Quote:
Originally Posted by Rapidesh123
I haven't studied about crypto and I'm 100% sure I know nothing about it aside from how bitcoin works, how transactions are made and bitcoin mining. But it's clear that when stuff that's created from nowhere acquires a substantial amount of value, something is wrong with it.
If I would look into what the price of a bitcoin should be, it should be related to how does it cost to mine 1 bitcoin rather than the price that it's bought and sold.
Bolded is a very good statement, there are people that devote their entire lives towards technical analysis of bubbles and I always just lol and revert back to simple anecdotes like that, or this:
"When the shoe shine boy has stock picks, its time to sell" - Joseph Kennedy
However, to your next paragraph, it is quite complex, as bitcoin performs both as an asset and a currency (folks still debate what it is exactly). Currencies that are widely used are very difficult to bubble, it hasn't really happened besides in localized instances such as the US dollar in Venezuela.
The btc mining operation so far is self fulfilling, as their breadth and power increase, so has the price of btc. Definitely on the right track though in terms of thought process, its ebb and flow could even be compared to oil drilling/speculation (now we are talking commodities, but even here, btc does display some similar characteristics)