Hello everybody,

I was working mainly on theory today and just grinded an hour. This will also be the case for Tuesday and Wednesday and on Thursay I take a break.
So next graphs will be uploaded on Friday.

But I will post hands tomorrow and the day after.

Topic of todays Hand-Review is 'Facing Donkbet'


Hand #1

PokerStars No-Limit Hold'em, 25 Tournament, 10/20 Blinds (3 Spieler) - PokerStars Converter Tool from http://de.flopturnriver.com/

SB (t540)
Hero (BB) (t490)
Button (t470)

Preflop: Hero ist BB mit K, K
1 fold, SB calls t10, Hero raises to t60, SB calls t40

Flop: (t120) 3, J, 7 (2 Spieler)
SB checks, Hero bets t60, SB calls t60

Turn: (t240) 8 (2 Spieler)
SB checks, Hero bets t120, SB calls t120

River: (t480) Q (2 Spieler)
SB bets t300 (All-In), Hero calls t250 (All-In)

Gesamt Pot: t980



Opponent:

- Unknown

Preflop, Flop and Turn is standard there is no need to discuss it.

River:

- We need to win the pot 26% of the time to make a breakeven call. For some it may is a easily call, but I want to figure out if we are really allowed to call here.

Hands that I came up that he may donk for value on the river:



We only have 13% equity vs his value part, so we can already figure out that it isn't an easy call.

But let's see how many bluffs we need to add that our call get profitable:

Value Part: 13 Combos
Bluff Combos needed for a break even call: 3.5 Combos

So he need to bluff roughly 27% of the time to make this call profitable and I think that it is close but ok to call.

Warning:

- If you want to work on your game you shouldn't review those kind of very rarely occuring spots. You want to work on more frequent situations. But I it was interesting and I also wanted to show that we should be very careful vs river donk bets.


Hand #2

PokerStars No-Limit Hold'em, 25 Tournament, 10/20 Blinds (3 Spieler) - PokerStars Converter Tool from http://de.flopturnriver.com/Hand-Converter.php

BB (t550)
Hero (Button) (t450)
SB (t500)

Preflop: Hero ist Button mit 10, 9
Hero raises to t40, 1 fold, BB calls t20

Flop: (t90) 3, 2, 8 (2 Spieler)
BB bets t45, Hero raises to t410 (All-In), 1 fold

Gesamt Pot: t180



Opponent:

- Very aggressive postflop but on a low sample size.

Flop:

- He decides to donk and I think a guy like this can donk pretty wide but even if he isn't the key is that he can have very little nuts. He may 3bet jam pocket pairs pre so he has very little amount of sets, the same is true for 2Pair, I mean how often does he call 82, 83 or 32 also very little that means his best hands are TP.

- Therfeore I came to the conclusion to raise. Raising all-in or raising non ai is both fine but just the fact that he is the more aggressive guy and has very little strong hands to call and the pot is already decent makes it a very profitable play and I like it.

- This is an example for a spot that occurs frequently and is worth to work on!

Topic of todays Hand-Review is 'HU BB screen biggest EV losses'


Hand #1 '-690 EV'

PokerStars No-Limit Hold'em, 25 Tournament, 15/30 Blinds (2 Spieler) - PokerStars Converter Tool from http://de.flopturnriver.com

SB (t760)
Hero (BB) (t740)

Preflop: Hero ist BB mit 8, 8
SB calls t15, Hero raises to t90, SB calls t60

Flop: (t180) 6, 2, 3 (2 Spieler)
Hero bets t180, SB calls t180

Turn: (t540) 4 (2 Spieler)
Hero bets t470 (All-In), SB calls t470

River: (t1,480) K (2 Spieler, 1 all-in)

Total Pot: t1,480



Opponent:

- Unknown

Preflop and Flop is standard an pretty fine.

Turn:

- Even if the 4 is a scared card, he still has weaker hands to call with 6x and FDs and I my hand neds protection vs his OCs and GTSDs, therefore I like that play.

