I've been getting far too much of this crap lately.
3rd hand I was dealt... Only reason I took a shot at 4NL was because the 2NL tables are full of ridiculously nitty players (18% and less of players at 6max)
=€0.04 NL (6 max) - Holdem - 5 players
Hero (CO): 100 BB
BTN: 121.5 BB (VPIP: 20.00, PFR: 20.00, 3Bet Preflop: 0.00, Hands: 5)
SB: 63.5 BB (VPIP: 37.80, PFR: 14.74, 3Bet Preflop: 1.23, Hands: 265)
BB: 49 BB (VPIP: 23.55, PFR: 12.79, 3Bet Preflop: 4.82, Hands: 267)
UTG: 142 BB (VPIP: 0.00, PFR: 0.00, 3Bet Preflop: 0.00, Hands: 5)
SB posts SB 0.5 BB, BB posts BB 1 BB
Pre Flop: (pot: 1.5 BB) Hero has T
T
fold,
Hero raises to 3 BB,
fold,
SB calls 2.5 BB,
fold
Flop: (7 BB, 2 players) T
A
7
SB checks,
Hero bets 3.5 BB,
SB calls 3.5 BB
Turn: (14 BB, 2 players) Q
SB checks,
Hero bets 7 BB,
SB calls 7 BB
River: (28 BB, 2 players) J
SB bets 14 BB,
Hero raises to 86 BB,
SB calls 36 BB
Hero mucks T
T
(Three of a Kind, Tens)
(Pre 18%, Flop 89%, Turn 86%)
SB shows K
K
(Straight, Ace High)
(Pre 82%, Flop 11%, Turn 14%)
SB wins 119.5 BB
I mean this is just sick when the river comes I feel like quitting poker for good.
I almost knew he was going to end up runner runnering me, it's been par for the course for nearly 1k hands so far.
Perhaps I should just shove the turn here and hope for the best? But the result would still be the same, he'd still call and still hit the river for his straight.
My bell luck curve is just ridiculously below EV for 20k hands when it comes to sets.
I'm thinking sets are just no good on this particular site? I'm not hitting them anywhere near as often as I should, and when I do they are being beaten by straights and flushes much more often than I do against them. (And much more often than they should)
Are sets just coolers waiting to happen? Should I just shove the flop any time I hit a set and hope for the best?
I just don't see how I could have played the hand any different, it's just that I'm coming up against this situation so often I'm thinking something MUST be up.
There must be something I can do? Fold anything below QQ pre?
I'm looking through all my losing hands and I'm thinking, if I had the luck my opponent do I'd be massively up.
Do I have to wait for 100k hands to know for sure? Because I feel too unlucky on this site, and I'm getting suspicious that my best hands (and its really boring not playing many hands) are being so coldly bad beat so often.
But fair enough he had KK pf and I'm sure he feels I got what I deserved on the river.
I think I just need to fold TT and JJ pf as being tricked up hands online, rarely have my JJ or TT been up against anything but another PP and usually it is KK QQ or AA.
It just feels like a mechanic is dealing the cards online, it really does.
But I know I'll get stick for it, so I guess we can just chalk it up to my perception being skewed.
But I can't take much more of this, I literaly had to stop playing after that hand, because I know I'll start playing hands like J5s and start chasing flushes, just because "I must win ONE hand in 1000".
I just know that if I play this guy again I will have KK, he will have TT and he will hit the set on the flop, I will have OESD by turn, and he will hit another T on the river. It's just the way it seems to work.
Unless I flop the absolute nuts I'm reluctant to ever cbet now, because they are getting there no matter what cards they have by the river.
I wish there was a bell luck curve in pokertracker for coolers, because that would put my mind at rest, at least I could see how "unlucky" I've been.
Bankroll now at £96
Everything I am trying is getting destroyed by the most ridiculous outside odds hitting my opponents so often, that I think I've offended the God of random number generation.
To go from 89% fav on the flop, 86% fav on the turn, and then to lose by the river is just the sickest feeling. Especially when its happening so often and caning my bankroll.
Should I double up my bankroll and just accept I have stupidly bad luck and that I get double the variance everyone else does?
How can I keep folding AK by the turn against idiots playing 95 and hitting a 5 and calling to the river, if I don't make it back in hands like above? How do I play through this? How can I possibly play any tighter without just playing AK AA and KK?
I know people are going to kick my behind and say its my fault, but I'm just trying to be as honest as I can.
My head is saying online poker isn't rigged and I can never proove it even if it were, but my heart is teling me there are so many consecutive bad beats one guy can have before you have to start asking people to roll up their sleeves and reveal the hidden aces...
PHEW sorry guys I had to get it out of my system somewhere.