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Poker Goals & Challenges Post your threads logging your travels up the poker ladder as you achieve your poker goals and dreams. "Challenges" does NOT mean prop bets, wagers, etc.

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Old 08-22-2019, 10:36 PM   #51
GhoulPatrol
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Re: This is not a pipe dream

Quote:
Originally Posted by boylo91 View Post

is this sample too small to say if its variance or not for loosing in the $2.5 and $4 but winning in the $5?
Yes. I'd guess you're running a little below expectation in the 2.5 and 4s and a little above expectation in the 5s. What's your evbb/100?
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Old 08-24-2019, 12:28 PM   #52
boylo91
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Re: This is not a pipe dream

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Originally Posted by GhoulPatrol View Post
Yes. I'd guess you're running a little below expectation in the 2.5 and 4s and a little above expectation in the 5s. What's your evbb/100?
There is a big difference in bb/100 in the $5 compared to $2.5 and $4.5 . il post them below.

How big a sample do you reckon id need to be confident enough to say its variance.?

to me it looks like im playing my b and c game in the $2.5 as there is almost same amount of games played to the $5s with a huge gap in bb/100

$5 graph




$2.50 graph




$4.50 graph

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Old 08-25-2019, 12:26 AM   #53
Hot*ShoT
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Re: This is not a pipe dream

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Originally Posted by boylo91 View Post
There is a big difference in bb/100 in the $5 compared to $2.5 and $4.5 . il post them below.



How big a sample do you reckon id need to be confident enough to say its variance.?


It's impossible to tell. These stretches look nothing out of ordinary. Obviously feels a lot more soul crushing if you posting that volume for 6-7 months and not like 3 weeks. Even the best players had multiple ones of these. 1200 games on turbos is really nothing. -80 buyins is nothing unusual too... If you can't just shrug these off you'd need to reconsider your BRM first.

You may have ran bad and now started playing bad, if that's the case variance doesn't applies here. The only way to tell is reviewing more and grinding a lot more.

Getting better results at 5/90s could also make sense given its KO and the history of 180mans, by now not much remained that hasn't been figured out yet so as solid play being the standard mistakes cost a lot more. Its rare to consistently run good at your highest buyins and bad at the bottom of your BI-range. If that is the case you are very lucky atm

Can't comment on the 90mans player pool but for 180mans being a few 5 or 6 digit samples shy of experience compared to some of the grinders I would not be surprised if you just getting bested there.
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Old 08-25-2019, 03:48 AM   #54
boylo91
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Re: This is not a pipe dream

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Originally Posted by Hot*ShoT View Post
It's impossible to tell. These stretches look nothing out of ordinary. Obviously feels a lot more soul crushing if you posting that volume for 6-7 months and not like 3 weeks. Even the best players had multiple ones of these. 1200 games on turbos is really nothing. -80 buyins is nothing unusual too... If you can't just shrug these off you'd need to reconsider your BRM first.

You may have ran bad and now started playing bad, if that's the case variance doesn't applies here. The only way to tell is reviewing more and grinding a lot more.

Getting better results at 5/90s could also make sense given its KO and the history of 180mans, by now not much remained that hasn't been figured out yet so as solid play being the standard mistakes cost a lot more. Its rare to consistently run good at your highest buyins and bad at the bottom of your BI-range. If that is the case you are very lucky atm

Can't comment on the 90mans player pool but for 180mans being a few 5 or 6 digit samples shy of experience compared to some of the grinders I would not be surprised if you just getting bested there.
Hey man,thanks for the in depth reply .

Yes thatís the plan ,review and grind and just keep putting the work in . The -80 buy ins is fine ,no issues with brm. Just wanted to know if Iím running bad or getting my ass handed to me in these games. Gotta just keep on grinding and reviewing .

Gl and ty
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Old 09-01-2019, 08:02 PM   #55
boylo91
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Re: This is not a pipe dream



+$161.58 for August

Im starting to realise that my goal of +$5k profit this year is a bit naive on my part.

All i can do is keep working hard and wait for the results to come in themselves.

Feeling good,Feeling positive and ready to crush October.

Gl Guys.
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Old 09-02-2019, 02:20 AM   #56
suleaspataru
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Re: This is not a pipe dream

That's not naive. Do it!
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Old 09-03-2019, 12:44 PM   #57
Hot*ShoT
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Re: This is not a pipe dream

Quote:
Originally Posted by boylo91 View Post

Im starting to realise that my goal of +$5k profit this year is a bit naive on my part.
It's easy to find out. Let's say you play $2.5 games where the best players make around 10%. Assume you have time to do the study work needed outside of playing (actual 2-3 hours of work on your game, not just drooling over some coaching videos before your daily session). If you can average a $0.25 profit per game you would need to play 20000 in a year. That's about 70 games a day (+ 2-3 hours of studying) for 300 days. If you can commit that volume it is realistic, if you can't it isn't.
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Old 09-29-2019, 06:37 PM   #58
boylo91
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Re: This is not a pipe dream

Quote:
Originally Posted by Hot*ShoT View Post
It's easy to find out. Let's say you play $2.5 games where the best players make around 10%. Assume you have time to do the study work needed outside of playing (actual 2-3 hours of work on your game, not just drooling over some coaching videos before your daily session). If you can average a $0.25 profit per game you would need to play 20000 in a year. That's about 70 games a day (+ 2-3 hours of studying) for 300 days. If you can commit that volume it is realistic, if you can't it isn't.

right now i wouldnt be able to commit that type of volume, im expecting to hit 7-8k games by the end of the year from starting in february. im getting in good study,but could be getting in more ,that gonna be worked on. 3-4x group sessions per week + half hour before each grind session.
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Old 09-29-2019, 06:41 PM   #59
boylo91
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Re: This is not a pipe dream

The results are in for september



made a good few deep runs in some mtts but didnt click in the late stages.

-100 buy ins in the $2.50 180 man
+80 buy ins in the $5 90 man
slightly loosing in the $4.50 OD

Happy to have a break even month over all and happy with some progress been made off the tables.

ty for reading and GLGL
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Old 11-05-2019, 03:45 PM   #60
boylo91
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Re: This is not a pipe dream

+$88.96 for October



very Happy with my game and work effort throughout the month. have been putting in the hours in the lab and working on improving my volume of games up a notch.

Couple of deep runs in MTTs with the big $3.30 being the one with the most potential,we finished in 5th for $229 which was pretty cool.

Couple of changes needed in the mindset and structure area which im going to be working on improving this month.

thanks for reading and gl.
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Old 11-05-2019, 03:52 PM   #61
boylo91
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Re: This is not a pipe dream

Forgot to mention, pumped to be playing this live event near the end of the month





I havent played a live mtt since march 2019 "The GG Poker Masters where we came 11th for $2108



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Old 08-21-2020, 05:37 AM   #62
crush305
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Re: This is not a pipe dream

as predicted here I am much later and this guy hasnt posted in months. classic fail.
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Old 08-21-2020, 12:21 PM   #63
Balconeri
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Re: This is not a pipe dream

Toxicity as its finest, crush305.
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Old 09-17-2020, 02:41 AM   #64
crush305
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Re: This is not a pipe dream

hey man I tried my hardest to advise him kindly the first time. I still shouldn't have said that though. You're right.
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