Hand #2 '- 556

PokerStars No-Limit Hold'em, 25 Tournament, 20/40 Blinds (2 Spieler) - PokerStars Converter Tool from http://de.flopturnriver.com/

SB (t944)
Hero (BB) (t556)

Preflop: Hero ist BB mit 2, 4
SB raises to t80, Hero calls t40

Flop: (t160) 5, 10, J (2 Spieler)
Hero checks, SB checks

Turn: (t160) 3 (2 Spieler)
Hero bets t96, SB calls t96

River: (t352) K (2 Spieler)
Hero bets t380 (All-In), SB calls t380

Total Pot: t1,112



Opponent:

- Regular with high c-bet stat (10/13)

Prefop:

- Call is fine

Flop:

- The thing is with opponents that cbet a lot is: that if they check they are almost always weak. On this flop I guess his best holding is mainly T-high of course from time to time he can trap a set but overall he is pretty weak after checking back.

Turn:

- That's why I like my probe bet.

Turn:

- He shouldn't have too many Kx left on the river and I have zero showdown value and I can definitely get better hands to fold, therefore I like the river jam.

Hand #3 '-544 EV'

PokerStars No-Limit Hold'em, 25 Tournament, 20/40 Blinds (2 Spieler) - PokerStars Converter Tool from http://de.flopturnriver.com

SB (t756)
Hero (BB) (t744)

Preflop: Hero ist BB mit K, 8
SB calls t20, Hero raises to t120, SB calls t80

Flop: (t240) 8, 3, 9 (2 Spieler)
Hero checks, SB checks

Turn: (t240) 2 (2 Spieler)
Hero bets t144, SB calls t144

River: (t528) 4 (2 Spieler)
Hero checks, SB bets t280, Hero calls t280

Total Pot: t1,088



Opponent:

- small sample bu looks very aggro post, donkbets and x/r alot so far.

Prefop:

- I shouldn't raise K8s vs aggressive opponents, I would like to see me checking.

Flop:

- Everything fine here.

Turn:

- I assumed he will bet almost all his 9x so I decided to bet for value and I think it is reasonable, I can get called by weaker 8x and FDs.

River:

- I think checking is fine, because there are not a lot of hands that I can get value form any more. And he decided to bet and I am generally not a big fan of bluff catch but I think in that Situation vs that opponent it is correct to call here. On that board texture he can definitely turn a decent amount of hands into a bluff.

Hello everybody,

played well but still run horrible.

Here is the graph since Monday:



Graph Overall:



Info:

Day: 119
ROI: 10%
chip/EV (per game): 75
Profit (incl. RB): €5340 + (215€ Rake)

Planned Volume: 360 min --> Actual: 280 min
Warm-Up: Yes
Sleep-Quality: 10/10
Meditation: Yes
Focus: 7/10
Energy: 8/10
A-Game ratio: 70%

Hello everybody,

another horrible day, but I will stay calm and gind my way out of this bad run.

Graph of the day:



Graph Overall:



Info:

Day: 120
ROI: 10%
chip/EV (per game): 74
Profit (incl. RB): €5390 + (215€ Rake)

Planned Volume: 360 min --> Actual: 300 min
Warm-Up: Yes
Sleep-Quality: 10/10
Meditation: Yes
Focus: 10/10
Energy: 10/10
A-Game ratio: 100%

Hello everybody,

another tough day, but at least at the end, I was runng fine.


Graph of the day:



Graph Overall:



Info:

Day: 121
ROI: 9%
chip/EV (per game): 74
Profit (incl. RB): €5390 + (215€ Rake)

Planned Volume: 360 min --> Actual: 330 min
Warm-Up: Yes
Sleep-Quality: 10/10
Meditation: Yes
Focus: 10/10
Energy: 10/10
A-Game ratio: 90%

Hello everybody,

I have decided to work more on my game the next time. Not sure how long it will last to finish everything but as long as it takes me I will work on theory form Monday-Wednesday, take a day off on Thursday and grind from Friday to Sunday.
Therefore I am only updating the challenge from Friday to Sunday.

