Cool analysis I like the thought process, what do you think of splitting OTR with block/AI and putting TT in block?

think block betting somewhere between 25-30% pot is a good play and probably more standard. I just liked jam for the sortave "exploitative" (I hate when people use gto/exploitative all the time) reason that the 6 reduces my perceived vbet range and makes it more likely ill get called by a5/77/88/99.

anyway I played a real short session today.
https://gyazo.com/e3d5f68ed90d6d8ab6facd477a54bad2

I think I will review 1 interesting hand a day on here so this is it

PokerStars - $4 NL (6 max) - Holdem - 5 players
Hand converted by PokerTracker 4

SB: 96.83 BB
BB: 103.63 BB
UTG: 117.88 BB
Hero (CO): 102 BB
BTN: 102.35 BB

SB posts SB 0.5 BB, BB posts BB 1 BB

Pre Flop: (pot: 1.5 BB) Hero has J K

fold, Hero raises to 2.75 BB, BTN calls 2.75 BB, fold, fold

Flop: (7 BB, 2 players) Q A 8
Hero bets 2 BB, BTN calls 2 BB

Turn: (11 BB, 2 players) K
Hero checks, BTN bets 8 BB, Hero calls 8 BB

River: (27 BB, 2 players) 9
Hero checks, BTN bets 17 BB, Hero raises to 89.25 BB and is all-in, fold

Hero wins 60.13 BB

Flop tiny cbet is super standard so not much to say there. I think villain is supposed to find a surprisingly high raise freq % here and nobody does this in game. Just will cbet range

Turn check call is again pretty standard. One thing to note is villains 8bb bet size, I think this is good. its a turn he should xback a lot so when he does bet it should be more polar. I would check/raise some JT/KK/QQ/88 and bluffs would be QJo/QTo. I think most people miss these bluffs but if you don't turn these pairs into bluffs you simply aren't bluffing

on river the KJo/KTo become the checkraises as they are lower in your range now and have the great blocker affects. Villain is repping pretty thin and blocking the nuts is great. I have all the nuts so you need to find these bluff raises. Villain is really capped AA/KK/QQ/AK/AQ are all 3bet preflop KQ/88/A8s/JTs are mixed 3bet pre so I except a ton of folds here

Removal effects from preflop 3bets are kinda negated by the fact that so many of his continues BTN vs CO are going to be mixes. So while he might only have half the combos of KQ/88/JTs/A8s, the same applies for enough of his continuing range than as a proportion of his overall turn/river betting range he may as well have all combos.

Enjoying the thread so far, keep up the good work! Is your screen name outed? If trying to stay anonymous, drop me a PM.

Just played 4~ hours today and got completely torched. lost 3500 games were actually extremely good so its just that much more tilting.

Hand of the day

PokerStars - $4 NL (6 max) - Holdem - 4 players
Hand converted by PokerTracker 4

SB: 154.18 BB
BB: 31.45 BB
Hero (CO): 298.4 BB
BTN: 204.71 BB

SB posts SB 0.5 BB, BB posts BB 1 BB

Pre Flop: (pot: 1.5 BB) Hero has 6 6

Hero raises to 2.75 BB, BTN calls 2.75 BB, fold, BB calls 1.75 BB

Flop: (8.75 BB, 3 players) 2 3 4
BB checks, Hero checks, BTN bets 3.5 BB, BB calls 3.5 BB, Hero raises to 15 BB, BTN calls 11.5 BB, fold

Turn: (42.25 BB, 2 players) 4
Hero checks, BTN bets 58.5 BB, Hero calls 58.5 BB

River: (159.25 BB, 2 players) 5
Hero checks, BTN bets 128.46 BB and is all-in, Hero calls 128.46 BB

BTN shows 2 2 (Full House, Twos full of Fours)

BTN wins 415.3 BB

So on the flop I don't like cbetting 3 ways OOP on this texture. I will do checkraise with 5c5x and 6c6x on the flop for value/protection, value hands will be straights/sets/overpairs. bluffs would be flushdraws usually combo draw

Turn I think check is good being 200bbs effective for this hand. I have a lot of hands that just aren't comfortable bet/calling off here this deep when board pairs. Bet/calling off A5s or 99 just is not a fun idea. He overbets and I'm actually not sure what to do here. I decided to call but in hindsight fold is probably better. I don't need to continue that often and 66 is near bottom of my range. I should call 55 and fold 66 I think

River 5 this just plays itself. even if he never bluffs he will have Axcc so this is a mandatory call. Unlucky runout/speculative play and I lose 200bbs

today was another awful sess

https://gyazo.com/bfaa33735f20424607b179f24f127994

all 400nl/600nl pray for OP. Lost a monster pot as huge favorite for infinite BBs and some other nasty pots. Gonna play another session later tonight

Had a small winning day +1800

https://gyazo.com/360ad603deb3b3aa6d2eb5ef26bb00a5

H1 biggest pot ive ever had online. hurt the soul quite a bit...

