he can have J8s and maybe AJ, although most people won't raise that

some gutters 56s, 76s, 97s, T7s, Q9s, QT etc

basically a ton of potential bluffs and hardly any value; most people won't think about raising Jx here but they will def think about raising draws

why would you expect him to raise fold a7hh? seems like a pretty easy call once he raises no?

Yeah I guess he is easily getting enough odds to call, but anyways, just saying he had a bunch of bluffs and little value so felt shipping the A4 was good

Definitely fine with it. You represent strong and get a few hands you beat to fold and even if they don't you have enough equity on a few things that beat you Jx, TT, 99, QQ, KK, or you will probably be flipping often with draws. High variance play for sure.

If you think about the hand from his point of view, you're repping strong but he has the nut draw. He has at least 8 outs no matter what and if you're jamming KK and QQ then he is up to 12 outs. It's a snap call for him getting better than 2 to 1.

But I do like your play in that you get a lot of his pairs and stuff to fold but some of his weaker holdings like the draws will call.

I put him on the exact same range you have for villain, except I didn't include the low Axs.


You aren't a favorite vs villain's drawing range that I assign them.

Board: Jh8h4d
Equity Win Tie
MP2 44.65% 44.53% 0.12% { As4s }
MP3 55.35% 55.23% 0.12% { T9s, AhQh, KhQh, AhTh, KhTh, QhTh, Qh9h }

Vs a wider semi-bluffing range similar to the one you assign villain:

Board: Jh8h4d
Equity Win Tie
MP2 46.83% 46.46% 0.36% { As4s }
MP3 53.17% 52.81% 0.36% { T9s, AhQh, KhQh, AhTh, KhTh, QhTh, Ah9h, Kh9h, Qh9h, Ah8h, Ah7h, Th7h, 9h7h, Ah6h, 7h6h, Ah5h, Ah3h, Ah2h }

Add 88 and 44:

Board: 4dJh8h
Equity Win Tie
MP2 39.10% 38.78% 0.32% { As4s }
MP3 60.90% 60.59% 0.32% { 88, 44, T9s, AhQh, KhQh, AhTh, KhTh, QhTh, Ah9h, Kh9h, Qh9h, Ah8h, Ah7h, Th7h, 9h7h, Ah6h, 7h6h, Ah5h, Ah3h, Ah2h }

Only hands that raise/fold this flop are pure bluffs that we presume have 2 overs to our 4 which have about 24% equity so folding them isn't bad, however there isn't going to be many hands villains decides to raise as a pure bluff on this board. Rest of villain's range that raises this flop we aren't getting to fold to a 3b as that range is consisted of good draws and pairs. So say villain raises this board 10% of the time as pure bluffs in this 3bp, the other 90% of the time is going to look like this vs the range you give (I don't agree villain could have KK here, QQ/JJ is also not likely and I excluded AJ so we'd have A as outs when called):

Board: 4dJh8h
Equity Win Tie
MP2 26.06% 25.94% 0.12% { As4s }
MP3 73.94% 73.82% 0.12% { KK-88, 44, KJs, T9s, AhQh, KhQh, AhTh, KhTh, QhTh, Ah9h, Kh9h, Qh9h, Ah8h, Ah7h, Th7h, 9h7h, Ah6h, 7h6h, Ah5h, Ah3h, Ah2h, KJo }

latest giraffe. all i see is +$$$ at the end of ur posts?

I'll post one in a couple days.

Played earlier today for 3hrs, +$140

Then played another session for like 1 hour for -400 or so

-$250ish day, made too many mistakes today. Probably going to cool off and play tomorrow.

Very good point, like I said though I don't hate it and I can see why you did it.

There is close to 0 chance guy is raising KK/QQ/JJ/1010/99/KJo

Also, A8hh is blocked by the board

Played another 2hr session, 6hours total for the day!! volume!!

+$342

Made $74 for the whole day, could have been lots better but made some mistakes that cost me $100+

sweet jam with the a4ss hand

Played some more this morning in some reggish games. Made a bit over $100 I think.

This is my July graph. I ran quite a bit above EV (14BI) most of which was at 50nl. Running above EV is nice as I deserve it for sure, but overall really disappointed with how I played during the month. I made TONS of mistakes each costing me anywhere from $10 to $50 and those add up quite quickly. This month I'm going to make a volume goal and focus on making good decisions.

[] 25k+ hands
[] 100+ hours
[] Play smart


* Bluff smarter
* Bluff catch smarter
* Be consistent with good decision making

up that volume! gl sub'd

Thanks.

I can only play 4 reg tables at a time so I'm limited to about 250 hands/hr

Teach me to run goodz.

Despite running above EV, I really didn't run great overall.

9 days into the month and I haven't played at all, counting today I have 23 days to get my 25k hands in. This many hands should take me about 100 hours, so I need to average a bit > 4 hrs/day to meet that goal. I don't know if I can do it, but I'll sure as **** try my best.

If anyone wants to sweat/keep me in line, send a PM!

played 4-5 hours, had several people sweat throughout that time. I thought I played well, maybe only 1-2 mistakes so pretty happen with the session.

+$36ish or so

If you need a sweat just hit me up or if you want to watch some plolololol

sounds good

Played a couple hours

-$170

Lost one flip and lost KK< AA where I was fortunately a shortstack from the very previous hand.

Made too many mistakes again which continually makes me angry. I hero called a couple times, one which was good but guy was bluffing with a better hand lol and then the other was just frustrating because I had flopped the nuts, but I should always fold and it would have saved me $70

coulda made a small profit EV wise

Got in some volume the other day and made like $10 in an hour or so but played like C game probably so was pretty annoyed with myself again.

Played today 5 hours (woot volume!) and tried pretty hard to focus on good decisions and it paid off as I thought I was playing near the top of my game. Basically knowing exactly what people had and what their tendencies/ranges were in a lot of spots and abusing it. Didn't really spew and made some overall nice plays. Had some fish donate some stacks to me which helped boost the win up today quite a bit. Overall, really happy with my play. Got the volume I wanted in and also played well.

+$420