well I mean if flat pre flop is +EV and fold pre flop is 0EV then why is folding that much better than calling?
Not sure how you were interpreting my comment, but imo flatting preflop with 7 high OOP vs a 4b with garbage rake at micros, among a multitude of other reasons, is not +EV
Vs people who open 40-50%+ OTB and don't fight back enough with 4b bluffs (ie flat hands like A2s-A5s that should be 4bs and 4-betting a lot more bluffs), ATo is definitely a clear 3b over call from SB.
"In the toughest games" I'm sure calling w/ A10o, sandwiched between a reg OTB and BB, is more lol.
I think it depends all on your sb strat: if you want to overcomplicate it and add calls you will be able to play ATo profitably as a call because your opponents won't squeeze as much(because you'te not capped and will have backraises) and ATo plays well vs btn's range. Even if villains keep squeezing light, then your AT will underrealize but your backraises will overrealize.
I don't like having a balanced cc range from the SB because 4bb/100 is still a reasonably high rake that will reduce the EV of your range and BB will often misplay by cc too much, which increases the EV of btn in the hand by a lot while SB loses lots of EV vs that.
if you dont have a flatting range from small blind you should consider folding ATo some of the time at least, unless you are playing super weak players I guess
Not sure how you were interpreting my comment, but imo flatting preflop with 7 high OOP vs a 4b with garbage rake at micros, among a multitude of other reasons, is not +EV
I dont play micros but I dont see how it would be fine at higher stakes but worse at micros where people make more mistakes postflop, rake isnt enough to go from 100% call to 0%
H2: massive spew by me, I rep nothing, I decided to 3-bet because this guy was defending the river a lot and was raising a lot, but he could be overdefending his checking back range while overbluffing turn. Even vs overbluffs this kind of **** is terrible because I need to be right a lot, terrible. And few people balance their small bets, so it's likely that it's a spazz. Also I don't see many reasons to balance the small sizing because most people don't raise that thin anyway
fold, fold, CO raises to 2.4 BB, fold, fold, Hero calls 1.4 BB
Flop:(5.3 BB, 2 players) T 4 2 Hero checks, CO bets 1.56 BB, Hero calls 1.56 BB
Turn:(8.42 BB, 2 players) 8 Hero checks, CO checks
River:(8.42 BB, 2 players) 4 Hero bets 2.08 BB, CO raises to 14.24 BB, Hero raises to 41.6 BB, CO calls 27.36 BB
Spoiler:
Hero shows Q J (One Pair, Fours)
(Pre 60%, Flop 30%, Turn 23%) CO shows 4 6 (Three of a Kind, Fours)
(Pre 40%, Flop 70%, Turn 77%) CO wins 87.62 BB
H3: vs random fish lol. I was thinking about folding but meh, these guys can have flushes in there, I was even thinking "jesus, did I finally find a bluff raise OTR here?" before calling!
River:(14.66 BB, 2 players) K Hero bets 10.44 BB, CO raises to 33 BB, Hero calls 22.56 BB
Spoiler:
CO shows A Q (One Pair, Twos)
(Pre 68%, Flop 43%, Turn 60%) Hero shows A 4 (Flush, Ace High)
(Pre 32%, Flop 57%, Turn 40%) Hero wins 76.66 BB
H4: I was raising his donk, but when he 2x it I think it's likely that he has like the nuts trying to play a line with 0 sense, what do you guys think? I folded because I had the As, which blocked his most likely bluffs, without it I think I was calling
Turn:(12.98 BB, 3 players) 6 BB checks, Hero bets 9.26 BB, CO calls 9.26 BB, BB raises to 22 BB, Hero calls 12.74 BB, CO raises to 49.92 BB and is all-in, BB raises to 97.08 BB and is all-in, Hero calls 75.08 BB
Spoiler:
River:(257.06 BB, 3 players) 3
BB shows J T (Flush, Jack High)
Main Pot [162.74 BB]: (Pre 38%, Flop 2%, Turn 0%)
Side Pot#1 [94.32 BB]: (Pre 45%, Flop 20%, Turn 0%)
Hero shows 5 A (Flush, Ace High)
Main Pot [162.74 BB]: (Pre 34%, Flop 26%, Turn 79%)
Side Pot#1 [94.32 BB]: (Pre 55%, Flop 80%, Turn 100%)
CO shows 2 2 (Three of a Kind, Twos)
Main Pot [162.74 BB]: (Pre 28%, Flop 72%, Turn 21%)
Getting correct odds doesn't make a hand breakeven or +EV. Being OOP you will massively underrealize equity, get bluffed off the best hand a lot, etc. Not to mention rake is garbage at the micros.
A flat here is beyond terrible.
With the SPR of a 4bet pot the positional disadvantage is negated a fair amount. Not saying this is a definite call, but the lower the SPR the closer your EV becomes to your equity.
it's not. especially if you're playing on the "toughest games on the net" which I don't think whoever Mirage is referencing is.
lol. im actually gonna bite here, but srsly, what you do with ATo from the SB vs a BTN open depends a lot from BTNs RFI, open size , and what kind of player BB is , being that in a vacuum vs lets say a min raise folding is by far the worst option and 3betting and flatting are really close EV ..
but guess im far behind the curve, when "it's not" its the answer to such a close spot .........