PokerStars - $6 NL (6 max) - Holdem - 6 players
Hand converted by PokerTracker 4

SB: 267.5 BB
BB: 118.53 BB
Hero (UTG): 296.92 BB
MP: 170.23 BB
CO: 39.53 BB
BTN: 101 BB

SB posts SB 0.5 BB, BB posts BB 1 BB

Pre Flop: (pot: 1.5 BB) Hero has A A

Hero raises to 2.5 BB, fold, fold, fold, SB raises to 267.5 BB and is all-in, fold, Hero calls 265 BB

Flop: (536 BB, 2 players) 3 6 7

Turn: (536 BB, 2 players) K

River: (536 BB, 2 players) 5

SB shows K K (Three of a Kind, Kings)
(Pre 17%, Flop 9%, Turn 95%)
Hero shows A A (One Pair, Aces)
(Pre 83%, Flop 91%, Turn 5%)
SB wins 535.33 BB

H2 hand of the day. stay balanced!

PokerStars - $4 NL (6 max) - Holdem - 6 players
Hand converted by PokerTracker 4

UTG: 23.25 BB
MP: 163.45 BB
CO: 172.78 BB
BTN: 111.6 BB
SB: 106.4 BB
Hero (BB): 97.1 BB

SB posts SB 0.5 BB, Hero posts BB 1 BB

Pre Flop: (pot: 1.5 BB) Hero has T J

fold, fold, fold, BTN raises to 2.5 BB, fold, Hero calls 1.5 BB

Flop: (5.5 BB, 2 players) Q 9 7
Hero checks, BTN bets 2 BB, Hero calls 2 BB

Turn: (9.5 BB, 2 players) 6
Hero checks, BTN bets 7 BB, Hero raises to 22.5 BB, BTN calls 15.5 BB

River: (54.5 BB, 2 players) 2
Hero bets 37 BB, fold

Hero wins 53.63 BB

preflop is standard. Flop I can check/call or checkraise both are completely fine. I randomize these and this time it was call. On turn I think I definitely want to x/r here with the Jd. I will have loads of flushes defending BB v BTN 2.5x so Its important to find these bluffs. I have an excellent bluff hand on every river or I can improve. If I hit my straight or flush I would x/call.

On river here the betsizing is interesting. I would go all in with a hand like Ad7x but with Jd I think anywhere from 2/3 to pot is fine. I expect him to open every Offsuit Ax so he should have a lot of missed NFD that will fold, Qx with a diamond that folds. I feel like regs tend to be very nitty, and overfold in all spots so I think its important to go after these pots

subbed gl!

Dream to nightmare with the AA spot, keep it up man

Ran above EV and booked a nice win had AA v KK twice and AA v AK. feels great to get some heat again. Also think I played good which is most important thing obv
https://gyazo.com/2d80646c0357ed5667179ba6667534b0

Hand of the day vs bad reg

PokerStars - $4 NL (6 max) - Holdem - 5 players
Hand converted by PokerTracker 4

UTG: 105.88 BB
CO: 61.93 BB
Hero (BTN): 146.75 BB
SB: 215.76 BB
BB: 235.13 BB

SB posts SB 0.5 BB, BB posts BB 1 BB

Pre Flop: (pot: 1.5 BB) Hero has Q K

fold, fold, Hero raises to 2.75 BB, SB raises to 11 BB, fold, Hero calls 8.25 BB

Flop: (23 BB, 2 players) 2 8 Q
SB bets 9.5 BB, Hero calls 9.5 BB

Turn: (42 BB, 2 players) A
SB bets 23 BB, Hero calls 23 BB

River: (88 BB, 2 players) 5
SB bets 28.75 BB, Hero raises to 103.25 BB and is all-in, fold

Hero wins 144.63 BB

preflop is a 4b or call. I decided to call this time. Flop is just gonna be a call. Its worth noting we are 150bb deep, so I wouldn't raise here ever at shallower stacks raising is good.

