I'm just venting right now, as I just finished another session where I was another 3 BIs under EV, and ran like crap when it came to draws getting there. I'm trying to take solace in the fact that I'm probably crushing this level if I was even just running normal. Below is the graph and luck bell curve for nl5 without the first 5k hands or so where I was just experimenting.
I know others have experienced much worse, and I should expect this type of thing to happen. And I know I shouldn't complain, since my all-in EV at nl10 was just the opposite. But it's all coming apart so fast. I just have to keep at it, and wait for luck to come back to normal. Hopefully, not too long.
In the meantime, I'm gonna try to spend an hour a day working on my strategy. This way, at least I'll have some positive vibes coming from the fact that my game is getting stronger, rather than stagnant (as it's been the past few weeks). First thing I'm doing is revamping my RFI ranges. After playing around with Flopzilla, I've realized my ranges are too much weighted towards speculative suited connector type hands. That includes my calling-3bet ranges and 4bet ranges.
I've also made a change before today's session; 3betting more, and not calling any open-raises from any position other than the big blind. 3Bet% has gone from around 6 to around 11. Seems to be a positive change, but will work on "proper" 3bet ranges after I finish tweaking the RFI ranges.
Just to finish off, here's an example of the type of hand that's been happening much too often over the past week. I know I should be happy that they are squeezing my EP open and calling a 4bet with hands like QJo. And I am. But very frustrating when this type of thing keeps happening in big pots. Ok, I'm done venting now lol.
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PokerStars - $0.05 NL FAST (6 max) - Holdem - 6 players
Hand converted by PokerTracker 4
BTN: $5.00 (VPIP: 28.95, PFR: 26.32, 3Bet Preflop: 10.00, Hands: 40)
SB: $8.40 (VPIP: 16.67, PFR: 0.00, 3Bet Preflop: 0.00, Hands: 26)
BB: $8.38 (VPIP: 50.00, PFR: 25.00, 3Bet Preflop: 7.69, Hands: 24)
Hero (UTG): $5.12
MP: $1.66 (VPIP: 60.00, PFR: 0.00, 3Bet Preflop: 0.00, Hands: 5)
CO: $5.75 (VPIP: 26.79, PFR: 7.14, 3Bet Preflop: 0.00, Hands: 57)
SB posts SB $0.02, BB posts BB $0.05
Pre Flop: (pot: $0.07) Hero has K
K
Hero raises to $0.12,
fold,
CO calls $0.12,
BTN raises to $0.50,
fold,
fold,
Hero raises to $1.15,
CO calls $1.03,
fold
Flop: ($2.87, 2 players) 4
J
5
Hero bets $0.91,
CO calls $0.91
Turn: ($4.69, 2 players) J
Hero checks,
CO bets $3.69 and is all-in,
Hero calls $3.06 and is all-in
River: ($10.81, 2 players) A