H1: usually a bad calldown against the average opponent at these stakes
H2: fold flop. you shouldn't have even got to the river.
H3: shove river, he reps no full houses and has worse hands that will call. lmao @ you even considering folding.
H4: lol if he's value betting K7 and you folded the best hand. for 2x pot, probably fold.
H5: that's actually a fairly easy call-call with ace high. the fact you think it's a vamoo moment shows you haven't learned very much in 7 years of playing poker.
My plan today was to just run some sims and to not play because I was in bad mood and didn't sleep well, ended up running the sim and sweating a friend and decided to play lol. Quality of play was low, made a lot of mistakes, roll still at $3.3k
Some hands
H1: the guy that folded OTR was brazilian, he tanked like crazy lol. That's not the type of fold you expect a brazilian to make, wp!
River:(41.58 BB, 3 players) J SB checks, Hero checks, MP bets 21 BB, SB calls 21 BB, Hero raises to 91.92 BB and is all-in, fold, SB calls 55.2 BB and is all-in
Spoiler:
Hero shows Q J (Full House, Jacks full of Queens)
(Pre 39%, Flop 73%, Turn 9%) SB shows A T (Straight, Ace High)
(Pre 61%, Flop 27%, Turn 91%) Hero wins 210.98 BB
H2: vs reg that loves defending 3-bets, take that! I decided to make that play because I want to check turn sometimes with some overpairs and since people stab more than pio but won't continue OTR as much for thin value/bluffs, x/j becomes way better than x/c with our slowplays, so need some bluffs and this one seemed apropriate.
Spoiler:
And obv I knew he had a pair but didn't have them BALLZ to call!! haha vaaaaaamo!
Turn:(41.76 BB, 2 players) 8 Hero checks, BTN bets 14.5 BB, Hero raises to 82.68 BB and is all-in, fold
Hero wins 67.22 BB
H3: vs unknown fish, meh, I have 0 clue on this one. I feel like those guys overcbet the flop but won't go super thin for value, but his sizing seemed value heavy. My blockers are bad but not terrible. Should I fold the river?
H4: whale snap jammed, I had 0 clue in what his range was, I've seen people show up with 24ss for 200bbs in a similar spot lol. Do you guys call? I thought that he would at least think a bit with his nutted combos and that he could have some protection Ax.
H6: very bad bluff by me, specially since this guy was calling me light overall and my line reps only TT, but I think PIO could show up here with some AK/Qx too, but it isn't expected for me to have that to raise the river. What do you guys think of playing AK like that? OTT I think I have to check a lot
UTG shows K A (One Pair, Kings)
(Pre 73%, Flop 80%, Turn 80%) Hero shows A T (Flush, King High)
(Pre 27%, Flop 20%, Turn 20%) Hero wins 69.22 BB
H8: I was calling this guy on like all turns but this one, he snap checked turn and snap jammed river. Villain was obv a whale, but that Qx hits him so hard since these guys love going for protection OTF and they are afraid of the flush OTT/love to trap flushes too, so I made the hero fold. I used to jam the flop but now I see that it's bad, gotta just call OTF to keep their bluffs imo
Playing poker is so fun, it's so intetesting since I started calling people/taking a more explo approach, it's a totally different game, soooo exciting!
When I quit in 2014 I was forcing myself to play, it was so miserable. Now I do my best to find any extra time in my schedule to play haha. I obv don't take hours from my studies/going out with friends.
Playing poker is so fun, it's so intetesting since I started calling people/taking a more explo approach, it's a totally different game, soooo exciting!
When I quit in 2014 I was forcing myself to play, it was so miserable. Now I do my best to find any extra time in my schedule to play haha. I obv don't take hours from my studies/going out with friends.
KQo is a punt, if you wanna do that which is alright, do it with QJ instead
I didn't see that JQs has a gutshot in there, yeah, should definitely do it only with those. Also my combo was very bad: I was blocking AQcc,KQcc and KQss, if I want to do it with KQ it should be only KQhh or at least with the Qh which unblocks more floats that will auto-fold
But I don't mind overbluffing there vs a decent reg, population massively underbluffs on that texture that has no flush draws.
H2: meeeh, i do not like but you had your reasons and might be fine on lower freq.
H3: am i to tight folding this on turn already? well betsizing is a bit on the lower side and we get actually good odds but i see myself always losing this spot...
H4: yeah this is dicy. very rarely u see weaker Ax doing this but most of the time this is two pair+. flushdraws i don't think he ever has, these players just peel for all the draws and playing quite passive. folding is fine in these spots.
H5: is this a PIO play? i fold here
H6: mixing in some AK here seems good, i like it
H7: nh
H8: very ul turns, good fold then. understand your reasoning for just calling but SPR is so small already to eezy get it in. with this sizing i don't think you will ever fold out draws so happy jamming here.
H5 isn't a pio play, pio doesn't play mw, but in a hu pot I can see JQ being bluffed there, just not with the Js since we want villain to have it. Mw I like the Js since it reduces the chance of someone having some gutshot+FD/AJss that could jam on us or overcall IP. It's just a buttonclick on this one but I like it, we could have some 2p/KK in there going for value