Hello everybody,

very good grind today.

Graph of the day:



Graph Overall:



Info:

Day: 123
ROI: 9%
chip/EV (per game): 74
Profit (incl. RB): €5220 + (215€ Rake)

Planned Volume: 360 min --> Actual: 365 min
Warm-Up: Yes
Sleep-Quality: 10/10
Meditation: Yes
Focus: 10/10
Energy: 10/10
A-Game ratio: 90%

Hello everybody,

another very bad runout day...

Graph of the Day:




Graph Overall:



Info:

Day: 124
ROI: 7%
chip/EV (per game): 73
Profit (incl. RB): €4695 + (215€ Rake)

Planned Volume: 360 min --> Actual: 370 min
Warm-Up: Yes
Sleep-Quality: 7/10
Meditation: Yes
Focus: 10/10
Energy: 10/10
A-Game ratio: 90%

Hello everybody,

It was really a vey bad month for me, after losing and losing, you're self-confidence is getting smaller and smaller and at somepoint you doubt in your skill, that's the brutal side of poker.
BUT I must be able to handle this otherwise I will never make a living from Poker.
Therfore I just stick to my plan and I will study 3 days and grind 3 days per week. If I regularly improve my game the higher will my winrate be and the less swings I will face. I will just stay calm and give my best for the last 3 months of the Challenge!

Graph of today:



Graph Overall:




Info:

Day: 125
ROI: 7%
chip/EV (per game): 73
Profit (incl. RB): €4370 + (215€ Rake)

Planned Volume: 360 min --> Actual: 360 min
Warm-Up: Yes
Sleep-Quality: 9/10
Meditation: Yes
Focus: 9/10
Energy: 8/10
A-Game ratio: 90%

Hello everybody,

I made a nice progress in my theory work, I tried today to put into the game, but still nothing work out...

Graph of today:



Graph Overall:



Info:

Day: 126
ROI: 6%
chip/EV (per game): 72
Profit (incl. RB): €4170 + (215€ Rake)

Planned Volume: 360 min --> Actual: 210 min
Warm-Up: Yes
Sleep-Quality: 10/10
Meditation: Yes
Focus: 10/10
Energy: 10/10
A-Game ratio: 100%

Hello everybody,

very well played today and super nice concentration level.

Graph of the day:



Graph overall:



Info:

Day: 127
ROI: 6%
chip/EV (per game): 73
Profit (incl. RB): €4290 + (215€ Rake)

Planned Volume: 360 min --> Actual: 300 min
Warm-Up: Yes
Sleep-Quality: 6/10
Meditation: Yes
Focus: 10/10
Energy: 10/10
A-Game ratio: 100%

Hello everybody,

had an appointment today for viewing a tiny house that I would like to rent, therfeore I was only able to play 3h. But the grind was decent.

Graph of the Day:



Graph Overall:



Info:

Day: 128
ROI: 6%
chip/EV (per game): 73
Profit (incl. RB): €4270 + (215€ Rake)

Planned Volume: 360 min --> Actual: 185 min
Warm-Up: Yes
Sleep-Quality: 8/10
Meditation: Yes
Focus: 8/10
Energy: 7/10
A-Game ratio: 80%

Hello everybody,

played very well, but run horrible...

Graph of the day:



Graph Overall:



Info:

Day: 129
ROI: 5%
chip/EV (per game): 73
Profit (incl. RB): €4000 + (215€ Rake)

Planned Volume: 360 min --> Actual: 365 min
Warm-Up: Yes
Sleep-Quality: 10/10
Meditation: Yes
Focus: 10/10
Energy: 10/10
A-Game ratio: 100%

Hello everybody,

I stopped earlier today, I just run horrible...

Graph of the Day:



Graph Overall:



Info:

Day: 130
ROI: 5%
chip/EV (per game): 72
Profit (incl. RB): €3500 + (215€ Rake)

Planned Volume: 360 min --> Actual: 245 min
Warm-Up: Yes
Sleep-Quality: 8/10
Meditation: Yes
Focus: 10/10
Energy: 8/10
A-Game ratio: 100%

Is that day graph correct? Looks like you lost €500 since yesterday but day graph says you only lost €200?

