I'm trying to calculate my yearly VIP rakeback rewards using the PokerStars VIP Status Calculator.

After step 3 I get my estimated rewards after plugging in the numbers (type of cash game, amount of tables and hours played). So it comed up with the following numbers (they're just an approximation anyway):

YOUR 2015 VIP REWARDS: $5,077
YOUR 2016 VIP REWARDS: $15,899

First remark, I find it a bit odd the 2016 VIP reward is 3x as much, we are only one month off halfway through the year right?

However, my main question: what exactly is this based on. Are these number the VIP Stellar Rewards + FPP earnings?

So the VIP Stellar Rewards are fixed numbers, you just exchange the tickets you recieve. But hat about the FPP earnings. They ask me a question "How will you spend your FPP". I selected the option 'Tournament Tickets & FPP Satellites" (those are the mostly 6-handed Hyper satellites right?). When I select one of the 'X$ VIP reward Bonus' (Im' not entirery sure what these are) options, my yearly VIP rewards decrease...

Conclusion: When I select the Tournament Tickets & FPP Satellites' option, are they presuming I win every single one of them?

Can anyone help me out here, thank you.