players) 6 7 5
BB checks, Hero checks

Turn: (51.2 BB, 2 players) 6
BB checks, Hero checks

River: (51.2 BB, 2 players) 6
BB checks, Hero bets 19 BB, BB raises to 77.19 BB, Hero calls 58.19 BB

BB shows A J (Three of a Kind, Sixes)
(Pre 25%, Flop 19%, Turn 14%)
Hero shows A K (Three of a Kind, Sixes)
(Pre 75%, Flop 81%, Turn 86%)
Hero wins 205.38 BB

Horrible raise by BB and horrible call by you.

Didn't even consider folding tbh. Just did a quick fist pump before I snapped. What makes you think it's a bad call?

What are u repping OTR when you bet? Nothing rly, but neither does V. Is that the only reason u called?

I'm value betting the river. I called because I'm too high in my range to fold (and he also reps nothing)

bet call is good imo.

This is actually interesting spot. Can V valuejam hand like 99 here when you dont have too many OPs in your range and when you are forced to call hands like this?

What are you value betting for that sizing in that SPR after you check to river? AK? I love watching whales going at it. lol

Don't see any other way to play it tbh

I don't think V checks turn with 99 very often. If he's checking 99 otr again then yes, it's a very easy value jam

A5s/54s, sometimes 7x that checked flop/turn, and the occasional AA that went for the turn trap though that won't be too common. The worst hand I'd bet for value is AQ.

Now that I think about it AK is more of an explo call, think it's low enough in value range to let go if you think V can actually have enough value in his range

If you love watching whales go at it you should come hop in the 500nl streets sometime

i think the only 'mistake' is that AK is worth a bigger bet. wp imo

A classic case of, 'who's got the chips tho', tho

100% agree, not sure what I was doing wrt sizing

played my first session of the month yesterday, +5 bi. ez game




iPoker - $5 NL - Holdem - 2 players
Hand converted by PokerTracker 4

SB: 111.95 BB
Hero (BB): 107 BB

SB posts SB 0.5 BB, Hero posts BB 1 BB

Pre Flop: (pot: 1.5 BB) Hero has 7 A

SB raises to 2.4 BB, Hero calls 1.4 BB

Flop: (4.8 BB, 2 players) 3 6 T
Hero checks, SB checks

Turn: (4.8 BB, 2 players) 6
Hero checks, SB bets 1.4 BB, Hero calls 1.4 BB

River: (7.6 BB, 2 players) 8
Hero checks, SB bets 11 BB, Hero calls 11 BB

SB shows K 4 (One Pair, Sixes)
(Pre 36%, Flop 22%, Turn 14%)
Hero shows 7 A (One Pair, Sixes)
(Pre 64%, Flop 78%, Turn 86%)
Hero wins 29.4 BB




iPoker - $5 NL - Holdem - 3 players
Hand converted by PokerTracker 4

BTN: 106.6 BB
Hero (SB): 110.9 BB
BB: 126.21 BB

Hero posts SB 0.5 BB, BB posts BB 1 BB

Pre Flop: (pot: 1.5 BB) Hero has J T

BTN raises to 2.5 BB, Hero raises to 11 BB, fold, BTN raises to 24.4 BB, Hero calls 13.4 BB

Flop: (49.8 BB, 2 players) 9 2 7
Hero checks, BTN bets 12 BB, Hero raises to 86.5 BB, fold

Hero mucks J T (High Card, Jack)

Hero wins 73.4 BB

June results:



volume up almost 20% may -> june so does the actual # of hands even matter?

seems like a fair runout

iPoker - $5 NL (6 max) - Holdem - 5 players
Hand converted by PokerTracker 4

SB: 130.73 BB
Hero (BB): 252.25 BB
UTG: 95.5 BB
CO: 140.41 BB
BTN: 101.1 BB

SB posts SB 0.5 BB, Hero posts BB 1 BB

Pre Flop: (pot: 1.5 BB) Hero has A K

fold, fold, fold, SB raises to 2 BB, Hero raises to 8 BB, SB calls 6 BB

Flop: (16 BB, 2 players) 3 J 3
SB checks, Hero bets 5.7 BB, SB raises to 19.1 BB, Hero calls 13.4 BB

Turn: (54.2 BB, 2 players) 3
SB checks, Hero bets 33.2 BB, SB calls 33.2 BB

River: (120.6 BB, 2 players) 3
SB checks, Hero bets 120 BB, SB calls 70.43 BB

Hero shows A K (Four of a Kind, Threes)

Hero wins 260.85 BB

July results:



Won another 5 bi on global but I wish I hadn't. Managed to forget what I'm missing for a while there :'(

Anyone have Stars $ and want btc?

lol


Great to see you still crushing, tgiggity.