Yay we're back at 6% ROI!

Edit: oh sh*t we're not. Yeah, seems rough variance for you lately. You seem handling it well, but ofc it must suck losing the 6% or 7% or whatever that is good. I'm not saying 5% is not good, but sh*t, f*cking rake is tough. It makes it less appealing as a grind.

Are you playing on .es or .fr or similar? I see the amounts are in EURO. How does the pool look is the games healthy, do the euro100s run and is .es + .fr + .it all merged player pool or not? Sorry for the 3 story question, I'm just moving to that area due to work stuff soon and would like appreciate knowledge/wisdom if you have it (p.s. tried Googling, didn't Google in the answer successfully)

@Masq, the graph shows chips not dollar

@EPTchips, haha you nailed it is really hardcore at the moment, I am in a horrible downswing and everything that I do feels wrong xD But I am still on fire and will find my way out of that!

- Yes on .es

- Pool is healthy and .fr and .es is merged and I think .it is seperated. I am playing 25€ games so not sure about 100€ games personally, but I do know players that play there regularly, so it should also be fine.

Review:

I were so deep in my strategy work that I even forgot to update my challenge. Like I already said to EPTchips. I am in a bad downswing for a while now and it is getting really hard to stay calm.

Therefore I decided to rework all my strategies. And it is really a lot of work, the last days I just analyze, compare, adjust and try to learn all the new stuff.
I don't know how long this will last, but my timeframe is at max. 1 more week.

Afterwards I will not do any theory work, besides hand-reviewing until the end of the challenge and just grind it out no matter what!

So let's see if the changes make the difference! I'll post as soon as I start the grind!

Hello everybody,

Recap July:

It was a very tough month, especially because I had to move to anoher place, which was very time consuming and additionally putted me totally out of focus.

Which definitely influenced my game on the one side I run very bad and on the other side I played very bad. Therfore I also needed to go down to 10€ games...

All those things are very demotivating so it was kind of hard to take the next step. But I created a new day plan and made a lot of thoughts about my game and about poker.

My conclusion is: that this was just a bad a month and I don't need to worry too much about it, I need to focus on improving my game and increase the volume drastically.

That's why my goal is to play 500 games each week until the end of the challenge.

I made a lot of theory work last month therfore I will just review my game and try to implement all the new strategies step by step.

Graph 25€ Overall:



Graph 10€ since moving down:



Graph Overall:



Volume Goal CW 31:

51/500

Hello everybody,

good volume today, but need to get used to play 3 tables.

Graph of today:




Graph Overall:



Volume Goal CW 31:

205/500

Hello everybody:

very good grind today!

Graph of today:



Graph Overall:



Volume Goal CW 31:

355/505

Do you still believe that is the best to go with spins than mtts than mtts or cash?

@VeggieBoy

I mean it is close between cash and spins but I definitely prefer Spins just because I do believe that it is more attracting to recreational player even on higher stakes.

And I made also some deeper thoughts about MTTs and I do believe I would only play them with a huge Bankroll and Highstakes only.
For sure you have tons of recreational players, but swings can be insane and think about the money you may made on low stakes.
Let's say you play a 5€ tournament and have a ROI of 50% you just win 2.5€ per game and you'll play a MTT on average with around 3-4h, so yeah it's really hard to build a role there.

Therefore I definitely think Spins are the way to go building a role and afterwards you still can look for other profitable spots.

Review Sunday:

I were totally exhaused at the end of the day and I needed to quit earlier, I wasn't even able to write a post.

Graph of Sunday:



Graph Overall:




Volume Goal CW 31:

472/500

Hello everybody,

played a couple of games from monday to wednesay but mainly studied.

Here is the graph:



Volume Goal CW 32:

100/500

Hello everybody,

good grind today, but only 2-tabling.

Graph of today:



Graph Overall:




Volume Goal CW 32:


174/500