Quote:
Originally Posted by SB1234
Also again I never said Mason was bad at poker or that he is a losing player. I said he is running hot and has not had a significant downswing yet and he eventually will.
Take it from someone who has played millions of hands and has experienced actual variance.
I mean it's only certain that he will if his winrate is clearly sub 5bb. And in that case it's overwhelmingly likely we will find out in the coming few 100k hands so all we need to do is stay tuned I guess.
This is my sample for the last few years and I don't have a strong mental game. I just pick games that I crush because I know I'll play little volume and don't want to deal with variance. In other words I'm a bit of a mental game fish. So avg 200nl at avg game quality a little bit above stars in this graph.
The previous 1M hands were no different, just at avg 100nl.
Not saying this is something one should emulate since you clearly should aim for high stakes rather than dick around at SSNL if you want to maximize winnings as a professional. I'm mainly objecting to the "oh just you wait Mason" attitude when he plays seemingly well enough to cruise in a soft pool.
If you have a larger sample to post, please do. I'd love to see a long term say >7bb/100 graph with significant downers (in bb) in it.