Would be interested, how can I contact you? (in case we are talking stars.com and not some US version )

thanks, though don't feel like I'm crushing lately. Last 80k hands @ 500nl I'm @ 2bb/100 ev. Had the largest downswing of my career (29bi), won it all back plus some then went on another 20bi downer. Won all that back plus some and now I'm 17bi into a new downswing off that peak.

Never experienced variance like this before, I've had as many 15+ bi downswings this year as I had from 2017-2020. Games are wild soft though and I'm not playing significantly differently so I think it's just a bad run but it feels brutal. It's **** like this over and over:

iPoker - $5 NL (6 max) - Holdem - 6 players
Hand converted by PokerTracker 4

UTG: 72.8 BB
Hero (MP): 101.5 BB
CO: 212.6 BB
BTN: 99.13 BB
SB: 105.92 BB
BB: 71.53 BB

SB posts SB 0.5 BB, BB posts BB 1 BB

Pre Flop: (pot: 1.5 BB) Hero has A J

UTG calls 1 BB, Hero raises to 5 BB, fold, fold, fold, BB calls 4 BB, fold

Flop: (11.5 BB, 2 players) A 9 J
BB bets 5 BB, Hero calls 5 BB

Turn: (21.5 BB, 2 players) Q
BB bets 10.35 BB, Hero raises to 91.5 BB, BB calls 51.18 BB

River: (144.57 BB, 2 players) 9

BB shows 9 Q (Full House, Nines full of Queens)
(Pre 41%, Flop 11%, Turn 9%)
Hero mucks A J (Two Pair, Aces and Jacks)
(Pre 59%, Flop 89%, Turn 91%)
BB wins 143.77 BB


making better money trading crypto than playing poker these days, but 99% of my work hours go toward poker

Imagine thinking 15bi downswings are brutal. Have you never looked at a variance sims? Even 29bi downswings are common for big winners. lol @ delusional sun runners.

Yeah honestly with decent volume 15+ downswings should be happening monthly

i wish they only happened once a month

head up giggity, you got this

Do you think you have an edge trading crypto and if yes where do you find that edge? Cause its prob way more lucrative than grinding midstakes online for a couple of bb/100, not as fun as playing poker though.

Guess it depends on what you think is a big winner. A 10bb/100 winner with 100 std dev doeesn't experience too many 15+bi downswings on the variance calc. Min bankroll for less than 5% chance of ruin is less than 15bi.

I'd only ever had 2 or 3 of them (in over half a million cash hands at 200nl+ (before this year). But my std dev has always been 85-90 and my wr ~10bb/100.

Downswings don't really mess with me though. It's the 80k hands of basically breakeven poker that's a lot more brutal.

I know I should be counting my blessings for how well I've run to this point. Thanks for the encouragement.

Meh, prob not long term. There's just a lot of easy money to be made right now. Tons of easy arbitration opportunities, even for a human vs armies of bots.

A couple days ago a coin was trading at 40 cents on binance and 75 cents on coinbase. Somehow that lasted a few hours. Also seems to be the season for pump and dumps. Lately you can kinda just dartboard things that haven't popped yet. You have to put a sell order up right away though - these things go up 100% in 10 minutes and then 2 hours later it's trading for what you bought it again. Have had a couple that lost me 10-20% but most I got in and out within a day or two for 100-200% gains. Who knows how long it lasts though, set stop losses and don't get caught holding bags.

Seems pretty unlikely that you have a 10bb winrate at 500nl 6m though (and there's no shame in that). It's really going to be a much much different ride grinding mostly lower stakes full ring with a high winrate than it is grinding 6max with a lower winrate. A lot of the frustration usually comes from having unrealistic expectations, so if you reframe your expectations you'll probably find it a lot easier to deal with the swings. Personally I'd also recommend against "trading" crypto as you prob aren't +ev, but to each their own. The price arbitrage opportunity can potentially make sense to go after I guess depending on the situation. Either way good luck!

How's life been? Are you planning to grind it out in mexico for the long term?