Needs some help setting the right odds for this challenge

Player A plays poker once a week live and about three times a week online

Player A is not a pro, has a full time job, wife, social life etc…. poker is a hobby but likes to discuss with mates often and watch a lot on tv. – Playing around 6 years

His Live game is much better and has been playing weekly no limit holdem £2/£2 with a £300 sit down

Online has been less consistent with a few 5 figure tournament scores, and small winning player at $100NL in no limit holdem (6 max)

Recently online been playing a fair amount of $50 PLO HU – small winner

Player A played PLO 6 max about a year ago and broke even at $100PLO

Challenge

Player A is to win $300 playing 5,000 hands of PLO on stars or full tilt

Conditions

1) No tracker
2) No table section
3) Minimum 6 tables
4) Challenge to start in 6 weeks and cannot play any PLO 6 max in between
5) To be completed within 2 weeks

Player A feels he is a 50/50 to win $1 over 5,000 hands

But needs advise on what the right odds are to win 6 buyins over 5,000 hands

Any helpful advice would be great

Cheers

5000 hands to win 6 buyins, he can go from down 5 buyins to up 8 buyins in 100 hands I am a complete PLO donkey and my previous tilt sessions sometime lead to turning $20 into $500 in a single 3 hour session at PLO50 HU. Your post is kind of confusing, it says cannot play any PLO 6 max, what PLO will you be playing FR or HU?

Cannot play PLO 6max before the bet.......so no time to get used to the game

Also no stats can be used while playing

If you have the standard deviation, it's fairly easy to calculate

i think you should atleast to table selection to maximize you profit even a little bit. Just choose the table with the highest average pots.

Im doing my own plo challenge just look by maybe you find some inspirations wich will help you .

http://forumserver.twoplustwo.com/17.../#post20427538