Turn his 1/2 betsize is weird. I would mainly check this card and use a bigger bet something like pot. I really think this card is high freq check when you are deeper.. IP just has more flushes on the Ah and can have more nuts. Anyway vs a bet I don't want to have raises. my hand is just too high up in range to fold

River he bets 30% and I don't think this is balanced. People bet big when they want value, but here most people will have all ins, 2/3 pot and this 1/3 pot betsize. people like to bet big with there strong hands so I interpret this size to be a lot of AxJh/AK and 2ps A2/A8/AQ and not a lot of nutted hands. Humans just play so inbalanced on the river and don't balance between multiple sizes especially bad midstake reg. He has to defend 75% vs my shove or else I'm autoprofiting and I expect a lot of overfolds in this spot. this is a spot that "nobody bluffs" + his bet indicated a weak value hand so I will always take these bluff as they are the most profitable

subbed!

love your analysis, but

should be ~55%

Subbed. gl, really like the hand analysis and hand selection for them.

Great stuff with analysis mate.. Can't wait for the next!

whats up guys. took a shot at 5/T today and ran well +3k but only +500in ev this is bc I was crushing my normal games but got lucky winning JJvKK aipf at 5/T

https://gyazo.com/fd9f54565fe70b32d549019a8d99271c

Hand of the day. my opponent is a weaker player but I don't think this affects my play in this hand

PokerStars - $10 NL (6 max) - Holdem - 4 players
Hand converted by PokerTracker 4

BB: 102.7 BB
CO: 190.08 BB
BTN: 39.1 BB
Hero (SB): 219.13 BB

Hero posts SB 0.5 BB, BB posts BB 1 BB

Pre Flop: (pot: 1.5 BB) Hero has T Q

CO raises to 3.5 BB, BTN calls 3.5 BB, Hero raises to 15.5 BB, fold, CO calls 12 BB, fold

Flop: (35.5 BB, 2 players) 9 5 8
Hero checks, CO bets 17.75 BB, Hero calls 17.75 BB

Turn: (71 BB, 2 players) T
Hero checks, CO bets 35.5 BB, Hero calls 35.5 BB

River: (142 BB, 2 players) 2
Hero checks, CO bets 71 BB, fold

CO wins 141.55 BB

I think this hand is good at showing how different play should be OOP 200bbs effective. on the 985hh I wont have any nuts 67s 55/98s and only sometimes have 88/99. so because I am capped I will play a much more defensive strategy. My particular hand plays OK as a check/raise but still, sometimes I will be up against A6hh/A7hh as well as all the nutted combos I don't think X/R and calling off 200bbs is a good option

On the turn now I have a pair, and all the same logic applies. he can now have QJs TT T9s as well as all the hands before so easy call

River is unfortunate Its difficult for me to have enough calldown hands, but at the same time its hard for him to have bluffs and many of those potential bluffs have the Qh so I don't think I can call down. I can certainly have QJs ThTx 9h9x because I will be playing a very defensive approach to this spot so I'm not worried about overfolding

main takeaways are to play a defensive strategy when you are capped OOP and deepstacked. Playing an aggressive bet/raise strat here is really awful imo and I see some players mess this up

you are right my mistake

only played about 3 hours and didnt put a big effort in. Im gonna try to play 8 hours tomorrow and be a better professional. Its really easy for me to play up to 10 hours when I'm down heaps but when I'm crushing I just feel like booking the win. Its bad habit but I suppose as long as I get 30~ hours at the table every week its fine

https://gyazo.com/84e5f25bf2429a4e4836f9b5de9ecf8d

hand of the day
PokerStars - $6 NL (6 max) - Holdem - 5 players
Hand converted by PokerTracker 4

BB: 128.98 BB
UTG: 110.51 BB
CO: 111.4 BB
Hero (BTN): 171.73 BB
SB: 119.1 BB

SB posts SB 0.5 BB, BB posts BB 1 BB

Pre Flop: (pot: 1.5 BB) Hero has 8 A

fold, fold, Hero raises to 2.5 BB, fold, BB raises to 11 BB, Hero calls 8.5 BB

Flop: (22.5 BB, 2 players) 8 7 7
BB bets 7 BB, Hero calls 7 BB

Turn: (36.5 BB, 2 players) A
BB bets 12 BB, Hero calls 12 BB

River: (60.5 BB, 2 players) 4
BB checks, Hero bets 141.73 BB and is all-in, BB calls 98.98 BB and is all-in

Hero shows 8 A (Two Pair, Aces and Eights)

Hero wins 257.8 BB

preflop is a standard defend BTN v BB. on the flop I would raise some 7x/T9s with bdfd and 8x for protection. This A8s in particular I prefer calls so I can cooler his AK/AQ when the A peels off. I prefer raising hands like 89s that needs more protection and doesn't have much implied odds.

