Its how u wanna interpret it. I read that there is a 5% chance im beating the game with "more than 12bb/100"

Thanks for the wishes. I may have run very well - time will show.
Most important thing is I feel comfortable in doing what I do.
That was not the case when I started playin at 200. (15bi down after first 25k)
Its easy to lift off a bit when everything goes well - gotta be careful with that.

fwiw evbb/100 has a lower stdev (i'd guess <70) so using that changes the confidence intervals. And also afaik there's a slight difference between saying there's a 5% chance you're a less than a 2bb winner and what confidence interval actually says. Since the actual winrate isn't a random variable it either is or isn't within the confidence interval with 100% probability, but 95% of 95% confidence intervals for different samples include the population mean. Also, a two-sided 95% CI has 2.5% mass above and below the CI so using the inaccurate usage you could say there's a 2.5% probability you're a <2bb winner and 2.5% probability you're a >12bb winner with the numbers plasticelephant used.

Either way, gl

Looks like someone did his homework
Long time no see finnisher. Still lookin sharp

==============================================

If I may choose my suckouts than it would be in these spots.

This pretty much

Glgl on the road to 20k

Tyvm Elsa!
Im obv not worried about it, actually I rather have them think that way.
Without a 2nd/better look I seem to do a lot of weird ass shi* and sometimes
my plays are just bad but most fail to see the whole picture - so im fine with being
someone who they perceive as a button clicker.
I obv dont think of myself as a reg-fish and if I were in their shoes Id probably
give myself the same lable.
It was just worth pointing out

As for the 20k - pretty much on schedule now.





On insane heater with just 2 losing days out of the last 26.






LET US GOOGOGOGGO!!

Bonkers results. Can we continue the heat through til the end, that is the question.

Bonkers indeed!
As for your "question".
Prolly just gotta turn up the volume once the WR starts dropping.
I thought I may grind some 500 just so I can make the 20k if needed
but that may backfire - it just feels wrong to chase results so I came up
with a very "lame" solution. Ill give away 5% no matter how much I make
in December. Still want to grind at least 50k hands.
Having high hopes for the later stages of december.

Meanwhile broken through 8/100 thanks to this sick heater, although evbb/100
lies somewhat lower.



#looksnice

nice results for reg fish

Fedor Holz level of run good itt

24k net and 100k red line?

Losing days?



Zero tolerance!

Big day for me in the sense that it had zero impact on my mindset being
6bi down just 300hands in sesh.
Normally my wife notices right away how the day went. Today noon
she could not - i was some 5-6bi down at the time.

Looks like im finally learning how to seperate work from private life. Maybe it was just because this time I honestly knew I had not made any dumb misake. Usually when 6bi down in short time span, at least 1 is on me.

Also started watching "Godless" tonight. 1st episode very promising.

Hint:

this might come as a shocker to you, but here it goes



you're a bit delusional about variance and mindset, but thats cool, will only make it a fun thread

still pretty decent results over a small sample , and you will obviously be doing decent at 500z , congrats and gl moving up

Well, uhmm its like.. everybodys talking about that veryends thing.
Ive been umm playing poker for like 3 months now, and im like..umm
whatever...



Truth is: Imma show u how decent I am once I move up
and ram my decent cokc up ur ass.



You feel threatend and u should. Thats how it goes with people
when they sense something mean is on the rise.

But hey, jokes aside - its an honour to have u still reading this.

haha **** yeah!!!

Rec missclicking

Double beat




This one hurts since i dont even get EV$.
Apparently HEM people have not thought about this scenario.
My "$ EV diff" for this hand is simply 0.
"BTN bets $46.01 and is actually all in"

This exact scenario has long been one small factor why orange line is less reliable than most people think!

I think that's a bit unfair to Martim. He said that your results were impressive and that he expected you to do well at 500z, someone who felt threatened would probably err on the side of caution and steer you from 500z as much as they could.

Nevertheless, goooooood luck

p.s. what is it with you and a new avatar everytime I see you?

Is there anything u are not clanty?
Grinder, Coach.. now u are a lawyer too?
Let the grown ups talk
Someone who runs his tongue the way Mrtim did is surely capable of
"defending" himself.

As for the avatars - I guess its just a habit of mine.
I was a loser for a very long time and in the beginning I somehow thought
If i changed the avatar I'd have a "new start" kind of thing. Forget about all
the pain. Sometimes its just a reminder for myself when my game develops
in a certain direction - it needs new points of emphasis.

Recently I had this one:



Meaning: People make so many mistakes (me too). I dont even have to push every
close spot - the presents wil keep on coming.

Submitted this one today:



Its an old mine-worker obviously. Meant to remind me of 3 things.
- 1. Continue to exploit as much as they let u.
- 2. Be happy for u can live a relatively wealthy life sitting in ur lazy chair.
- 3. Time flies - and in 15 years im gonna be 50. Make the best of every day.

Hope that answers the question.

Something else for the change. Just felt like firing up a couple of timbeys.
Had a lot of fun, spewed heaps and got there anyway.

Sorry for having an opinion

Your mistake was not having an opinion, it was sharing it with a person who's ego exceeds what he's achieved in poker.

He'll grow out of it, all it shows is that he is just starting to have success

oh and everybody is into crypto lately oro, it's cool and all you've made 24k but that's like... 1.5 btc man, chump change at this point

I like op and his attitude