I need to remember that it's okay to fold overpairs in 3bet pots.
Also, raising 1/4 cbets doesn't = aggro.
Villain timebanked, and this should adjust the decision by 4%, not make it a snap 3!.
H1 KdTd, bet turn or call vs this size, you have the right odds/implieds to call vs anything but the nuts and villain is much wider than that
H3 Kd6d, cbet. Cbetting is good, cbetting with equity is better. Checking puts you in a world of trouble. Why bet turn so small?
H4 nice laydown, raise turn though. You are way ahead of calling range/can deny equity/get value from Pair+draw type hands, worse 2p etc. When you just call out of position you basically lose option to put another bet in on the river (and you often want to).
QQ hand is fine to get in on the flop vs most players even vs this action, lots of random any pair+spade and random Ax with nut flush draw. Obviously you're drawing dead sometimes and a raise is worse for you than a call but need to consider whole range of possibilities (not to say this is easy).
H4 he still is uncapped, but I need to analyse that spot for sure to see if we can 2bet turn.
H5 I think that might be your read based on ignition. Feel we're crushed here.
H6 - Just fkn cbet man. Had a look through several flops and have a better idea of which flops to cbet which hands on. PokerStars - $0.25 NL FAST (6 max) - Holdem - 6 players Hand converted by PokerTracker 4
H7 - Timebanked but did not fold. Thought "he should've gone all in" but so decided to call. But he just doesn't know sizing. Wrong sizing shouldn't be a game breaking factor, just maybe 10% of the decision. PokerStars - $0.25 NL FAST (6 max) - Holdem - 6 players Hand converted by PokerTracker 4
H13 - Much more interesting spot than I thought. How much QQ to stack off? I've been analysing this spot with an SPR of 4 when having an SPR of 5 can make a big impact.
Depending on some villains QQ could be a fold OTF. But then should it be a call pre?
SB shows K T (Three of a Kind, Kings)
(Pre 40%, Flop 23%, Turn 77%) Hero shows 2 A (Flush, Ace High)
(Pre 60%, Flop 77%, Turn 23%) Hero wins 13.32 BB
H17 - he needs to stack off wider than flushes so you can keep bluffing. even w/o blocker PokerStars - $0.25 NL FAST (6 max) - Holdem - 6 players Hand converted by PokerTracker 4
H22 - Check river? With Qd it's not bad, he has to call worse for sure. PokerStars - $0.25 NL FAST (6 max) - Holdem - 6 players Hand converted by PokerTracker 4
H23 - Fold riv. Turn can be mixed even. Could station with 6x instead since it has more equity OTT and blocks slightly more value i.e. 76, 66. PokerStars - $0.25 NL FAST (6 max) - Holdem - 6 players Hand converted by PokerTracker 4
If you're results aren't what you've expected, either you've misjudged something or didn't take something into account.
My schedule involves me playing 2 hours before I go to work.
I ran into a 6BI downswing today at 25nl. I took a look at my graph at 25z for the year. I have 10k hand stretches of slow climbing then losing 6 BI.
I filtered for when I play from 6am to 9am and I am losing 4.4bb/100 there over a small sample of 15k hands.
But am beating it when I'm playing at other times, at 3.8bb/100
I also did some work and thought pocket pairs were great 3bets from SB (if you're 3bet or fold). But I did the calcs assuming I'd have the same fold equity with a pocket pair, compared to the average (which includes hands like AA, AK, etc).
So I may have misjudged their value. Especially in a high rake environment.
Yeah, defending AJs oop vs this sizing looks bad imo. AQs also. Maybe if you have a read villain is a maniac or smth like that, but 22/18/8 over almost 6k hands seems pretty tagish, and I doubt he´s going out of line here.
If you have 6k hands on someone it's all the more reason to ignore their HUD stats because you don't know how they could be adjusting to you at that point.
This week's focus, and the next week's will be focused on attacking non-raising/betting ranges.
I've spent too much time focusing on optimal defense frequencies vs stabs etc, and how to best adjust if I think the opponents are underbluffing.
But the real focus for exploitation of underbluffers, is to attack their checks and calls. So I'm gonna find more thin value and more bluffs to go with it. So I'm gonna get loose.
It's funny, and was unintuitive to me. If someone's adding strength to one range, don't study how to beat them there. Study how to beat their weak range.
Have moved down to 5z to try this strat of defending GTO but trying to attack GTO as well.
Here are all the areas I need to get good in postflop:
Check = x
Raise = r
Bet = b
In position:
B b b pot
B b b AI
B b (overb) AI
B b x
B x b
B x b (overb)
X b b
X b b (overb)
X x b
X x b (overb)
B/3b b b
B/3b x b
B/c b b
B/c x b
B/c x b AI
B b bc
B bc b
OOP:
Xr b b
Xr b b AI
Xr b xc
Xr b xr
Xr x b
Xr xr b
Xr xr xr (is this a thing?)
Xr xc xr
Xr xc xc
Xr xx xr
Xc xr b
Xc xr xr
Xc xc xr
Xc xc xc
Xc xx b third
Xc xx b two third
Xc xx b pot
Xc xx b overb
Xc xx b AI
Xx b big b big
Xx b big b AI
Xx b b
Xx b b big
Xx b b AI
Xx b (all sizes) xr
Xx b xc
Xx xr b
Xx xr xc
Xx xr xr
Xx xx b
Xx xx b big
Xx xx b third
Xx xx xr std
Xx xx xr pot
Xx xx xr AI
In every spot you bet, make a plan to counter raises.
Multiply the above so you have plans in 2-4bet pots.
Multiply the above so you have plans as PFR and nPFR.
Write down which lines you’ve done work on and then study the ones you haven’t.