Turn is good for BB range, his 1/3 sizing just looks like a ton of Ax. Its rainbow board so I don't expect much bluffs at all. He only has T9s or 56s that are both mixed pre and I suspect would bet a bigger size. On my side I think call is still the standard play. I don't want to have many raises here when he just always has a made hand

River 4x completes 56s which I will always have. I still have 88/78s/77/67s/79s so my range just crushes his. he checks which I expect a lot of, and I just need to go all in. I have all the nuts and he only has AA, rest of time he just has Ax and population will struggle to fold AK here so going all in is mandatory. I think Its very hard for me to have enough bluffs. I only have T9s and maybe some JTs that call the turn 1/3 bet. I might have to turn some 8x into bluffs to be balanced

Great analysis. I feel like a lot of this is over my head but I’m enjoying reading how you think about hands and ranges.

Another great analysis.! glgl.

whats up guys. played 6 hours today which is decent, my month is going well on volume and $. I played a good reg HU for a bit at 5/T and 3/6 and won which is nice as well as a lot of shorthanded play. I feel really good about my game right now (could be misguided from variance) but I think I have a big edge vs most of the other midstake pros. I'm going on vacation for a week at the end of the month so I'm just playing everyday and trying to get good volume in first

https://gyazo.com/e7a320644c8f6d0fa197dcda013af6ab

Hand of the day
PokerStars - $6 NL (6 max) - Holdem - 5 players
Hand converted by PokerTracker 4

UTG: 190.46 BB
Hero (CO): 152.27 BB
BTN: 118.57 BB
SB: 100 BB
BB: 183.29 BB

SB posts SB 0.5 BB, BB posts BB 1 BB

Pre Flop: (pot: 1.5 BB) Hero has T T

UTG raises to 3 BB, Hero raises to 9 BB, fold, fold, fold, UTG calls 6 BB

Flop: (19.5 BB, 2 players) Q 5 6
UTG checks, Hero bets 6 BB, UTG calls 6 BB

Turn: (31.5 BB, 2 players) 9
UTG checks, Hero checks

River: (31.5 BB, 2 players) 8
UTG bets 27 BB, Hero raises to 137.27 BB and is all-in, fold

Hero wins 84.83 BB

Preflop standard 3bet, I wouldn't play any calls in these positions CU v MP. I play 0% call in all the positions except BB/BTN vs an open. I will have calls in SB vs minraises or bigger if theres a total fish in the BB. Anyway on flop this is just a standard range cbet. Q65r is a high ev board for the 3better.

On turn this is quite a bad turn. he will have all the 78s/99 and potentially Q9s so I will do a lot more checking 150bbs deep. Checking range would be something like TT/JJ/QTs/QJs/QQ/KcKx/AcAx/AKo/JTs. JT and AKo will be mixed I like to barrel AcKx here. River he bets nearly pot and this spot sucks range v range.

He has a lot more 77 then me but still need to find bluffs. TT without a club and with a diamond is the clear nut bluff hand. I prefer to use TT instead of JJ for bluffs just cuz its weaker and to have a system for myself so I dont overbluff. Sizing wise I just need to go all in and get the max value when I have JTs and my only bluff hand I need is TT. Villain tanked for a very long time and folded

Very nicely written. The way you think about the game is precise and mathematical. Can you explain the 0% call range except on button/B.B. thing? How does this change at a full ring live table? What hands do you call on the button in this situation?

This is just something I picked up from monkersolvers preflop ranges. Monker ranges don't play calls unless you are in BB/BTN (unless its a minraise then it has very small amount of calls). The reasoning is pretty clear when you think about it. When you call an open ex mp v utg there is 4 players behind that can 3bet and you are completely screwed. You cant have premiums and your range is very faceup so its hard to continue vs the 3bet. Also people on the button will call and you are stuck in-between utg and the button. On btn the solver plays calls and I think its because you are always in position. the normal hands get called like KQo/KJs/QJs/JTs/pocketpairs

some of the core concepts apply to live poker but not in absolutes. People are really bad especially OOP so its fine to throw in some calls. Id say the players behind you are the most important. if they are aggressive I would play my normal tighter strategy, if they are rocks ill get in the mix

Just had another winning day so now this is the 8th day in a row. its only a matter of time before the doomswitch comes :P Its nice to be playing A+ and also running great.

https://gyazo.com/49a92b3158d26e8300d8113bbedca9f9


Hand of the day vs the blue fartbubble

PokerStars - $6 NL (6 max) - Holdem - 5 players
Hand converted by PokerTracker 4

Hero (BB): 106.5 BB
UTG: 126.21 BB
CO: 160.15 BB
BTN: 425.29 BB
SB: 192.06 BB

SB posts SB 0.5 BB, Hero posts BB 1 BB

Pre Flop: (pot: 1.5 BB) Hero has Q A

fold, CO raises to 2.5 BB, fold, fold, Hero raises to 12.5 BB, CO calls 10 BB

Flop: (25.5 BB, 2 players) 4 4 6
Hero bets 12.75 BB, CO calls 12.75 BB

Turn: (51 BB, 2 players) 8
Hero checks, CO bets 16.67 BB, Hero calls 16.67 BB

River: (84.33 BB, 2 players) 5
Hero checks, CO bets 118.23 BB and is all-in, Hero calls 64.58 BB and is all-in

Hero shows Q A (One Pair, Fours)
(Pre 71%, Flop 84%, Turn 73%)
CO shows K Q (One Pair, Fours)
(Pre 29%, Flop 16%, Turn 27%)
Hero wins 212.83 BB

Preflop standard 3bet. Flop I cbet 1/2 pot instead of 1/3 this is because in my solver work it prefers 1/2 pot on this low paired board texture. Turn the 8 is a neutral turn, AQcc has no reason to bet and this leaves check/call vs 1/3 pot on turn

River 5 is really interesting card. OOP doesn't have many 7x only a couple combos at best. Most of my range is just high cards and I need to defend some A high here so I don't fold nearly my whole range. Also for IP this is kindave a weird spot where he cant have many thin value bets, theres a ton of bluffs T9s/QJs/TJs/KTs/KJs/KQs and 7x/boats but not a lot of other hands. Villain played his hand pretty terribly by bluffing riv with KQhh. its the worst hand to bluff with blocking AK/AQ and hearts so I really like my line of just calling down. he getting very out of line here so its mandatory call. Readless I think its fine to always fold A high until a villain shows they are capable

I'm going to post another hand I thought was very interesting. I ran the solver for it afterwards too

PokerStars - $6 NL (6 max) - Holdem - 6 players
Hand converted by PokerTracker 4

MP: 116.04 BB
CO: 248.19 BB
BTN: 113.21 BB
SB: 122.08 BB
Hero (BB): 99.73 BB
UTG: 102.83 BB

SB posts SB 0.5 BB, Hero posts BB 1 BB

Pre Flop: (pot: 1.5 BB) Hero has K J

fold, fold, CO raises to 3 BB, fold, SB calls 2.5 BB, Hero raises to 15 BB, CO calls 12 BB, fold

Flop: (33 BB, 2 players) A J 7
Hero bets 10.33 BB, CO calls 10.33 BB

Turn: (53.67 BB, 2 players) 7
Hero checks, CO bets 11.33 BB, Hero calls 11.33 BB

River: (76.33 BB, 2 players) K
Hero bets 63.06 BB and is all-in, fold

Hero wins 75.67 BB

preflop is a standard squeeze, I think its just better then call. on Axx I'm just going to cbet 1/3 for range. Turn 7d this is the nut worst card in the deck for me so I will play range check. my opponent bets 1/5 pot and I just have to defend.

The solver agrees with range check, and also strongly prefers 1/5 pot in villains spot so good job him. I would not have found the 1/5 pot bet. On river Kd is a really interesting card and in game I guessed I would have a lot of donk bets and KJs being the nut bluff hand

Solver agrees again with a lot of donk jams on this card and KJs is a pure bluff jam. Other hands that get jammed are AK as bluff Q high flush, KK, 77, AA all mixed. Donk jams aren't something ive studied much but I'm quite happy with myself for finding the bluff and being correct This card is overwhelmingly good for OOP so I expect a ton of folds

I thought you guys were friends??

the man is up 40k this month he will be okay

Why do you play some hands without reloading to 100bbs?
how did you move so fast? How many hours do you study per day?

gl, man